Audit Log
Immutable change log. Every probability update, intake apply, validation adjudication, and bulk operation writes a row here with structured before/after JSON. Use these records to reconstruct any historical state. ← Ops
Total entries
736
Filtered
736
page 5 / 8
Distinct actions
33
Distinct kinds
16
Filters
Action
Allauto_corroborate.rundoc_node_link.bulk_confirmdoc_node_link.confirmedges.isolated_high_conv_linkedges.phase2a_strength_gradingedges.scenario_correlate_backfilledges.weight_tune_v1intake.appliedkappa_decay_runlbp.completednode.bulk_resolution_fixnode.bulk_updatenode.metadata_milestone_missnode.milestone_missnodes.metadata.display_datenodes.metadata.milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes.metadata.resolved_atprediction_conflicts.runprediction.recalibration_candidate.stagepredictions.december_dispersalpredictions.scenario_assignmentpredictions.tier3_reviewpredictors.brier_recomputerecommendations.bulk_importrecommendations.refresh.runreference_class_base_rate_refreshreference_class.overrideresearch_event_pack.applyresolution_history.backfillscenario.bulk_createsource_reliability.seedtrajectories.create_correlate_edges
Target kind
Actor (top 50)
Allapply_llm_milestonesapply_low_confidence_decisionsassign_predictions_to_scenariosbackfill_resolution_historybackfill_resolved_atbuild_scenario_pathscodexcompute_brier_scorescompute_display_datesderive_milestonesdisperse_december_bunchingfix_partial_classificationintake:515b84c4-6b29-4d57-8dd6-d41dac…intake:568095f6-eb44-4f96-92d3-13455b…intake:7afeeb9a-f217-4dd2-b910-24ff14…intake:99aa73db-75b1-4b1e-8470-a11f87…intake:c130222f-ab93-4d94-b596-5f4dc7…lbp_run:0c8a4ea3431elbp_run:1a683ac9e205lbp_run:1c6a06976c86lbp_run:592311ef6bcalbp_run:806b02f82f58lbp_run:807dd6f649b1lbp_run:ba893ab6499flbp_run:cd8605f31f33lbp_run:e5c18d29fb42lbp_run:e607fa961f0blbp_run:ffd25072aee9link_trajectories_to_dimensionsmanual_overridemetadata_milestone_sweepmilestone_miss_sweepphase_2A.2_graderphase_2A.3_isolated_linkerphase_2A_backfillphase2_part3_smoke_testphase3_p4_smoke_testphase3_p6_smoke_testseed_source_reliabilitystage_recalibration_candidatessystem:auto_corroboratesystem:decay_predictor_kappasystem:detect_prediction_conflictssystem:import_recommendationssystem:refresh_recommendationssystem:refresh_reference_class_base_r…tune_edge_weights
| When | Actor | Action | Target | Before → After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.78
}{
"delta": -0.04324726431972359,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.737 blend=0.737 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7367527356802764,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.28598
}{
"delta": -0.042295165307989296,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.244 blend=0.244 LLR=-0.218 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.24368483469201072,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:FUT_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.51815
}{
"delta": -0.2388585457639345,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.475 blend=0.279 LLR=-0.172 κ=0.50 w_in=0.34 agi_breakthrough_5y",
"current_prob": 0.2792914542360655,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:FUT_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55
}{
"delta": -0.1010204081632653,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.449 blend=0.449 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.44897959183673475,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.75
}{
"delta": -0.2917212897051165,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=4 inside=0.458 blend=0.458 LLR=-1.266 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4582787102948835,
"n_milestones": 4
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45
}{
"delta": -0.1248731850004487,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.325 blend=0.325 LLR=-0.530 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3251268149995513,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_006 | view{
"current_prob": 0.3753
}{
"delta": -0.048142417746913524,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.632 blend=0.327 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 w_in=0.64 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.3271575822530865,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.38
}{
"delta": -0.07478738909875338,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.305 blend=0.305 LLR=-0.333 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.30521261090124663,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_010 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50874
}{
"delta": -0.10031631581675426,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.408 blend=0.408 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4084236841832457,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.63139
}{
"delta": -0.1488807980543035,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.483 blend=0.483 LLR=-0.608 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4825092019456965,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_012 | view{
"current_prob": 0.71751
}{
"delta": -0.07079056350349111,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.647 blend=0.647 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6467194364965089,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.6
}{
"delta": -0.11688120306729544,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.483 blend=0.483 LLR=-0.473 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.48311879693270454,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.17614
}{
"delta": 0.076656700656235,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.125 blend=0.253 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 w_in=0.56 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
"current_prob": 0.252796700656235,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53062
}{
"delta": -0.11732733351145469,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.413 blend=0.413 LLR=-0.473 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4132926664885453,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.33054
}{
"delta": -0.17965567748663766,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.199 blend=0.151 LLR=-0.684 κ=0.84 w_in=0.58 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.15088432251336234,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_026 | view{
"current_prob": 0.6388
}{
"delta": -0.1356351900075482,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.503 blend=0.503 LLR=-0.558 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5031648099924518,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_006 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43145
}{
"delta": -0.04848344791641657,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.383 blend=0.383 LLR=-0.201 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.38296655208358343,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.82127
}{
"delta": -0.0932307182012524,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.783 blend=0.728 LLR=-0.710 κ=0.58 w_in=0.77 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.7280392817987476,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5
