GEV

Asupersededelectricalrecommended 2026-05-04 · source §5.1, §10

Research-mode rules

Research status	considering
Analysis batch	2026-05-04-launch

Instrument & sizing

Instrument type	leaps_call
Strike	$1,340
Expiration	2027-01-15
Polygon symbol	`O:GEV270115C01340000`
Recommended quantity	0.172
Recommended dollar amount	$2,000
Recommended entry price	$116.30
Spot at recommendation	$1067.46
OTM%	25.5%
IV at recommendation	0.52
Delta at recommendation	0.41

Thesis summary

$200B 2028 backlog projection; $52B 2028 revenue target; $2B+ data-center electrification orders 2025 (3x prior). Power generation = #2 bottleneck after compute.

Linked predictions (3)

Prediction	Role	P (current)	P (prior)	Window	Status
US electricity production must grow by 'tens of percent' by end of decade to support hundreds of millions of frontier-AI GPUs. CMQ_017 · Energy	primary_thesis	0.519	0.750	2026-11-30	in_progress
xAI Colossus Phase 2 will consume approximately 1.5 gigawatts of power — city-scale demand for a single facility, making it among the first AI DCs to exceed 1 GW peak draw. INF_017 · Energy	supporting	0.479	0.820	2027-11-30	in_progress
Mega-cap hyperscalers will commit over $1 trillion of capital expenditures in the 2025-2026 period alone, with roughly half financed via debt — intertwining AI buildout risk with global credit markets. INF_011 · Macro/Economy	supporting	0.923	0.880	2026-12-31	in_progress

Upcoming catalysts (1 of 1)

Date	Type	Description	Expected impact	Status
2027-01-15	expiration	GEV option expiration	volatility_only	upcoming

Update history (1)

Most recent first.

Updated at	Type	Source	Drift / shift
2026-05-05 22:11Z	thesis_weakened	cron	spot +2.6%thesis Δ-17.9pp

Actions

Recommendation is superseded; further actions handled via the position detail page.

Status: superseded