FLR
Bsupersededepcrecommended 2026-05-04 · source §14.3Research-mode rules
| Research status | considering |
|---|---|
| Analysis batch | 2026-05-04-launch |
Instrument & sizing
| Instrument type | leaps_call |
|---|---|
| Strike | $80 |
| Expiration | 2027-01-15 |
| Polygon symbol | O:FLR270115C00080000 |
| Recommended quantity | 10.714 |
| Recommended dollar amount | $1,500 |
| Recommended entry price | $1.40 |
| Spot at recommendation | $52.49 |
| OTM% | 52.4% |
| IV at recommendation | 0.47 |
| Delta at recommendation | 0.21 |
Thesis summary
FLR tail-leverage at 50% OTM. Cost only 2.7% of spot. Same thesis as the $65C anchor — extreme convexity if FLR runs to ATH and beyond.
Linked predictions (1)
| Prediction | Role | P (current) | P (prior) | Window | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega-cap hyperscalers will commit over $1 trillion of capital expenditures in the 2025-2026 period alone, with roughly half financed via debt — intertwining AI buildout risk with global credit markets. INF_011 · Macro/Economy | primary_thesis | 0.923 | 0.880 | 2026-12-31 | in_progress |
Upcoming catalysts (1 of 1)
| Date | Type | Description | Expected impact | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-15 | expiration | FLR option expiration | volatility_only | upcoming |
Update history (1)
Most recent first.
| Updated at | Type | Source | Drift / shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 22:11Z | price_refresh | cron | spot +1.0%thesis Δ-3.4pp |
Actions
Recommendation is superseded; further actions handled via the position detail page.
Status: superseded