Predictions
85 of 1,607 predictions match — page 2 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234_012 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 235_011 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | PE fund will emerge shortly to buy medium/big companies and install AI digita… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 235_017 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | OpenAI will likely go public at north of $1 trillion valuation. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 235_031 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | Eli Lilly perilously close to $1 trillion market cap at ~$950B. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_055 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Anthropic heading to IPO, pursuing $50B from Amazon | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_015 | Markets/Stocks | NVIDIA | Google and Nvidia will both do incredibly well due to TPU/GPU positioning | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 244_033 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Uber will take big bets on adjacent fields, some will fail | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 246_007 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX road show will begin in June 2026. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_022 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Deepseek-style hyperdeflation moments from algorithmic innovation will become… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_034 | Markets/Stocks | AGI | Capital chasing AI stories is outpacing operating reality; narrative leverage… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_035 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Components of the AI data center buildout (power, memory, etc.) will see 3x-1… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_047 | Markets/Stocks | AGI | Memory companies' stock prices will continue increasing despite algorithmic e… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 238_033 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Meta will someday be acquired by an AI company (largest-company-killer scenario) | Alex Wissner-Gross | 2/5 | C | 40.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| CYB_013 | Markets/Stocks | data-flywheel-WealthWeaver | The most resilient corporate moats in agentic commerce will NOT be built on s… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | in_progress | 2027-01-01 – 2032-11-30 |
| SPC_007 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX-Tesla-reverse-merger | SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company wil… | Chamath Palihapitiya | 4/5 | B | 15.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| 235_025 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Nvidia's margins unsustainable; cracks in armor but all chips made will sell. | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 235_044 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | AI sector will grow from $20T to $30-40T of $50T total US public market cap. | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 237_005 | Markets/Stocks | AGI | Apple can flip being viewed as AI loser and win the AI consumer race by lever… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 237_017 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | The entire SaaS market is going to zero because features can be rebuilt in fi… | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 238_051 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | If Anthropic grows 10x year-over-year two more years, it reaches $2.6T revenu… | Dave Blundin | 2/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-05-31 |
| 242_031 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Most large companies' business models will be disrupted in 2-5 years | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2031-11-30 |
| 230_010 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Mega-cap AI companies will reach trillion to 10-trillion+ valuations but have… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 230_011 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Enterprise software will be dead because AI can just write code (per Dario Am… | Dario Amodei | 4/5 | B | 70.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 230_019 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | The old (non-AGI insurance) will go away faster than people think, but the ne… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 230_051 | Markets/Stocks | humanoids | Amazon/hyperscalers will continue pouring free cash flow into AI data centers… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 232_035 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Apple is sitting on a multi-trillion dollar opportunity to leapfrog back into… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 235_012 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Large companies cannot pivot rapidly enough; zero ability to change. | Salim Ismail | 5/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 235_013 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Disruption cycle time will shrink from every 10 years to every 10 weeks to ev… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 234_013 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Extrapolating Anthropic growth, they will hit $1 trillion revenue in 2029 | Dave Blundin | 2/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2029-05-31 |
| 238_052 | Markets/Stocks | AGI | $100 trillion companies within 5 years (3 years from now, per Diamandis inter… | Elon Musk | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2031-09-30 |
| AI_012 | Markets/Stocks | software-TAM-expansion | Software development markets will expand at approximately 20% annual rate, ba… | Morgan Stanley | 4/5 | B | 70.0% | in_progress | 2029-01-01 – 2029-11-30 |
| 235_041 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Anthropic implied valuation using PE ratio could be one quadrillion dollars. | Dave Blundin | 2/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2029-06-01 – 2029-06-30 |
| 230_049 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Big AI companies will own as much as they want up to the edge of antitrust tr… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 246_010 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX/XAI/Tesla will be the first $100 trillion company within 5 years. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2031-01-01 – 2031-09-30 |
| 230_050 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | One of the hidden Nvidia-style AI beneficiaries will exist within current non… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2038-06-01 – 2038-06-30 |