Audit Log
Immutable change log. Every probability update, intake apply, validation adjudication, and bulk operation writes a row here with structured before/after JSON. Use these records to reconstruct any historical state. ← Ops
Total entries
705
Filtered
705
page 4 / 8
Distinct actions
33
Distinct kinds
16
Filters
Action
Allauto_corroborate.rundoc_node_link.bulk_confirmdoc_node_link.confirmedges.isolated_high_conv_linkedges.phase2a_strength_gradingedges.scenario_correlate_backfilledges.weight_tune_v1intake.appliedkappa_decay_runlbp.completednode.bulk_resolution_fixnode.bulk_updatenode.metadata_milestone_missnode.milestone_missnodes.metadata.display_datenodes.metadata.milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes.metadata.resolved_atprediction_conflicts.runprediction.recalibration_candidate.stagepredictions.december_dispersalpredictions.scenario_assignmentpredictions.tier3_reviewpredictors.brier_recomputerecommendations.bulk_importrecommendations.refresh.runreference_class_base_rate_refreshreference_class.overrideresearch_event_pack.applyresolution_history.backfillscenario.bulk_createsource_reliability.seedtrajectories.create_correlate_edges
Target kind
Actor (top 50)
Allapply_llm_milestonesapply_low_confidence_decisionsassign_predictions_to_scenariosbackfill_resolution_historybackfill_resolved_atbuild_scenario_pathscodexcompute_brier_scorescompute_display_datesderive_milestonesdisperse_december_bunchingfix_partial_classificationintake:515b84c4-6b29-4d57-8dd6-d41dac…intake:568095f6-eb44-4f96-92d3-13455b…intake:7afeeb9a-f217-4dd2-b910-24ff14…intake:99aa73db-75b1-4b1e-8470-a11f87…intake:c130222f-ab93-4d94-b596-5f4dc7…lbp_run:0c8a4ea3431elbp_run:1a683ac9e205lbp_run:1c6a06976c86lbp_run:592311ef6bcalbp_run:806b02f82f58lbp_run:807dd6f649b1lbp_run:ba893ab6499flbp_run:cd8605f31f33lbp_run:e5c18d29fb42lbp_run:e607fa961f0blbp_run:ffd25072aee9link_trajectories_to_dimensionsmanual_overridemetadata_milestone_sweepmilestone_miss_sweepphase_2A.2_graderphase_2A.3_isolated_linkerphase_2A_backfillphase2_part3_smoke_testphase3_p4_smoke_testphase3_p6_smoke_testseed_source_reliabilitystage_recalibration_candidatessystem:auto_corroboratesystem:decay_predictor_kappasystem:detect_prediction_conflictssystem:import_recommendationssystem:refresh_recommendationssystem:refresh_reference_class_base_r…tune_edge_weights
| When | Actor | Action | Target | Before → After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.58132
}{
"delta": -0.1751885542298237,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.392 blend=0.406 LLR=-1.056 κ=0.87 w_in=0.87 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.40613144577017624,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.47815
}{
"delta": -0.0620175302015985,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.352 blend=0.416 LLR=-0.521 κ=0.64 w_in=0.56 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
"current_prob": 0.4161324697984015,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_036 | view{
"current_prob": 0.54637
}{
"delta": -0.09944294734902243,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=4 inside=0.331 blend=0.447 LLR=-1.324 κ=0.87 w_in=0.30 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.4469270526509776,
"n_milestones": 4
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_040 | view{
"current_prob": 0.47458
}{
"delta": -0.06357832483545767,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.411 blend=0.411 LLR=-0.258 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.41100167516454233,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:247_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.52549
}{
"delta": -0.11216981385798858,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.354 blend=0.413 LLR=-0.704 κ=0.87 w_in=0.58 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.41332018614201144,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40284
}{
"delta": -0.03642434138579409,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.366 blend=0.366 LLR=-0.154 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3664156586142059,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53377
}{
"delta": -0.14778099261216032,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.386 blend=0.386 LLR=-0.599 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.38598900738783964,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5294
}{
"delta": -0.058213792336899384,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.471 blend=0.471 LLR=-0.233 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4711862076631006,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_041 | view{
"current_prob": 0.30619
}{
"delta": -0.20600592876173973,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.237 blend=0.100 LLR=-0.352 κ=0.87 w_in=0.42 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.10018407123826027,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_043 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48518
}{
"delta": -0.057770126826993506,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.427 blend=0.427 LLR=-0.233 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4274098731730065,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.88
}{
"delta": -0.10962858308715773,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.770 blend=0.770 LLR=-0.782 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7703714169128423,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.25
}{
"delta": -0.08478952010838611,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.165 blend=0.165 LLR=-0.521 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.1652104798916139,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.64357
}{
"delta": -0.19428480506089169,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.449 blend=0.449 LLR=-0.794 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4492851949391083,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_013 | view{
"current_prob": 0.72
}{
"delta": -0.09702567266960782,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.623 blend=0.623 LLR=-0.442 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6229743273303922,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55
}{
"delta": -0.1504947438775982,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.400 blend=0.400 LLR=-0.608 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.39950525612240184,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_024 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49835
}{
"delta": -0.13949629825261828,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.359 blend=0.359 LLR=-0.574 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.35885370174738174,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_027 | view{
"current_prob": 0.28293
}{
"delta": -0.10607156057928516,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.177 blend=0.177 LLR=-0.608 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.17685843942071486,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_033 | view{
"current_prob": 0.78
}{
"delta": -0.12130845949038316,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.659 blend=0.659 LLR=-0.608 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6586915405096169,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_034 | view{
"current_prob": 0.3
}{
