Predictions

57 of 1,607 predictions match — page 2 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.

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ID	Domain	Topic	Title	Predictor	Conv	SQ	Prior	Status	Window
230_005	AI	AI-scaling	Two years from now, best AI will not be freely accessible — it will be withhe…	Dave Blundin	4/5	B	60.0%	pending	2028-01-01 – 2028-09-30
248_016	AI	AI-scaling	ASI is imminent; access to top AI models will be closed down in a couple of y…	Dave Blundin	4/5	B	60.0%	pending	2028-01-01 – 2028-11-30
248_033	AI	AI-scaling	Superhuman AI will make BCI-enhanced humans irrelevant compared to AI 2 years…	Dave Blundin	4/5	A	60.0%	pending	2028-01-01 – 2028-09-30
231_024	AI	AI-scaling	Ground-up society simulations are complete nonsense so far, but not far in th…	Dave Blundin	3/5	C	55.0%	pending	2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
232_050	AI	AI-scaling	Discovery of new physics will soon unlock atom-by-atom construction for build…	Dave Blundin	4/5	B	60.0%	pending	2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
235_001	AI	AI-scaling	Anthropic will be first company to hit $1 trillion in revenue by 2029-2030.	Dave Blundin	3/5	B	55.0%	pending	2029-01-01 – 2030-10-31
231_038	AI	AI-scaling	TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long.	Dave Blundin	4/5	B	60.0%	pending	2031-01-01 – 2033-08-31