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319 of 1,622 predictions match — page 7 of 7. Click any row to view its detail.

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ID	Domain	Topic	Title	Predictor	Conv	SQ	Prior	Status	Window
237_007	AI	AI-timing	Every other company will eventually try to provide OS-integrated local AI lik…	Alex Finn	3/5	D	50.0%	pending	2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
235_001	AI	AI-scaling	Anthropic will be first company to hit $1 trillion in revenue by 2029-2030.	Dave Blundin	3/5	B	55.0%	pending	2029-01-01 – 2030-10-31
247_036	AI	crypto	Google's Q-Day for quantum breaking RSA moved up to 2029	Google	4/5	D	55.0%	pending	2029-01-01 – 2029-08-31
INF_071	AI	AGI-2029-singularity	Artificial General Intelligence will be achieved by 2029; humans will begin t…	Ray Kurzweil	5/5	A	45.0%	pending	2029-01-01 – 2029-10-31
234_020	AI	AI-timing	AI spending will grow from $2B/day to $3-5B/day by 2030	Peter Diamandis	3/5	B	60.0%	pending	2030-01-01 – 2030-11-30
AI_001	AI	ASI-2030-peak-human	AI will surpass peak human intelligence across ALL economically valuable doma…	Sam Altman	4/5	A	32.0%	pending	2030-01-01 – 2030-11-30
AUT_012	AI	world-models-AGI-2030-2035	True AGI arrives 2030-2035 (5-10 years from 2026) based on advanced 'world mo…	Demis Hassabis	4/5	A	45.0%	pending	2030-01-01 – 2035-10-31
CMQ_003	AI	superintelligence	By 2030, AI models will surpass peak human expert levels across virtually all…	Sam Altman	5/5	A	35.0%	pending	2030-01-01 – 2030-09-30
INF_022	AI	nanotech-third-bridge	By the 2030s, the 'third bridge' of nanotechnology will enable molecular-leve…	Ray Kurzweil	3/5	C	10.0%	pending	2030-01-01 – 2045-10-31
INF_072	AI	AGI-scaling-50-50	There is approximately a 50/50 chance that simply scaling existing methodolog…	Demis Hassabis	3/5	A	50.0%	pending	2030-01-01 – 2042-09-30
SPC_023	AI	Altman-roadmap-2030-2036	Altman's specific chronological roadmap: 2030 'wildly abundant' intelligence …	Sam Altman	5/5	A	18.0%	pending	2030-01-01 – 2036-11-30
241_001	AI	AI-timing	We are only 10-15% into the impacts of AI	Eric Schmidt	4/5	C	60.0%	pending	2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30
231_038	AI	AI-scaling	TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long.	Dave Blundin	4/5	B	60.0%	pending	2031-01-01 – 2033-08-31
246_042	AI	AI-timing	On 5-10 year timeframe, many solar system locals will be uploaded humans livi…	Alex Wissner-Gross	3/5	C	45.0%	pending	2031-01-01 – 2036-08-31
230_038	AI	AI-timing	AI will be net super-humanizing long-term despite short-term substitution eff…	Alex Wissner-Gross	4/5	B	50.0%	pending	2033-06-01 – 2033-06-30
233_012	AI	AI-timing	AI will give kids superpowers and transform their childhood.	Joe Liemandt	4/5	C	45.0%	pending	2033-06-01 – 2033-06-30
AI_006	AI	agents-decade-out	True autonomous agents are 'not anywhere close' — AGI and reliable long-horiz…	Andrej Karpathy	4/5	B	45.0%	pending	2034-01-01 – 2034-10-31
IND_004	AI	AGI-decade-away-2-percent-blend	True AGI remains approximately a decade away (circa 2034) — AGI will NOT mani…	Andrej Karpathy	5/5	A	50.0%	pending	2034-01-01 – 2034-09-30
AI_007	AI	singularity-2039-nanobots	Technological singularity arrives by 2039 — computing capacity matches the hu…	Ray Kurzweil	5/5	B	20.0%	pending	2039-01-01 – 2039-08-31