Predictions
14 of 1,621 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CYB_020 | Space | Starlink-AI-data-canopy | Starlink expansion — navigating regulatory regimes like India's IN-SPACe appr… | Gwynne Shotwell | 4/5 | C | 75.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| CYB_021 | Space | orbital-AI-life-support | Commercial orbital missions will increasingly depend on AI for advanced simul… | Jared Isaacman | 4/5 | C | 72.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2032-11-30 |
| ROB_023 | Space | Falcon-9-140-launches-2026 | SpaceX expects approximately 140-145 Falcon 9 launches in 2026 — maintaining … | Gwynne Shotwell | 5/5 | B | 72.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| SPC_013 | Space | NASA-cadence-6-to-9-months | As 15th NASA Administrator (confirmed December 2025), Isaacman predicts NASA … | Jared Isaacman | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2030-10-31 |
| SPC_015 | Space | AI-collision-avoidance-LEO | AI will continuously analyze orbital trajectories of active satellites and sp… | Andrej Karpathy | 4/5 | B | 82.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| SPC_016 | Space | EO-edge-computing-satellite | AI transforms Earth Observation satellites via on-orbit edge computing — pars… | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 80.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| SPC_021 | Space | Relativity-AI-rocket-manufacturing | Relativity Space will revolutionize manufacturing of atmospheric and orbital … | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2029-10-31 |
| 241_024 | Space | AI-timing | Heat dissipation and radiation issues in space data centers will be addressed | Eric Schmidt | 3/5 | C | 65.0% | in_progress | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_026 | Space | AI-timing | Space data center technology is understood and largely figured out | Eric Schmidt | 3/5 | C | 65.0% | in_progress | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_019 | Space | orbital-AI | US data center moratoriums will push AI compute out to LEO / sun-synchronous … | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | B | 65.0% | in_progress | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 231_035 | Space | SpaceX | SpaceX/Elon will consume all their launch capacity for Starlink, leaving othe… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | in_progress | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 230_016 | Space | orbital-AI | Data center regulation in NY/elsewhere will accelerate moving compute to orbi… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | B | 92.0% | in_progress | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| SPC_009 | Space | Mars-5-to-7-year-delay | Formal 5-to-7-year delay announced February 2026 for SpaceX's foundational Ma… | Gwynne Shotwell | 4/5 | A | 35.0% | in_progress | 2034-01-01 – 2034-10-31 |
| SPC_001 | Space | global-space-economy-trillion | The global space industry, roughly $350 billion today, will surge past $1 tri… | Morgan Stanley | 5/5 | B | 78.0% | in_progress | 2040-01-01 – 2040-10-31 |