Predictions
10 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241_016 | Energy | AI-timing | 92 GW power shortage in America between now and 2030 | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 241_017 | Energy | AI-timing | Equivalent of ~60 nuclear plants needed by 2030 but essentially zero being built | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 241_052 | Energy | AI-timing | Standard AI data centers being built at 400 MW scale, half-mile long | Eric Schmidt | 5/5 | C | 92.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| INF_021 | Energy | steel-mills-climate-deferral | AI data centers are the 'steel mills of the 21st century' — humanity will mis… | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | B | 72.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| 241_018 | Energy | AI-timing | Algorithms becoming more efficient will not reduce power demand - it will inc… | Eric Schmidt | 5/5 | C | 65.0% | in_progress | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_020 | Energy | AI-timing | 1 GW of power = ~$50 billion in hardware/software/data centers | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_044 | Energy | AI-timing | Rate of data center construction will continue accelerating with government s… | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | in_progress | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_023 | Energy | AI-timing | 10% of US electricity will be used by data centers | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 231_030 | Energy | AI-timing | US AI industry needs 80 gigawatts of power in the next 3-5 years (Eric Schmid… | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2031-10-31 |
| 235_023 | Energy | AI-timing | Eric Schmidt said AI will require 100 gigawatts by 2029, called it a crisis. | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2029-11-30 |