Predictions

14 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.

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IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
INF_073AIAI-smarter-than-humanity-2030AI will become smarter than any single human by end of 2025 or 2026, and smar…Elon Musk4/5A30.0%pending2025-01-01 – 2031-08-31
239_002AIAGIAI recursive self-improvement will be fully automated by end of 2026 or 2027 …Elon Musk3/5C50.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2027-10-31
239_003AIAGIWe are currently in AI hard takeoffElon Musk5/5B60.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30
AI_004AIsmarter-than-smartest-humanAI will be 'smarter than the smartest human' by 2026, driven by fully automat…Elon Musk5/5A25.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30
CMQ_022AIsuperintelligenceAGI will arrive within a decade (by 2030) — driven primarily by massive raw c…Elon Musk5/5A50.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2030-10-31
239_005AIAGIAI intelligence will far exceed human intelligence to incomprehensible degreeElon Musk5/5B50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30
239_006AIAGIAI will solve everything including longevityElon Musk5/5B60.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30
239_007AIAGIHumans will become microscopic minority of intelligence on Earth and in solar…Elon Musk5/5B60.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30
239_020AIAGIAI and robots will saturate all human desires, running out of things to doElon Musk4/5B30.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30
239_022AIAGIFuture AI will care about power/mass rather than human currencyElon Musk3/5C50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30
239_029AIAGIIntelligence in solar system will be many orders of magnitude greater than on…Elon Musk4/5B55.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30
239_032AIAGIProgress in AI will continue as series of overlapping S-curvesElon Musk4/5B55.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30
239_004AIAGIxAI/Grok will catch up and exceed competitors on coding by mid-2026Elon Musk3/5C50.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
242_001AIAGIElon's Terafab will build 1 terawatt of AI compute per year, 50x current glob…Elon Musk4/5B55.0%pending2028-01-01 – 2031-11-30