}{
"delta": -0.058852872247948496,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.441 blend=0.441 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4411471277520515,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.67862
}{
"delta": -0.05927114550598167,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.619 blend=0.619 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6193488544940183,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_031 | view{
"current_prob": 0.7
}{
"delta": -0.056811300259339226,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.643 blend=0.643 LLR=-0.258 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6431886997406607,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_032 | view{
"current_prob": 0.63934
}{
"delta": -0.09767333333333328,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.542 blend=0.542 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5416666666666667,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_034 | view{
"current_prob": 0.8
}{
"delta": -0.034412378314921166,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.766 blend=0.766 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7655876216850789,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_040 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5
}{
"delta": -0.09999999999999998,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.400 blend=0.400 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_042 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5221
}{
"delta": -0.044571721850010015,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.478 blend=0.478 LLR=-0.178 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.47752827814999,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_047 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45
}{
"delta": -0.09705882352941181,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.353 blend=0.353 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3529411764705882,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_052 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55
}{
"delta": -0.04798131869078226,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.502 blend=0.502 LLR=-0.193 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5020186813092178,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_055 | view{
"current_prob": 0.21907
}{
"delta": -0.021443925746006065,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.198 blend=0.198 LLR=-0.130 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.19762607425399392,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_066 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55629
}{
"delta": -0.02010010264485118,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.619 blend=0.536 LLR=-0.270 κ=0.69 w_in=0.30 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.5361898973551488,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_068 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45
}{
"delta": -0.05758651713820129,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.392 blend=0.392 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3924134828617987,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_073 | view{
"current_prob": 0.3
}{
"delta": -0.051750720256699745,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.248 blend=0.248 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.24824927974330024,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.1845
}{
"delta": -0.07279138995792497,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.118 blend=0.112 LLR=-0.521 κ=0.64 w_in=0.65 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.11170861004207502,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.08
}{
"delta": -0.017204644780385997,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.063 blend=0.063 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.062795355219614,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40376
}{
"delta": -0.08118112976720626,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.323 blend=0.323 LLR=-0.352 κ=0.87 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32257887023279375,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_021 | view{
"current_prob": 0.72005
}{
"delta": -0.08511689093700292,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.635 blend=0.635 LLR=-0.391 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.634933109062997,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.67165
}{
"delta": -0.04615998994774828,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.625 blend=0.625 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6254900100522517,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.78304
}{
"delta": -0.05105967510739162,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.732 blend=0.732 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7319803248926083,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.7137
}{
"delta": -0.09692134965229715,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.617 blend=0.617 LLR=-0.438 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6167786503477029,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_013 | view{
"current_prob": 0.72413
}{
"delta": -0.030565710570945148,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.803 blend=0.694 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 w_in=0.46 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.6935642894290549,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.69973
}{
"delta": -0.29015534752576805,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=4 inside=0.410 blend=0.410 LLR=-1.212 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4095746524742319,
"n_milestones": 4
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.26496
}{
"delta": -0.0712079909828742,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.194 blend=0.194 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.19375200901712578,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.68888
}{
"delta": -0.10023043724611125,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.596 blend=0.589 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 w_in=0.53 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.5886495627538888,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_018 | view{
"current_prob": 0.57048
}{
"delta": -0.050223304665257484,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.520 blend=0.520 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5202566953347425,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.63335
}{
"delta": -0.09812089448720596,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.535 blend=0.535 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.535229105512794,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_024 | view{
"current_prob": 0.78401
}{
"delta": -0.13759499472707548,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.646 blend=0.646 LLR=-0.686 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6464150052729245,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_025 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55188
}{
"delta": -0.05007061137845081,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.502 blend=0.502 LLR=-0.201 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5018093886215492,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_028 | view{
"current_prob": 0.66066
}{
"delta": -0.11250061752082186,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.548 blend=0.548 LLR=-0.473 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5481593824791782,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.47266
}{
"delta": -0.0500787510532229,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.423 blend=0.423 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4225812489467771,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_031 | view{
"current_prob": 0.72574
}{
"delta": -0.15403056995320064,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.572 blend=0.572 LLR=-0.684 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5717094300467994,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_038 | view{
"current_prob": 0.12248
}{
"delta": -0.05359890678566158,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=4 inside=0.049 blend=0.069 LLR=-1.004 κ=0.64 w_in=0.77 agi_breakthrough_5y",
"current_prob": 0.06888109321433843,
"n_milestones": 4
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_044 | view{
"current_prob": 0.35127
}{
"delta": -0.06483536720417787,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.286 blend=0.286 LLR=-0.299 κ=0.87 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.28643463279582215,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.64598
}{
"delta": -0.055756671167065175,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.590 blend=0.590 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5902233288329348,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_047 | view{
"current_prob": 0.79115
}{
"delta": -0.04632792382116624,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.745 blend=0.745 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7448220761788338,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48912
}{
"delta": -0.028520034187253573,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.399 blend=0.461 LLR=-0.367 κ=0.58 w_in=0.39 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.4605999658127464,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.59761
}{
"delta": -0.17547436096897306,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.422 blend=0.422 LLR=-0.710 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4221356390310269,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_012 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44917
}{
"delta": -0.02210275010504953,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.273 blend=0.427 LLR=-0.299 κ=0.87 w_in=0.30 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
"current_prob": 0.4270672498949505,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_020 | view{
"current_prob": 0.36058
}{
"delta": -0.12900675818394153,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.232 blend=0.232 LLR=-0.627 κ=0.77 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.23157324181605848,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_022 | view{
"current_prob": 0.62
}{
"delta": -0.1369850366709125,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.483 blend=0.483 LLR=-0.558 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4830149633290875,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_028 | view{
"current_prob": 0.38618
}{
"delta": -0.16268580513870765,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.223 blend=0.223 LLR=-0.782 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.22349419486129238,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 21:41:19 | backfill_resolution_history | resolution_history.backfill | nodes:terminal_predictions | view{}{
"skipped": 0,
"prob_history_rows": 2,
"resolved_at_updates": 0,
"current_prob_updated": false
} |
| 2026-05-02 20:45:40 | stage_recalibration_candidates | prediction.recalibration_candidate.stage | prediction:batch | view{}{
"script": "scripts/ops/stage_recalibration_candidates.py",
"updated": 40,
"candidate_count": 40
} |
| 2026-05-02 20:45:40 | seed_source_reliability | source_reliability.seed | source_reliability:initial_source_priors | view{}{
"seed_count": 220,
"update_existing": false,
"include_document_hosts": true
} |
| 2026-05-02 20:45:40 | backfill_resolution_history | resolution_history.backfill | nodes:terminal_predictions | view{}{
"skipped": 0,
"prob_history_rows": 108,
"resolved_at_updates": 108,
"current_prob_updated": false
} |
| 2026-05-02 16:14:59 | seed_source_reliability | source_reliability.seed | source_reliability:initial_source_priors | view{}{
"seed_count": 11,
"update_existing": false
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:48 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_4e7b1ca6 | view{
"input_file": "_stash/_phase2_batch4.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 10
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 45,
"predictions_updated": 10
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:48 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_fd32b88c | view{
"input_file": "_stash/_phase2_batch3.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 10
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 44,
"predictions_updated": 10
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:48 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_fe7deb95 | view{
"input_file": "_stash/_phase2_batch2.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 10
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 45,
"predictions_updated": 10
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:48 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_ea997077 | view{
"input_file": "_stash/_phase2_batch1.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 4
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 22,
"predictions_updated": 4
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:47 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_95770c60 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_waveFinal.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 9
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 31,
"predictions_updated": 9
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:47 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_a6cb82ab | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave18_lot2.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 65,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:47 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_9662a623 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave18_lot1.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 14
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 73,
"predictions_updated": 14
