Predictions

6 of 1,611 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.

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IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
238_009AIAI-timingRecursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out)Alex Wissner-Gross5/5B92.0%hit2025-12-01 – 2025-12-31
232_014AIAI-timingRecursive self-improvement is already here, not 12 months away.Alex Wissner-Gross5/5B92.0%hit2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30
AI_016AIAI-experience-curve-vs-MooreThe 'cost of intelligence' collapse has officially superseded traditional Moo…Alex Wissner-Gross5/5B90.0%hit2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30
247_042RoboticshumanoidsProfessional Robotics League first US match on April 19, 2026 in BostonAlex Wissner-Gross5/5B92.0%hit2026-04-01 – 2026-04-30
238_041AIAI-scalingApple will eventually integrate highly competent private frontier models into…Alex Wissner-Gross5/5B92.0%hit2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30
248_040AIAI-timingPausing AI will fail and only accelerate race dynamics.Alex Wissner-Gross5/5B92.0%hit2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30