Predictions
11 of 1,611 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 246_015 | Space | SpaceX | Elon will launch Starship toward Mars this year (2026, cited from Elon). | Elon Musk | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| ROB_011 | Space | Optimus-Mars-2026 | An Optimus unit will be sent to Mars by 2026 — signaling the role of autonomo… | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 8.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 241_025 | Space | AGI | Elon Musk predicts launch per hour cadence to populate satellite constellations | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| INF_018 | Space | orbital-DCs | SpaceX will pursue orbital data-center megaconstellations — leveraging 24/7 s… | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 30.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2035-11-30 |
| 232_046 | Space | SpaceX | SpaceX will build a system that allows anyone to travel to moon and Mars afte… | Elon Musk | 3/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2029-06-01 – 2029-06-30 |
| 239_008 | Space | AGI | Moon base will exist in 10 years | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 239_009 | Space | AGI | People will be on Mars within 10 years | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 239_010 | Space | AGI | Mass driver on the moon within 10 years | Elon Musk | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 232_047 | Space | AGI | Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-susta… | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2037-06-01 – 2037-06-30 |
| SPC_011 | Space | lunar-factories-500-1000TW | Lunar-surface factories leveraging local resources will manufacture satellite… | Elon Musk | 5/5 | B | 5.0% | pending | 2040-01-01 – 2060-10-31 |
| SPC_010 | Space | Mars-self-sustaining-1M-2050 | Establishment of a self-sustaining city on Mars populated by 1 million people… | Elon Musk | 5/5 | A | 8.0% | pending | 2050-01-01 – 2050-11-30 |