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:46 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_249d3430 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave17_lot7.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 75,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:46 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_d798037a | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave17_lot6.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 66,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:46 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_7d21c832 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave17_lot3.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 71,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:46 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_750f482e | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave17_lot2.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 70,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:45 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_e42ace94 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave17_lot1.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 78,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:45 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_5c967e09 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave16_lot6.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 66,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:45 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_e79a8c62 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave16_lot5.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 66,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:45 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_14dcf415 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave16_lot4.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 78,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:44 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_f66848c1 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave15_lot7.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 65,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:44 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_814dec81 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave15_lot6.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 78,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:44 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_d3ffec7b | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave15_lot4.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 77,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:43 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_01f73671 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave15_lot2.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 64,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:43 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_1bfe30ec | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave14_lot8.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 9
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 51,
"predictions_updated": 9
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:43 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_1df86647 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave14_lot7.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 64,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:42 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_10eff8c5 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave14_lot4.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 59,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:42 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_8cfdf07e | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave14_lot3.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 78,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:42 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_4847ee22 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave14_lot2.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 78,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:41 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_20fd3af7 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave13_lot8.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 2
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 12,
"predictions_updated": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:41 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_1cd1a9c3 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave13_lot7.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 7
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 36,
"predictions_updated": 7
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:41 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_bdbc75ca | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave13_lot6.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 7
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 38,
"predictions_updated": 7
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:40 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_ba649622 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave13_lot4.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 7
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 42,
"predictions_updated": 7
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:40 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_7ca4ac86 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave12_lot7.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 78,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:40 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_addffd91 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave12_lot2.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 63,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:39 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_e9c6a1db | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave11_lot6.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 65,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:39 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_1bd7a305 | view{
"input_file": "scripts/ops/_phase2_wave11_lot4.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 54,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:39 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_bd9ed6d0 | view{
"input_file": "_phase2_waveA1.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 15
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 51,
"predictions_updated": 15
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:39 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_686b051c | view{
"input_file": "_phase2_wave9_lot8.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 9
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 45,
"predictions_updated": 9
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:38 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_174403b8 | view{
"input_file": "_phase2_wave9_lot7.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 7,
"new_entries": 43,
"predictions_updated": 8
} |
| 2026-05-02 03:20:38 | apply_llm_milestones | nodes.metadata.milestones.phase2 | nodes:phase2_00aa85b3 | view{
"input_file": "_phase2_wave9_lot6.json",
"predictions_in_batch": 13
}{
"errors": 0,
"new_entries": 65,
"predictions_updated": 13
} |