Predictions

182 of 1,607 predictions match — page 2 of 4. Click any row to view its detail.

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IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
CMQ_023AI/Computetokens-economyTokens are the new raw material — data centers are no longer cost centers but…Jensen Huang5/5A85.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
CMQ_024AI/Computetokens-per-watt'Tokens per Watt' is the defining Key Performance Indicator (KPI) for the mod…Jensen Huang5/5A80.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
CMQ_025AI/ComputeDC-replacementThe entire global installed base of data centers must be ripped out and repla…Jensen Huang5/5A78.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2032-12-31
CMQ_029Semis/MemoryDRAM-mandateDRAM manufacturers must expand production aggressively — 'NVIDIA will buy all…Jensen Huang5/5A90.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31
CMQ_030AI/ComputeCPU-resurgenceIn the modern AI pipeline, the CPU no longer merely supports the model — it d…Jensen Huang5/5A78.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
CMQ_032Macro/Economycost-of-intelligenceExponential collapse in cost of intelligence shifts the primary economic bott…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5A75.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31
CMQ_034Semis/MemoryHBM-shortageHBM will remain in structural shortage through at least 2027 — shortage exten…Morgan Stanley5/5A85.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31
CMQ_041Semis/Memoryconsumer-DRAM-shortageReallocation of foundry real estate toward high-margin HBM leaves severe unad…Morgan Stanley5/5A82.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31
CMQ_042AI/ComputeCPU-bottleneck-shiftAs AI evolves from Generative to Agentic, structural computing bottlenecks sh…Morgan Stanley5/5A72.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
CMQ_055Roboticshumanoid-UIMultimodal voice recognition powered by generative AI will serve as the defau…Brett Adcock4/5A78.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2028-09-30
CMQ_056AI/Computeedge-SLMSmall Language Model (SLM) optimizations and model-distillation techniques wi…Dario Amodei4/5A82.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
CMQ_057AIdemocratizationDemocratization of sophisticated AI tools means any 'kid in a basement' can n…Mark Cuban4/5B85.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-08-31
CMQ_058AI/Computelocal-computeLocalized hardware setups (multiple Apple Mac Studios, dedicated 'AI Max 300'…Alex Finn4/5B80.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
CMQ_059AIlocal-compute-driversShift to local compute is driven by: (1) absolute data privacy, (2) cost cont…Alex Finn4/5B82.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30
CYB_002Macro/Economyintegration-schlepDespite raw agentic tool-use benchmarks tracking ahead of schedule, the enter…Leopold Aschenbrenner4/5B85.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31
CYB_004AIAAIF-interoperability-standardsThe Agentic AI Foundation (AAIF) under the Linux Foundation — backed by Dorse…Jack Dorsey4/5C58.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2029-09-30
CYB_005AImemory-becomes-moat'Memory becomes the moat' — by 2026, the global discourse around 'AI safety' …Ray Kurzweil5/5B72.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-08-31
CYB_008Semismemory-capex-8-to-30Hyperscaler capital expenditure specifically on memory architecture leaps fro…Morgan Stanley5/5B78.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
CYB_010Markets/Stocksagentic-commerce-redistributionAgentic commerce will radically redistribute — not grow — the global commerce…Morgan Stanley4/5B70.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-11-30
CYB_011Consumerask-and-buy-delegationConsumer commerce shifts from 'search and click' to 'ask and buy' — persisten…Alex Finn4/5C62.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31
CYB_012AIrecommendation-poisoning'Recommendation poisoning' — deliberate corruption of the data lakes, trainin…Alex Finn5/5B78.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2029-08-31
CYB_014Macro/EconomyExO-demonetizationThe Exponential Organization (ExO) framework becomes mandatory corporate stru…Salim Ismail4/5C58.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2032-12-31
CYB_017Labor/Jobsprompt-engineering-commercePrompt engineering evolves into a specialized commerce vector — marketplaces …David Holz3/5C55.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31
CYB_019Roboticsworld-model-training-groundsDeployment of 'world model systems' — AI that accurately simulates and antici…Demis Hassabis4/5A80.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-08-31
CYB_020SpaceStarlink-AI-data-canopyStarlink expansion — navigating regulatory regimes like India's IN-SPACe appr…Gwynne Shotwell4/5C75.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-11-30
CYB_021Spaceorbital-AI-life-supportCommercial orbital missions will increasingly depend on AI for advanced simul…Jared Isaacman4/5C72.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2032-11-30
