Predictions
9 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232_021 | Geopolitics | AI-scaling | No chance AI will be paused in the next three years given current administrat… | Dave Blundin | 5/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2029-11-30 |
| 234_035 | Geopolitics | AI-scaling | Massive social unrest will come before the next US presidential election | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 235_007 | Geopolitics | AI-scaling | AI regulation window is this calendar year 2026 before chaos breaks out. | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 235_046 | Geopolitics | AI-scaling | Window of global AI regulation is a few months before capabilities proliferat… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 240_009 | Geopolitics | AI-scaling | Government will intervene if NVIDIA does 10-year forward contract locking up … | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31 |
| 240_007 | Geopolitics | AI-scaling | Regulators will dust off antitrust legislation against NVIDIA | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_030 | Geopolitics | AI-scaling | FDA will be first government agency forced to get out of the way; government … | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 235_047 | Geopolitics | AI-scaling | AI regulatory roles will be filled by Anthropic/OpenAI people bouncing back a… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 247_025 | Geopolitics | AI-scaling | Super PACs will determine election outcomes at order of magnitude bigger than… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |