Predictions
6 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INF_016 | Energy | power-as-binding-constraint | Power generation is the 'innermost loop' and absolute limiting factor on AI e… | Elon Musk | 5/5 | A | 85.0% | in_progress | 2025-01-01 – 2030-10-31 |
| INF_017 | Energy | Colossus-Phase-2 | xAI Colossus Phase 2 will consume approximately 1.5 gigawatts of power — city… | Elon Musk | 5/5 | A | 82.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| INF_019 | Energy | DC-water-consumption | A modern hyperscale AI data center can consume up to 5 million gallons of fre… | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 90.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| INF_060 | Energy | post-lithium-batteries | Three new battery chemistries beyond lithium-ion will commercialize in 2026 —… | Elon Musk | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | partial | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 239_028 | Energy | AGI | Intelligence harnessing up to 1 millionth of sun's energy possible | Elon Musk | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 232_045 | Energy | SpaceX | Tesla and SpaceX each aim to generate 100 gigawatts of solar per year. | Elon Musk | 3/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |