Predictions
68 of 1,607 predictions match — page 2 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INF_020 | Space | orbital-DC-market | In-orbit data-center market will reach approximately $1.77 billion by 2029 an… | BIS Research | 4/5 | B | 30.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2035-10-31 |
| 232_046 | Space | SpaceX | SpaceX will build a system that allows anyone to travel to moon and Mars afte… | Elon Musk | 3/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2029-06-01 – 2029-06-30 |
| 242_037 | Space | orbital-AI | China will land on the moon before end of 2030 | China (government) | 4/5 | D | 55.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-10-31 |
| 246_017 | Space | AI-timing | Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| 231_032 | Space | orbital-AI | Everyone (China included) will want their own Dyson swarms/Saturnian rings in… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 231_033 | Space | AI-timing | Data centers in space will take 5-7 years at best, not 2-3. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2031-01-01 – 2033-11-30 |
| 246_016 | Space | AI-timing | Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2034-01-01 – 2034-11-30 |
| 232_048 | Space | AI-timing | Earth will develop a visible halo/ring of AI satellites; could be visible at … | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2034-06-01 – 2034-06-30 |
| 232_038 | Space | $100T | Lunar fabs are a $100 trillion dollar opportunity. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2035-06-01 – 2035-06-30 |
| 239_008 | Space | AGI | Moon base will exist in 10 years | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 239_009 | Space | AGI | People will be on Mars within 10 years | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 239_010 | Space | AGI | Mass driver on the moon within 10 years | Elon Musk | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 232_047 | Space | AGI | Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-susta… | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2037-06-01 – 2037-06-30 |
| SPC_011 | Space | lunar-factories-500-1000TW | Lunar-surface factories leveraging local resources will manufacture satellite… | Elon Musk | 5/5 | B | 5.0% | pending | 2040-01-01 – 2060-10-31 |
| 232_049 | Space | orbital-AI | Dyson swarm of AI orbital data centers will be built by disassembling the moo… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | A | 30.0% | pending | 2040-06-01 – 2040-06-30 |
| SPC_026 | Space | multiplanetary-post-2045 | Humanity becoming a truly multiplanetary species is strictly an era BEYOND th… | Ray Kurzweil | 4/5 | B | 30.0% | pending | 2045-01-01 – 2045-10-31 |
| SPC_010 | Space | Mars-self-sustaining-1M-2050 | Establishment of a self-sustaining city on Mars populated by 1 million people… | Elon Musk | 5/5 | A | 8.0% | pending | 2050-01-01 – 2050-11-30 |
| 235_040 | Space | orbital-AI | Earth-scale Dyson swarm in solar synchronous orbit will be built regardless o… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2070-06-01 – 2070-06-30 |