LEU
Bsupersedednuclearrecommended 2026-05-04 · source §7.4Research-mode rules
| Research status | considering |
|---|---|
| Analysis batch | 2026-05-04-launch |
Instrument & sizing
| Instrument type | leaps_call |
|---|---|
| Strike | $260 |
| Expiration | 2027-01-15 |
| Polygon symbol | O:LEU270115C00260000 |
| Recommended quantity | 0.191 |
| Recommended dollar amount | $1,000 |
| Recommended entry price | $52.30 |
| Spot at recommendation | $203.49 |
| OTM% | 27.8% |
| IV at recommendation | 0.88 |
| Delta at recommendation | 0.53 |
Thesis summary
Centrus Energy: HALEU enrichment monopoly. DOE contract through June 2026 + 8 optional years. JV with Oklo. Down 56% from ATH despite confirmed contracts. Only US-domiciled commercial-scale enricher.
Linked predictions (1)
| Prediction | Role | P (current) | P (prior) | Window | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US electricity production must grow by 'tens of percent' by end of decade to support hundreds of millions of frontier-AI GPUs. CMQ_017 · Energy | primary_thesis | 0.519 | 0.750 | 2026-11-30 | in_progress |
Upcoming catalysts (1 of 1)
| Date | Type | Description | Expected impact | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-15 | expiration | LEU option expiration | volatility_only | upcoming |
Update history (1)
Most recent first.
| Updated at | Type | Source | Drift / shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 22:11Z | thesis_weakened | cron | spot +1.3%thesis Δ-17.9pp |
Actions
Recommendation is superseded; further actions handled via the position detail page.
Status: superseded