CYB_022AILiteLLM-supply-chain-vulnerabilitySupply-chain attacks targeting widely utilized open-source AI packages — exem…Alex Wissner-Gross5/5B78.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2028-11-30
CYB_024DefenseChatGPT-moment-genetic-engineeringThe combination of generative AI and advanced synthetic biology is actively c…Eric Schmidt5/5B72.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-09-30
CYB_025Otherprompter-to-partner-liabilityThe legal profession must transition from viewing AI as a 'prompter' to an ac…Ralph Losey4/5C82.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31
FUT_004AILarge-Action-Models-displace-LLMsRapid ascension and enterprise dominance of Large Action Models (LAMs) by 202…Amy Webb5/5B75.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-09-30
FUT_005Biotech/LongevityLiving-Intelligence-synthetic-biologyEmergence of 'Living Intelligence' 2026-2031: violent transformative converge…Amy Webb5/5B55.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-06-30
FUT_007Macro/Economystructural-demographic-depression-2026-2031Global economy accelerates into structural demographic depression 2026-2031 —…Peter Zeihan5/5B55.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-12-31
FUT_009Geopoliticslocalized-warfare-copper-fertilizer-energyWars 2026-2031 pivot decisively from ideological struggles to brutal localize…Peter Zeihan4/5B60.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-11-30
FUT_010Energysolar-4x-cost-reduction-33-percent-globalFundamental cost of clean electricity drops by another multiple of 4 over 202…Ramez Naam5/5A70.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-10-31
FUT_012Energygrid-parity-subsidy-independent-fossil-strandingTwo-thirds of world's nations reaching tipping point 2026-2031 where building…Ramez Naam5/5A68.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-11-30
FUT_013Auto/Transportbattery-swapping-clean-li-ion-shippingExponential scaling of modular battery swapping infrastructure (Ample), mass …Ramez Naam4/5C55.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-10-31
FUT_014GeopoliticsUS-political-revolution-1-risk'US political revolution' ranked #1 tier global risk 2026+ per Eurasia Group …Ian Bremmer5/5A62.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2028-11-30
FUT_015Geopoliticsmultipolarity-without-multilateralismEra of 'multipolarity without multilateralism' defining 2026-2031 per Eurasia…Ian Bremmer4/5B72.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-10-31
FUT_016Labor/JobsFLUX-superpowers-portfolio-careers-2030Next 5 years (2026-2030) require individuals + organizations to adopt 'FLUX' …April Rinne4/5C55.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
FUT_018EnergyEnergy-Islanding-sovereign-autonomyRise of 'Energy Islanding' 2026-2031 — sovereign nations possessing BOTH geog…Multi-Forecaster Synthesis4/5B55.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-11-30
FUT_020Labor/JobsLAM-deployment-forced-by-demographic-atrophyProfound structural collision: exponential AI cognitive bandwidth (Webb LAMs …Multi-Forecaster Synthesis4/5B65.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-12-31
FUT_022Macro/EconomyNorth-American-industrial-resurgenceMassive resurgence in North American industrialization 2026-2031 driven by ge…Peter Zeihan4/5B72.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-12-31
FUT_023Geopoliticsdemographic-bifurcation-wealthy-vs-resource-starved'Demographic bifurcation' 2026-2031: widening divides in size, growth, and st…Ian Bremmer4/5B78.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-10-31
FUT_025Energyrenewable-runaway-feedback-loopRunaway economic feedback loop 2026-2031: cheaper renewable energy incentiviz…Ramez Naam4/5B75.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-11-30
IND_001Labor/JobsMac-Mini-autonomous-enterprise-paritySingle operators utilizing low-cost hardware (e.g., $600 Mac Minis) will be a…Alex Finn4/5C55.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31
IND_010Biotech/LongevityVarda-orbital-pharma-factory-to-pharmaAutonomous orbital manufacturing (facilitated by companies like Varda Space I…Jared Isaacman4/5B55.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30
IND_019Labor/JobsMS-4-percent-net-job-reduction2026 is the year AI's impact on workers fundamentally comes into focus — near…Morgan Stanley4/5B62.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
IND_023Roboticsbipedal-robotics-municipal-utility'Cambrian explosion of bipedal labor' driven by hundreds of robotics companie…Alex Wissner-Gross5/5C48.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31
INF_013EnergyBYOP-gasNatural gas will meet approximately 20% of the world's new power needs outsid…Morgan Stanley4/5A78.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-10-31
INF_015Energycooling-KPIsPower Usage Effectiveness (PUE) and Water Usage Effectiveness (WUE) will tran…Morgan Stanley4/5B90.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2028-10-31