Predictions
67 of 1,622 predictions match — page 2 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237_005 | Markets/Stocks | AGI | Apple can flip being viewed as AI loser and win the AI consumer race by lever… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 237_017 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | The entire SaaS market is going to zero because features can be rebuilt in fi… | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 238_051 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | If Anthropic grows 10x year-over-year two more years, it reaches $2.6T revenu… | Dave Blundin | 2/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-05-31 |
| 242_031 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Most large companies' business models will be disrupted in 2-5 years | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2031-11-30 |
| 230_010 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Mega-cap AI companies will reach trillion to 10-trillion+ valuations but have… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 230_011 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Enterprise software will be dead because AI can just write code (per Dario Am… | Dario Amodei | 4/5 | B | 70.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 230_019 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | The old (non-AGI insurance) will go away faster than people think, but the ne… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 230_051 | Markets/Stocks | humanoids | Amazon/hyperscalers will continue pouring free cash flow into AI data centers… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 232_035 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Apple is sitting on a multi-trillion dollar opportunity to leapfrog back into… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 235_012 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Large companies cannot pivot rapidly enough; zero ability to change. | Salim Ismail | 5/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 235_013 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Disruption cycle time will shrink from every 10 years to every 10 weeks to ev… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 234_013 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Extrapolating Anthropic growth, they will hit $1 trillion revenue in 2029 | Dave Blundin | 2/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2029-05-31 |
| 238_052 | Markets/Stocks | AGI | $100 trillion companies within 5 years (3 years from now, per Diamandis inter… | Elon Musk | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2031-09-30 |
| 235_041 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Anthropic implied valuation using PE ratio could be one quadrillion dollars. | Dave Blundin | 2/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2029-06-01 – 2029-06-30 |
| 230_049 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Big AI companies will own as much as they want up to the edge of antitrust tr… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 246_010 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX/XAI/Tesla will be the first $100 trillion company within 5 years. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2031-01-01 – 2031-09-30 |
| 230_050 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | One of the hidden Nvidia-style AI beneficiaries will exist within current non… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2038-06-01 – 2038-06-30 |