Predictions

8 of 1,622 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.

Filters

Status

All miss (133)pending (1160)partial (35)in_progress (178)hit (116)

Predictor

All Alex Wissner-Gross (231)Dave Blundin (165)Peter Diamandis (160)Dara Khosrowshahi (89)Elon Musk (69)Eric Schmidt (68)Brett Adcock (51)Salim Ismail (49)Ben Lamm (47)Morgan Stanley (42)Andrew Yang (35)Alex Finn (28)

Sort

Window (earliest)Window (latest)Prior (high)Prior (low)Conviction (high)ID

ID	Domain	Topic	Title	Predictor	Conv	SQ	Prior	Status	Window
CYB_014	Macro/Economy	ExO-demonetization	The Exponential Organization (ExO) framework becomes mandatory corporate stru…	Salim Ismail	4/5	C	58.0%	in_progress	2026-01-01 – 2032-12-31
IND_025	Macro/Economy	Ismail-Agentic-Era-2027-ExO	Global economy enters 'Agentic Era' in 2027 — AI comprehensively automates kn…	Salim Ismail	4/5	C	38.0%	pending	2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31
238_053	Macro/Economy	AI-timing	Innovation is no longer capital constrained — permissionless disruptive innov…	Salim Ismail	4/5	C	55.0%	pending	2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31
240_059	Macro/Economy	AI-timing	AI eventually drives costs of goods to just cost of electricity and materials	Salim Ismail	3/5	C	50.0%	pending	2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31
238_059	Macro/Economy	AI-timing	Era of greed and ignored fundamental problems will disappear in 2-3 years as …	Salim Ismail	3/5	C	50.0%	pending	2028-01-01 – 2029-12-31
232_042	Macro/Economy	economy	GDP expands massively as intelligence becomes infrastructure; Jevons paradox …	Salim Ismail	4/5	B	55.0%	pending	2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
247_016	Macro/Economy	abundance	Huge backlash against AI abundance without institutional redesign	Salim Ismail	4/5	C	55.0%	pending	2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
238_058	Macro/Economy	abundance	Abundance X-Prize to deliver housing, food, energy, connectivity for $250/mon…	Salim Ismail	3/5	C	50.0%	pending	2032-01-01 – 2033-12-31