Predictions

106 of 1,607 predictions match — page 3 of 3. Click any row to view its detail.

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Window (earliest)Window (latest)Prior (high)Prior (low)Conviction (high)ID
IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
232_024Macro/EconomyAI-timingSan Francisco will become capital of the solar system in about 10 years if tr…Alex Wissner-Gross2/5C40.0%pending2036-01-01 – 2036-12-31
239_001Macro/EconomyeconomyGlobal economy will be 10x its current size in 10 yearsElon Musk4/5A60.0%pending2036-01-01 – 2036-12-31
246_003Macro/EconomyeconomyGlobal economy will grow 10x in 10 years (cited from Elon Musk).Elon Musk3/5B55.0%pending2036-01-01 – 2036-12-31
248_009Macro/EconomyeconomyElon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years.Elon Musk3/5B55.0%pending2036-01-01 – 2036-12-31
236_010Macro/EconomyAI-timing5% wealth tax would result in zero billionaires by next dayAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending— – —
238_057Macro/EconomyabundanceLaws of economics and thermodynamics will still apply despite AI abundanceAlex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending— – —