Predictions
46 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPC_028 | Labor/Jobs | corporate-collapse-1.1M-jobs | Ismail and Blundin forecast widespread corporate collapses in 2025-2026 for t… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2025-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 231_009 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | India will be the rising giant for the next 20-30 years, with Africa following. | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2056-10-31 |
| IND_025 | Macro/Economy | Ismail-Agentic-Era-2027-ExO | Global economy enters 'Agentic Era' in 2027 — AI comprehensively automates kn… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 38.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| 234_001 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | India will be the next giant on the rise while China is on the decline | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31 |
| 234_008 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Workflows will move from human-centric to agentic with humans doing oversight… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-12-31 |
| 234_022 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Consulting firms face the biggest advisory opportunity in the history of mankind | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 234_024 | Labor/Jobs | AGI | Financial systems between AI and blockchain will become self-auditing on a re… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-12-31 |
| 234_044 | AI | AI-timing | Intelligence does not have a fixed upper bound; governance will cap it before IQ | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-08-31 |
| 236_037 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | Transportation will shift from ownership to subscription/access model | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-10-31 |
| 236_042 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Insurance underwriting will flip from driver risk to systemic risk as FSD mat… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 236_044 | Education | AI-timing | Universities turning into incubators/venture studios is the only way they sur… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-09-30 |
| 238_008 | Markets/Stocks | abundance | Many incumbent companies will be in deep trouble between now and the abundanc… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 238_053 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Innovation is no longer capital constrained — permissionless disruptive innov… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31 |
| 238_063 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Automating companies with AI leaves ~25% of employees doing oversight; 5x mor… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 240_017 | Energy | AI-timing | Optimization may eliminate need to tile the world with data centers or massiv… | Salim Ismail | 2/5 | D | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-11-30 |
| 240_033 | AI | AI-timing | AI will compress decades of research into years, months, weeks | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 240_059 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | AI eventually drives costs of goods to just cost of electricity and materials | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31 |
| 242_014 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Human driving will become illegal starting in city centers, then broadening out | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 242_027 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Hyperloop will be used largely for commercial/cargo loads, not humans | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 242_029 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Typical companies will run with 20-25% of current employees | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 242_053 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | New car manufacturing demand will collapse by ~50% due to AV utilization | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-10-31 |
| 246_040 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | In cities people mostly won't own cars once autonomy mainstream (subscription… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 235_011 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | PE fund will emerge shortly to buy medium/big companies and install AI digita… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_005 | AI | AI-timing | The organizational singularity will impact every company, nonprofit, and gove… | Salim Ismail | 5/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_006 | AI | AI-timing | OpenClaw on AWS will be the biggest enterprise unlock in decades | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_039 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Any company will be run by 20-25% of current employees post-organizational si… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_034 | Markets/Stocks | AGI | Capital chasing AI stories is outpacing operating reality; narrative leverage… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_038 | Robotics | humanoids | We will see humanoid robot threats alongside the current Sam Altman backlash. | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_039 | AI | NVIDIA | Social license, not chips or compute, may be the true bottleneck to AI and wi… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_042 | Robotics | humanoids | A sewing robot already exists; logistics robots will automate trillion-dollar… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_045 | Biotech/Longevity | humanoids | Another humanoid species will emerge at some future point beyond homo sapiens. | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 230_042 | AI | AI-timing | A pure AI organization will emerge soon — won't look efficient, will look 'li… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 235_043 | Defense | AI-timing | Anthropic may win legal challenge against Dept of War classification. | Salim Ismail | 2/5 | D | 45.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 238_059 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Era of greed and ignored fundamental problems will disappear in 2-3 years as … | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2029-12-31 |
| 231_027 | Other | crypto | Algorithmic arbitration with cryptographic verification will create programma… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 231_048 | AI | AI-timing | Thousands of experiments from permissionless disruptive innovation will compl… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 232_042 | Macro/Economy | economy | GDP expands massively as intelligence becomes infrastructure; Jevons paradox … | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 235_012 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Large companies cannot pivot rapidly enough; zero ability to change. | Salim Ismail | 5/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 235_039 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | AI will enter government through procurement, defense, health, infrastructure… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 247_016 | Macro/Economy | abundance | Huge backlash against AI abundance without institutional redesign | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 247_022 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Companies will run with 20-25% of previous workforce, spawn 4-5x more companies | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 231_042 | Labor/Jobs | economy | Job loss from AI will take a long while to play out - not a sudden shock to t… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 238_058 | Macro/Economy | abundance | Abundance X-Prize to deliver housing, food, energy, connectivity for $250/mon… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2032-01-01 – 2033-12-31 |
| 231_010 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | China has peaked and is going to be on descent. | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2033-06-01 – 2033-06-30 |
| 231_051 | Crypto | crypto | Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exch… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2033-06-01 – 2033-06-30 |
| 238_031 | Other | AI-timing | Future is unpredictable beyond three weeks in the AI era | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | — – — |