Validations Queue
47,884 candidate doc → node links pending adjudication. Each was auto-generated by cosine similarity ≥ 0.55 between document and prediction embeddings (bge-base-en-v1.5, 768-dim). Showing page 4 of 70, 200 rows by similarity. Adjudicating updates doc_node_links.reviewed=true with the chosen polarity, writes per-link rows to audit_log, and removes the row from this queue. Phase 4 inference will use confirmed corroborates/contradicts links as Bayesian evidence.
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Confirm or label (corroborates / contradicts) all unreviewed links above a similarity threshold in one transaction. Each affected row writes a per-link audit_log entry. Capped at 1,000 links per call. Use Preview first.
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| Sim | Doc | Source | Pred | Domain | Prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 4%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?(market prob: 77%) | polymarket 2026-05-04 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?(market prob: 27%) | polymarket 2026-05-07 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?(market prob: 60%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?(market prob: 36%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-12 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-12 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?(market prob: 14%) | polymarket 2026-05-11 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 30?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-23 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-05-25 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 2?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-27 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?(market prob: 6%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-10-10 | 242_056 AI models will become manager of entire economy, not just picking off mom/pop businesses Alex Wissner-Gross | Macro/Economy | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-10-10 | 248_016 ASI is imminent; access to top AI models will be closed down in a couple of years. Dave Blundin | AI | 49% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?(market prob: 17%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-29 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-03-20 | 242_056 AI models will become manager of entire economy, not just picking off mom/pop businesses Alex Wissner-Gross | Macro/Economy | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2025-07-03 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.69 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-04-13 | 248_016 ASI is imminent; access to top AI models will be closed down in a couple of years. Dave Blundin | AI | 49% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-04-27 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.69 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-13 | 242_056 AI models will become manager of entire economy, not just picking off mom/pop businesses Alex Wissner-Gross | Macro/Economy | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-27 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?(market prob: 14%) | polymarket 2026-04-27 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-28 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-07-08 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?(market prob: 9%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?(market prob: 77%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?(market prob: 4%) | polymarket 2026-05-05 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-04 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-05 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-05-07 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-05 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-07 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-07 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-08 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?(market prob: 91%) | polymarket 2026-02-09 | 238_027 OpenAI, xAI, Google Gemini capabilities will skyrocket, achieving parity with Anthropic after DoW friction Alex Wissner-Gross | AI | 35% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-12 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?(market prob: 74%) | polymarket 2026-02-04 | 238_027 OpenAI, xAI, Google Gemini capabilities will skyrocket, achieving parity with Anthropic after DoW friction Alex Wissner-Gross | AI | 35% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?(market prob: 16%) | polymarket 2026-05-11 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?(market prob: 67%) | polymarket 2026-05-11 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-10 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?(market prob: 4%) | polymarket 2026-05-10 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?(market prob: 79%) | polymarket 2026-05-14 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-05-12 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-25 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?(market prob: 83%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?(market prob: 8%) | polymarket 2026-05-27 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-10-10 | 248_016 ASI is imminent; access to top AI models will be closed down in a couple of years. Dave Blundin | AI | 49% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-29 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 8?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?(market prob: 5%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7?(market prob: 95%) | polymarket 2026-06-04 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?(market prob: 62%) | polymarket 2026-04-23 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-25 | 235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis | Space | 31% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-25 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-07-10 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?(market prob: 96%) | polymarket 2026-04-24 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-04-25 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-04-25 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-04-26 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?(market prob: 5%) | polymarket 2026-04-26 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 2?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 4?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-27 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?(market prob: 57%) | polymarket 2026-04-28 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-28 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?(market prob: 15%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-05 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 42%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-04 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?(market prob: 71%) | polymarket 2026-05-07 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-04 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-05-04 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-07 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-12 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?(market prob: 4%) | polymarket 2026-05-08 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?(market prob: 91%) | polymarket 2026-02-09 | 246_029 Apple will announce iPhone with Gemini-derived on-device model at WWDC June 2026. Alex Wissner-Gross | AI | 54% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-12 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-14 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?(market prob: 23%) | polymarket 2026-05-14 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-07-03 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?(market prob: 10%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-31 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 30?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-23 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-07-10 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?