"delta": -0.08004294653718302,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.220 blend=0.220 LLR=-0.419 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.21995705346281696,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5577
}{
"delta": -0.1730042579163139,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=4 inside=0.327 blend=0.385 LLR=-0.951 κ=0.64 w_in=0.65 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.38469574208368607,
"n_milestones": 4
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.68
}{
"delta": -0.2571490838342398,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=4 inside=0.423 blend=0.423 LLR=-1.065 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.42285091616576026,
"n_milestones": 4
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.18
}{
"delta": -0.028010302174350993,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.152 blend=0.152 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.151989697825649,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_010 | view{
"current_prob": 0.67638
}{
"delta": -0.13108210576372237,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.545 blend=0.545 LLR=-0.555 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5452978942362776,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53457
}{
"delta": -0.0650739824607226,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.469 blend=0.469 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4694960175392774,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_013 | view{
"current_prob": 0.12434
}{
"delta": -0.013260024653298258,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.120 blend=0.111 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 w_in=0.58 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.11107997534670175,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.6948
}{
"delta": -0.1529755732010839,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.542 blend=0.542 LLR=-0.655 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5418244267989161,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_020 | view{
"current_prob": 0.517
}{
"delta": -0.14884973835824922,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.368 blend=0.368 LLR=-0.608 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3681502616417508,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_021 | view{
"current_prob": 0.66182
}{
"delta": -0.09572116194437308,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.566 blend=0.566 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5660988380556269,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_024 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5
}{
"delta": -0.20922733950428224,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=4 inside=0.291 blend=0.291 LLR=-0.892 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.29077266049571776,
"n_milestones": 4
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_028 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55194
}{
"delta": -0.06949416168029182,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.482 blend=0.482 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.48244583831970816,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.74413
}{
"delta": -0.09972274688937444,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.644 blend=0.644 LLR=-0.473 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6444072531106255,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_013 | view{
"current_prob": 0.4038
}{
"delta": -0.24874578609945036,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.227 blend=0.155 LLR=-0.836 κ=0.69 w_in=0.73 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.15505421390054963,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.64357
}{
"delta": -0.20460726478889418,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.439 blend=0.439 LLR=-0.836 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4389627352111058,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.59761
}{
"delta": -0.2608361854544035,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=4 inside=0.337 blend=0.337 LLR=-1.073 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.33677381454559646,
"n_milestones": 4
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.75
}{
"delta": -0.05579443453572441,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.694 blend=0.694 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6942055654642756,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_020 | view{
"current_prob": 0.61955
}{
"delta": -0.11589922655624885,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.504 blend=0.504 LLR=-0.473 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5036507734437512,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_021 | view{
"current_prob": 0.8
}{
"delta": -0.040528070247570325,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.759 blend=0.759 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7594719297524297,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.72156
}{
"delta": -0.07026943882886949,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.651 blend=0.651 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6512905611711305,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_024 | view{
"current_prob": 0.69066
}{
"delta": -0.0739240924464808,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.617 blend=0.617 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6167359075535193,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_025 | view{
"current_prob": 0.60073
}{
"delta": -0.07640508530939416,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.524 blend=0.524 LLR=-0.311 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5243249146906058,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_026 | view{
"current_prob": 0.81162
}{
"delta": -0.18201888140057498,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.630 blend=0.630 LLR=-0.930 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.629601118599425,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_028 | view{
"current_prob": 0.59761
}{
"delta": -0.16211782882327175,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.435 blend=0.435 LLR=-0.655 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4354921711767282,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.78
}{
"delta": -0.061269696364790405,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.719 blend=0.719 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7187303036352096,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_031 | view{
"current_prob": 0.7
}{
"delta": -0.24465483159730977,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.455 blend=0.455 LLR=-1.026 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4553451684026902,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_033 | view{
"current_prob": 0.75481
}{
"delta": -0.04635078063798814,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.708 blend=0.708 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7084592193620118,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_036 | view{
"current_prob": 0.71751
}{
"delta": -0.05029040437196841,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.667 blend=0.667 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6672195956280316,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_037 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5
}{
