PWR

Ssupersededepcrecommended 2026-05-04 · source §15

Research-mode rules

Research status	considering
Analysis batch	2026-05-04-launch

Instrument & sizing

Instrument type	leaps_call
Strike	$940
Expiration	2027-01-15
Polygon symbol	`O:PWR270115C00940000`
Recommended quantity	1.023
Recommended dollar amount	$5,000
Recommended entry price	$48.90
Spot at recommendation	$757.38
OTM%	24.2%
IV at recommendation	0.44
Delta at recommendation	0.37

Thesis summary

Quanta Services: Q1 2026 record $48.5B backlog. Tech/Load Center segment 70-110% revenue growth. 2026 guide RAISED to $34.7-35.2B. IV 0.44 = lowest IV-adjusted entry in entire universe.

Linked predictions (3)

Prediction	Role	P (current)	P (prior)	Window	Status
US electricity production must grow by 'tens of percent' by end of decade to support hundreds of millions of frontier-AI GPUs. CMQ_017 · Energy	primary_thesis	0.519	0.750	2026-11-30	in_progress
Mega-cap hyperscalers will commit over $1 trillion of capital expenditures in the 2025-2026 period alone, with roughly half financed via debt — intertwining AI buildout risk with global credit markets. INF_011 · Macro/Economy	supporting	0.923	0.880	2026-12-31	in_progress
Equinix has 56 planned data-center projects including 13 xScale developments designed for high-density power-hungry AI workloads — slated to be fully operational by 2026. INF_034 · Real Estate	supporting	0.539	0.800	2026-12-31	in_progress

Upcoming catalysts (1 of 1)

Date	Type	Description	Expected impact	Status
2027-01-15	expiration	PWR option expiration	volatility_only	upcoming

Update history (1)

Most recent first.

Updated at	Type	Source	Drift / shift
2026-05-05 22:11Z	thesis_weakened	cron	spot +1.9%thesis Δ-17.9pp

Actions

Recommendation is superseded; further actions handled via the position detail page.

Status: superseded