Predictions

8 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.

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IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
234_030Auto/TransportAI-scalingAuto insurance industry will shrink as crashes decline from self-drivingDave Blundin4/5B60.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30
234_031Auto/TransportAI-scalingOnly 20 million cars needed once FSD robotaxis arrive, down from 140 millionDave Blundin4/5B60.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30
238_018Auto/TransportAI-scalingUber drivers face rampant, imminent job loss from self-driving carsDave Blundin5/5B65.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30
242_017Auto/TransportAI-scalingSelf-driving will become 95-97% safer than human drivingDave Blundin4/5B60.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30
242_021Auto/TransportAI-scalingAutonomous ride costs will drop 10x vs todayDave Blundin4/5B60.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30
242_059Auto/TransportAI-scalingSelf-flying eVTOLs will be the norm given AI safety advantagesDave Blundin4/5A60.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30
230_017Auto/TransportAI-scalingSelf-driving will become the norm; manual driving will become uncool, then il…Dave Blundin3/5C55.0%pending2028-01-01 – 2029-11-30
242_016Auto/TransportAI-scalingTV ad campaign against human driving in 3-5 years will drive voting to ban itDave Blundin3/5B55.0%pending2029-01-01 – 2031-10-31