"delta": -0.2140804547032592,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=4 inside=0.286 blend=0.286 LLR=-0.915 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2859195452967408,
"n_milestones": 4
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_038 | view{
"current_prob": 0.85
}{
"delta": -0.027720466210421124,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.822 blend=0.822 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.8222795337895789,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_039 | view{
"current_prob": 0.70819
}{
"delta": -0.025798738466785376,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.759 blend=0.682 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 w_in=0.53 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.6823912615332146,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_040 | view{
"current_prob": 0.9
}{
"delta": -0.042857142857142816,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.857 blend=0.857 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.8571428571428572,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_042 | view{
"current_prob": 0.72
}{
"delta": -0.050051130642611574,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.670 blend=0.670 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6699488693573884,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_045 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55176
}{
"delta": -0.058937769971560805,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.493 blend=0.493 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4928222300284392,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.68
}{
"delta": -0.05349222310492452,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.627 blend=0.627 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6265077768950755,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_047 | view{
"current_prob": 0.61066
}{
"delta": -0.13749593631230478,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.473 blend=0.473 LLR=-0.558 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4731640636876952,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_050 | view{
"current_prob": 0.30742
}{
"delta": -0.014864500065664643,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.656 blend=0.293 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 w_in=0.46 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.2925554999343354,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_052 | view{
"current_prob": 0.24255
}{
"delta": -0.02172161849232576,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.374 blend=0.221 LLR=-0.313 κ=0.77 w_in=0.56 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.22082838150767423,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_056 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44313
}{
"delta": -0.030177053069653736,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.778 blend=0.413 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 w_in=0.53 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.4129529469303463,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_057 | view{
"current_prob": 0.85
}{
"delta": -0.059302325581395254,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.791 blend=0.791 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7906976744186047,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_058 | view{
"current_prob": 0.70691
}{
"delta": -0.05674877392206412,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.650 blend=0.650 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6501612260779359,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_059 | view{
"current_prob": 0.75481
}{
"delta": -0.10845087155722655,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.646 blend=0.646 LLR=-0.521 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6463591284427734,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_061 | view{
"current_prob": 0.05
}{
"delta": -0.006326245054808534,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.044 blend=0.044 LLR=-0.142 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.04367375494519147,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_062 | view{
"current_prob": 0.66425
}{
"delta": -0.24943358262260085,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.415 blend=0.415 LLR=-1.026 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.41481641737739916,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_BIO_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.7
}{
"delta": -0.2764648111105698,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.424 blend=0.424 LLR=-1.156 κ=0.95 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.42353518888943015,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_BIO_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5
}{
"delta": -0.25700260388614016,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.243 blend=0.243 LLR=-1.136 κ=0.95 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.24299739611385987,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_SPC_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.62
}{
"delta": -0.09201422737806819,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.528 blend=0.528 LLR=-0.377 κ=0.95 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5279857726219318,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_SPC_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.35
}{
"delta": -0.08188964202784105,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.268 blend=0.268 LLR=-0.385 κ=0.95 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.26811035797215893,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_SPC_006 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5
}{
"delta": -0.23512030214640633,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.265 blend=0.265 LLR=-1.021 κ=0.95 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.26487969785359367,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_SPC_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.75
}{
"delta": -0.166797877917781,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.583 blend=0.583 LLR=-0.763 κ=0.95 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.583202122082219,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.29261
}{
"delta": 0.04568130215626426,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.632 blend=0.338 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 w_in=0.65 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.33829130215626424,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.78
}{
"delta": -0.04324726431972359,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.737 blend=0.737 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7367527356802764,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.28598
}{
"delta": -0.042295165307989296,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.244 blend=0.244 LLR=-0.218 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.24368483469201072,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:FUT_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.51815
}{
"delta": -0.2388585457639345,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.475 blend=0.279 LLR=-0.172 κ=0.50 w_in=0.34 agi_breakthrough_5y",
"current_prob": 0.2792914542360655,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:FUT_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55
}{
