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MNTS

Momentus · Nasdaq · USA

Cap tier
Micro
Approx cap
$0.1B
Bull scenarios
30
Adverse scenarios
0
Other links
0
Modeled impact
unknown
0 explicit links; 30 public links lack move; 0 lack probability

Themes & clusters

From SRC_B Theme-Company Matrix
C7ion engine (xenon)orbital refueling

Investment thesis

From SRC_B Company Master

Micro-cap exotic propulsion.

Bull scenarios (30)

Predictions where this ticker benefits
PredRoleDomainPredictionPredictorCurrentMoveImpactStatus
246_001pure_playMarkets/StocksSpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history.Peter Diamandis78.6%unknownunknownpartial
SPC_018pure_playMarkets/StocksFive North America-linked miners — MP Materials, Almonty Industries, Freeport-McMoRan, Alcoa, Teck Resources — are critical dependencies for the emerging space hardware supply chain: copper (regenerative cooling channels, Raptor/BE-4 pressure scaling),...Morgan Stanley65.2%unknownunknownin_progress
246_008pure_playMarkets/StocksElon Musk will merge SpaceX and XAI (with Tesla) within a year (Peter's view).Peter Diamandis62.4%unknownunknownpartial
231_037pure_playSpaceDyson swarm launchers will not be a SpaceX singleton; many orgs will launch their own.Alex Wissner-Gross57.8%unknownunknownpending
ROB_023pure_playSpaceSpaceX expects approximately 140-145 Falcon 9 launches in 2026 — maintaining the infrastructural backbone required to deploy advanced AI systems into orbit; SpaceX aims to place AI directly on the Moon by 2026.Gwynne Shotwell57.7%unknownunknownin_progress
248_004pure_playSpaceLaunching 40,000 V3 Starlinks requires only 3 Starship launches per week over 3 years.Peter Diamandis57.5%unknownunknownpending
246_004pure_playMarkets/StocksSpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T.Peter Diamandis50.1%unknownunknownpending
232_051pure_playSpaceAmazon's satellite construction outpaces launch capacity; duopoly between Starlink and Amazon LEO.Peter Diamandis49.1%unknownunknownpending
242_005pure_playSpaceStarship launch cadence will reach one every 5.3 minutes (274/day)Peter Diamandis49.1%unknownunknownpending
232_045pure_playEnergyTesla and SpaceX each aim to generate 100 gigawatts of solar per year.Elon Musk47.8%unknownunknownpending
231_035pure_playSpaceSpaceX/Elon will consume all their launch capacity for Starlink, leaving other providers constrained.Peter Diamandis47.6%unknownunknownin_progress
246_002pure_playMarkets/StocksSpaceX 2026 revenue will double to $20 billion (from $16B in 2025).Peter Diamandis46.3%unknownunknownpending
242_026pure_playAuto/TransportRocket point-to-point travel will win over hyperloop due to Starship launch cadencePeter Diamandis46.2%unknownunknownpending
SPC_021pure_playSpaceRelativity Space will revolutionize manufacturing of atmospheric and orbital vehicles by layering AI/ML software with intelligent robotics — drastically reducing part counts and manufacturing latency via autonomous rocket-construction pipelines.Eric Schmidt45.4%unknownunknownin_progress
SPC_002pure_playMarkets/StocksA SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion valuation target — with roughly one-third defensible solely on proven Starlink + launch cash flow, and remaining two-thirds resting on speculative programs (Starship V3, o...Morgan Stanley45.0%unknownunknownpending
246_010pure_playMarkets/StocksSpaceX/XAI/Tesla will be the first $100 trillion company within 5 years.Peter Diamandis42.7%unknownunknownpending
248_001pure_playSpaceApple will soon pit Amazon (Global Star) against SpaceX Starlink as dual satellite vendors.Alex Wissner-Gross42.0%unknownunknownpending
246_015pure_playSpaceElon will launch Starship toward Mars this year (2026, cited from Elon).Elon Musk41.6%unknownunknownpending
SPC_012pure_playSpaceSpaceX will perfect orbital refueling architectures by 2027 — the critical prerequisite for future Mars missions, enabling Starship depot-based beyond-LEO operations.Peter Diamandis40.9%unknownunknownpending
SPC_009pure_playSpaceFormal 5-to-7-year delay announced February 2026 for SpaceX's foundational Mars missions — framed as 'sequencing decision' not abandonment. Executing NASA Artemis lunar contracts generates near-term revenue to finance Starship R&D. Shotwell's prior Mar...Gwynne Shotwell38.7%unknownunknownin_progress
234_040pure_playReal EstateElon predicts FSD and Starlink may reverse urbanization in AmericaElon Musk38.4%unknownunknownpending
242_007pure_playMarkets/StocksPrediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab valuePrediction markets37.6%unknownunknownpending
246_054pure_playSpaceBlue Origin gearing up to be first-tier competitor with SpaceX for moon missions.Alex Wissner-Gross36.7%unknownunknownpending
242_038pure_playSpaceHumans will land on the moon again in 2-3 years via StarshipAlex Wissner-Gross35.2%unknownunknownpending
246_007pure_playMarkets/StocksSpaceX road show will begin in June 2026.Peter Diamandis35.1%unknownunknownpending
232_046pure_playSpaceSpaceX will build a system that allows anyone to travel to moon and Mars after Starship V3 flies repeatedly.Elon Musk32.5%unknownunknownpending
SEM_044pure_playSpaceBlue Origin will land cargo at Shackleton Crater before SpaceX — validating lunar economy and resource extraction as immediate commercial priority.Peter Diamandis32.2%unknownunknownpending
246_009pure_playMarkets/StocksSpaceX and Tesla will NOT merge absent financial distress or capital need.Alex Wissner-Gross32.1%unknownunknownpending
235_016pure_playSpaceSpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026).Peter Diamandis31.2%unknownunknownpending
IND_016pure_playSpaceBy late 2026, SpaceX will launch a flotilla of approximately 5 uncrewed Starships to the Martian surface — success relies entirely on autonomous orbital refilling + AI-driven landing telemetry, proving precursor infrastructure for human colonization ca...Gwynne Shotwell21.7%unknownunknownpending

Adverse scenarios (0)

Predictions where this ticker is displaced
PredDomainPredictionPredictorCurrentMoveImpactMechanism
No adverse scenarios