(market prob: 9%) | polymarket 2026-04-23 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-24 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-13 | 248_016 ASI is imminent; access to top AI models will be closed down in a couple of years. Dave Blundin | AI | 49% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-25 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-07-10 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 2?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-25 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?(market prob: 6%) | polymarket 2026-04-27 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-25 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-26 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 5?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-28 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-07-10 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-04-28 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-05 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?(market prob: 91%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?(market prob: 42%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?(market prob: 67%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-03 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-04 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-03 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-05 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?(market prob: 92%) | polymarket 2026-05-05 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?(market prob: 5%) | polymarket 2026-05-05 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-05 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-08 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-11 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.69 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?(market prob: 67%) | polymarket 2026-05-11 | INF_068 2026 will be a watershed year for state and institutional Bitcoin accumulation — nations will drive a sustained Bitcoin shopping spree, formalizing digital assets as reserve infrastructure. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 34% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?(market prob: 70%) | polymarket 2026-03-24 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-23 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-25 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?(market prob: 26%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 4?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-04 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?(market prob: 5%) | polymarket 2026-06-05 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.69 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-03-20 | 247_010 Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory Dave Blundin | AI | 45% | |
| 0.68 | Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-07-03 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.68 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-13 | 248_016 ASI is imminent; access to top AI models will be closed down in a couple of years. Dave Blundin | AI | 49% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-28 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-04-13 | 242_056 AI models will become manager of entire economy, not just picking off mom/pop businesses Alex Wissner-Gross | Macro/Economy | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-04-13 | CYB_028 The 2024-2026 AI arms race directly parallels the hyper-speculative early-1990s dot-com bubble and subsequent search-engine wars — while underlying technology is transformative, the vast majority of highly-valued competitors and heavily-funded startups... Mark Cuban | Markets/Stocks | 48% | |
| 0.68 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-13 | 248_010 AI capabilities will advance 100x in 2026 (by summer, potentially more). Dave Blundin | AI | 31% | |
| 0.68 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-13 | IND_011 2024-2026 window represents 'AI's iPhone moment' — tech ecosystem moves rapidly beyond simple chatbots to living autonomous AI agents; this shift fundamentally breaks traditional SaaS business model, transitioning economy toward outcome-based pricing r... Jason Calacanis | Macro/Economy | 58% | |
| 0.68 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2025-07-03 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?(market prob: 4%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-28 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 6?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-06 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.68 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.68 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?(market prob: 74%) | polymarket 2026-05-04 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?(market prob: 5%) | polymarket 2026-05-04 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 8?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-08 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.68 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-06 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.68 | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? (market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2025-11-11 | 241_027 China will win low-end robotic hardware race Eric Schmidt | Robotics | 49% | |
| 0.68 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-05-06 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.68 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?(market prob: 70%) | polymarket 2026-05-06 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 47%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?(market prob: 8%) | polymarket 2026-05-28 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?(market prob: 9%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?(market prob: 12%) | polymarket 2025-10-10 | 248_016 ASI is imminent; access to top AI models will be closed down in a couple of years. Dave Blundin | AI | 49% | |
| 0.68 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?(market prob: 12%) | polymarket 2025-10-10 | CYB_028 The 2024-2026 AI arms race directly parallels the hyper-speculative early-1990s dot-com bubble and subsequent search-engine wars — while underlying technology is transformative, the vast majority of highly-valued competitors and heavily-funded startups... Mark Cuban | Markets/Stocks | 48% | |
| 0.68 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-10-10 | IND_011 2024-2026 window represents 'AI's iPhone moment' — tech ecosystem moves rapidly beyond simple chatbots to living autonomous AI agents; this shift fundamentally breaks traditional SaaS business model, transitioning economy toward outcome-based pricing r... Jason Calacanis | Macro/Economy | 58% | |
| 0.68 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-10-10 | 242_056 AI models will become manager of entire economy, not just picking off mom/pop businesses Alex Wissner-Gross | Macro/Economy | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 96%) | polymarket 2025-11-24 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?(market prob: 16%) | polymarket 2026-02-08 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-02-24 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.68 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-13 | 238_033 Meta will someday be acquired by an AI company (largest-company-killer scenario) Alex Wissner-Gross | Markets/Stocks | 35% | |
| 0.68 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-13 | 242_056 AI models will become manager of entire economy, not just picking off mom/pop businesses Alex Wissner-Gross | Macro/Economy | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-09 | 248_016 ASI is imminent; access to top AI models will be closed down in a couple of years. Dave Blundin | AI | 49% | |
| 0.68 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.68 | polymarket 2025-07-03 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | ||
| 0.68 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-27 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?(market prob: 26%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 7?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.68 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?(market prob: 23%) | polymarket 2026-05-04 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.68 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% |