"delta": -0.1010204081632653,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.449 blend=0.449 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.44897959183673475,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.75
}{
"delta": -0.2917212897051165,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=4 inside=0.458 blend=0.458 LLR=-1.266 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4582787102948835,
"n_milestones": 4
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45
}{
"delta": -0.1248731850004487,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.325 blend=0.325 LLR=-0.530 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3251268149995513,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_006 | view{
"current_prob": 0.3753
}{
"delta": -0.048142417746913524,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.632 blend=0.327 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 w_in=0.64 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.3271575822530865,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.38
}{
"delta": -0.07478738909875338,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.305 blend=0.305 LLR=-0.333 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.30521261090124663,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_010 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50874
}{
"delta": -0.10031631581675426,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.408 blend=0.408 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4084236841832457,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.63139
}{
"delta": -0.1488807980543035,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.483 blend=0.483 LLR=-0.608 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4825092019456965,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_012 | view{
"current_prob": 0.71751
}{
"delta": -0.07079056350349111,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.647 blend=0.647 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6467194364965089,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.6
}{
"delta": -0.11688120306729544,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.483 blend=0.483 LLR=-0.473 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.48311879693270454,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.17614
}{
"delta": 0.076656700656235,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.125 blend=0.253 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 w_in=0.56 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
"current_prob": 0.252796700656235,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53062
}{
"delta": -0.11732733351145469,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.413 blend=0.413 LLR=-0.473 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4132926664885453,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.33054
}{
"delta": -0.17965567748663766,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.199 blend=0.151 LLR=-0.684 κ=0.84 w_in=0.58 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.15088432251336234,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_026 | view{
"current_prob": 0.6388
}{
"delta": -0.1356351900075482,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.503 blend=0.503 LLR=-0.558 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5031648099924518,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_006 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43145
}{
"delta": -0.04848344791641657,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.383 blend=0.383 LLR=-0.201 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.38296655208358343,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.82127
}{
"delta": -0.0932307182012524,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.783 blend=0.728 LLR=-0.710 κ=0.58 w_in=0.77 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.7280392817987476,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5
}{
"delta": -0.058852872247948496,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.441 blend=0.441 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4411471277520515,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.67862
}{
"delta": -0.05927114550598167,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.619 blend=0.619 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6193488544940183,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_031 | view{
"current_prob": 0.7
}{
"delta": -0.056811300259339226,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.643 blend=0.643 LLR=-0.258 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6431886997406607,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_032 | view{
"current_prob": 0.63934
}{
"delta": -0.09767333333333328,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.542 blend=0.542 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5416666666666667,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_034 | view{
"current_prob": 0.8
}{
"delta": -0.034412378314921166,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.766 blend=0.766 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7655876216850789,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_040 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5
}{
"delta": -0.09999999999999998,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.400 blend=0.400 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_042 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5221
}{
"delta": -0.044571721850010015,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.478 blend=0.478 LLR=-0.178 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.47752827814999,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_047 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45
}{
"delta": -0.09705882352941181,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.353 blend=0.353 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3529411764705882,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_052 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55
}{
"delta": -0.04798131869078226,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.502 blend=0.502 LLR=-0.193 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5020186813092178,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_055 | view{
"current_prob": 0.21907
}{
"delta": -0.021443925746006065,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.198 blend=0.198 LLR=-0.130 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.19762607425399392,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_066 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55629
}{
"delta": -0.02010010264485118,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.619 blend=0.536 LLR=-0.270 κ=0.69 w_in=0.30 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.5361898973551488,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_068 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45
}{
"delta": -0.05758651713820129,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.392 blend=0.392 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3924134828617987,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_073 | view{
"current_prob": 0.3
}{
"delta": -0.051750720256699745,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.248 blend=0.248 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.24824927974330024,
"n_milestones": 1
} |