Predictions
14 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238_017 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Uber will automate approximately 30% of its employment this year (2026) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 243_033 | Labor/Jobs | autonomous | About 20% of drivers slough off Uber platform annually | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 244_023 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Over next 10 years, will see a lot of augmentation of work and some replacement | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2036-12-31 |
| 243_037 | Labor/Jobs | autonomous | Drivers will be able to transition to becoming fleet managers/owners of auton… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_038 | Labor/Jobs | autonomous | Capital assets (cars) will at some point replace some labor (drivers) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 244_022 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Automation will typically augment work rather than replace it | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 244_024 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Hopes society will adjust as work is augmented and new work shows up | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 244_025 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Open question whether society can adjust fast enough to AI/automation pace | Dara Khosrowshahi | 2/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 244_037 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Uber will automate 20-30% of tasks, not 100%, leaving plenty of work | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 243_031 | Labor/Jobs | autonomous | Uber will have significantly more drivers in 2030 than today, including in US | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | C | 65.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-12-31 |
| 244_026 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Uber platform will grow from 10M to 20M people by 2035 | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2035-01-01 – 2035-12-31 |
| 244_027 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Uber platform workers in 2035 may be doing different kinds of tasks | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2035-01-01 – 2035-12-31 |
| AI_022 | Labor/Jobs | 80-percent-jobs-disrupted | 80% of all jobs globally face total disruption from AI automation by 2035 — K… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | A | 30.0% | pending | 2035-01-01 – 2035-12-31 |
| ROB_017 | Labor/Jobs | gig-10-to-15-years-replacement | Self-driving vehicles and autonomous systems will begin completely replacing … | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | A | 58.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2041-12-31 |