Predictions

11 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.

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IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
CMQ_031AI/Computepost-MooreAI has crossed a historic tipping point — traditional Moore's Law is obsolete…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5A70.0%in_progress2025-01-01 – 2025-12-31
CMQ_062Quantumquantum-interferencePhysicists are successfully demonstrating quantum interference with increasin…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5B75.0%in_progress2025-01-01 – 2025-12-31
IND_003Biotech/LongevityNICU-4-hour-genomic-sequencingLatency of medical truth actively collapsing — genomic sequencing for newborn…Alex Wissner-Gross5/5C75.0%in_progress2025-01-01 – 2026-11-30
AUT_002AIunified-mathematical-substrateModels excelling at highly structured mathematical benchmarks exhibit a 'unif…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5C72.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2029-11-30
CMQ_032Macro/Economycost-of-intelligenceExponential collapse in cost of intelligence shifts the primary economic bott…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5A75.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31
CYB_022AILiteLLM-supply-chain-vulnerabilitySupply-chain attacks targeting widely utilized open-source AI packages — exem…Alex Wissner-Gross5/5B78.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2028-11-30
IND_023Roboticsbipedal-robotics-municipal-utility'Cambrian explosion of bipedal labor' driven by hundreds of robotics companie…Alex Wissner-Gross5/5C48.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31
SEM_031Semis/HardwarehardwareAI boom will cause severe cascading shortages in memory and GPUs — violently …Alex Wissner-Gross4/5A82.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
246_029AIAI-scalingApple will announce iPhone with Gemini-derived on-device model at WWDC June 2…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5B65.0%in_progress2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
248_019Spaceorbital-AIUS data center moratoriums will push AI compute out to LEO / sun-synchronous …Alex Wissner-Gross3/5B65.0%in_progress2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
230_016Spaceorbital-AIData center regulation in NY/elsewhere will accelerate moving compute to orbi…Alex Wissner-Gross3/5B92.0%in_progress2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30