0 25 50 75 100 history 230_014 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — The consulting industry will go through the roof as consultants leverage AI to automate/improve exis ✓ 238_010 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — AI takeoff/inflection is happening now ✓ 240_027 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — SpaceX and xAI will merge and go public in the next couple of months ✓ AI_023 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Inside Uber, 90% of software engineers currently rely on AI, and executive teams rehearse high-stake ✓ 238_009 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) ✓ CMQ_027 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — The inference inflection has arrived — industry transitioning from training-dominated capex (2023-20 ✓ AI_005 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Current frontier models suffer from 'jagged intelligence' — excelling at international mathematics o ✓ 240_001 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — NVIDIA to reach at least $1 trillion in bookings/revenue through 2027 ✓ FUT_024 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — XPT 2022 tournament assigned mere 2.3% probability to AI achieving gold-medal performance in Interna ✓ AUT_003 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — 'Vibe coding' — the full delegation of syntactic code generation to autonomous models, with human en ✓ 242_057 resolved hit on 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission ✓ 244_019 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Peter's son won't need a driver's license in 2 years ✓ 241_004 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — AI progress is not stoppable or controllable by any government, individual, or corporation ✓ 229_047 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Figure's 3,000 B200 GPU cluster is coming online for Helix pre-training with much larger GPUs planne ✓ IND_021 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — February 2026 realized forecast: AI automation capabilities necessitated severe operational restruct ✓ SEM_048 resolved hit on 2026-04-30 — OpenAI restructured into a $500 billion colossus by removing profit caps for investors (to support S ✓ SPC_008 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary mil ✓ SPC_025 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Critical misalignment in the AI industry: approximately 300 AI capabilities researchers for every on ✓ 232_021 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — No chance AI will be paused in the next three years given current administration and China competiti ✓ 241_006 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Everyone is out of hardware and electricity due to AI boom ✓ AUT_019 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Weil's April 2026 exit from OpenAI VP of Science signals critical juncture — as AI transitions from ✓ 234_012 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 ✓ 242_015 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Full autonomy achieved within 2 years before Salim's son gets driver's license ✓ 233_020 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Texas Sports Academy will operate at $300/month per parent using Texas billion-dollar voucher progra ✓ CMQ_043 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — In complex Agentic AI workloads, CPU-side processing accounts for 50-90% of end-to-end latency — val ✓ 246_038 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Data centers are driving frontier labs into space (orbital data centers). ✓ 238_041 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Apple will eventually integrate highly competent private frontier models into its OS (when not if) ✓ 247_042 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Professional Robotics League first US match on April 19, 2026 in Boston ✓ AUT_017 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Defining 2023-2026 shift: maturation of 'Agentic AI' via heavy fine-tuning of pre-trained LLMs using ✓ IND_013 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — General intelligence requires systems capable of solving tasks across multidimensional continuous do ✓ AI_016 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — The 'cost of intelligence' collapse has officially superseded traditional Moore's Law dynamics — an ✓ CMQ_053 resolved hit on 2026-04-30 — Figure AI secured $675M Series B in 2024 and partnered commercially with BMW — addressing skilled-la ✓ AI_010 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — The 2026 development landscape has entered the 'Slopacolypse' — AI writes the vast majority of new c ✓ CYB_018 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Figure AI valuation has eclipsed $39 billion by early 2026 — surpassing SpaceX's 2020 valuation — ba ✓ 247_058 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Jury selection begins April 27, 2026 for Musk v OpenAI trial ✓ 235_002 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). ✓ 245_012 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — UAE's Biovault is a nine-figure initiative for both Colossal and the UAE ✓ CYB_026 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — The initial assumption that the United States can maintain a durable long-term 'moat' based purely o ✓ 246_047 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Anthropic ARR reached $30B, surpassing OpenAI's $24-25B. ✓ FUT_003 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Superforecaster consensus assigns 0.38% probability to AI-driven human extinction by 2100 vs domain- ✓ ROB_006 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — 'English is the hottest new programming language' — natural language becomes the dominant programmin ✓ ROB_012 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — The ultimate bottleneck for global robotics deployment is NOT software architecture but physical GPU ✓ INF_019 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — A modern hyperscale AI data center can consume up to 5 million gallons of freshwater per day for eva ✓ INF_033 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Technology conglomerates have mobilized unprecedented political capital to ensure AI-friendly regula ✓ SEM_039 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Block unveiled proprietary Bitcoin mining ASIC at 709 Terahashes/second (TH/s) — leading indicator f ✓ SEM_042 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. ✓ INF_039 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Consumer-facing AI hardware shortages will worsen: high-Unified-Memory Apple Mac Studio lead times n ✓ 229_013 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — The next 12-18 months will be the largest AI transformation ever seen. ✓ 248_040 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Pausing AI will fail and only accelerate race dynamics. ✓ 248_005 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — V3 Starlink satellites will deliver over 1 TB/s downlink and 200+ Gbps uplink each. ✓ ROB_016 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Block executed massive layoffs explicitly reframing the company as a 'smaller, faster, intelligence- ✓ CMQ_038 resolved hit on 2026-12-31 — Micron has initiated HVM production of HBM4 36GB module delivering 2.8 TB/s bandwidth — optimized to ✓ 235_038 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. ✓ SEM_011 resolved hit on 2026-04-30 — Nvidia became the world's first $5 trillion company (late 2025), operating a near-monopoly on advanc ✓ SEM_014 resolved hit on 2026-04-30 — Nvidia's Arizona-based TSMC factory successfully fabricated cutting-edge semiconductors on US soil f ✓ 237_028 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Abundance Summit will live-stream Eric Schmidt, Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi, and a WTF Moonshot podca ✓ 238_072 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Small-to-large model scaling time has collapsed from 6-12 months to 6 days ✓ 232_014 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already here, not 12 months away. ✓ 241_052 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Standard AI data centers being built at 400 MW scale, half-mile long ✓ 245_025 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Colossal gene editing efficiency has risen from 15% industry / 40% internal to 90% at hundreds of ed ✓ SPC_014 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Starlink constitutes 65% of all active satellites globally by 2026 — making LEO operational manageme ✓ 248_003 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — SpaceX plans to launch 40,000 V3 Starlink satellites and then 120,000 V4 satellites. ✓ SPC_031 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — SpaceX's reusability program has driven the cost per kilogram to Low Earth Orbit from $15,600 in 200 ✓ 229_028 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Figure will NOT license out its neural net or hardware IP to third-party form-factor builders. ✓ CYB_015 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — The human hiring process becomes progressively distorted as autonomous bot agents actively screen re ✓ CYB_009 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Hardware-software alignment will force widespread foundational-codebase rewrites — exemplified by Mi ✓ CYB_029 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Corporate API providers will increasingly restrict third-party agent harnesses (exemplified by Anthr ✓ SEM_029 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Blackwell RTX PRO 5000 (72GB) engineered with 50% memory boost over previous generation — deliberate ✓ INF_049 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Modern AI data centers are no longer server farms but "gigawatt factories"; energy — not silicon sup ✓ INF_065 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Uber has committed an initial $100 million specifically to develop EV charging infrastructure tailor ✓ SEM_008 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. ✓ SEM_012 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying ✓ SEM_027 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Nvidia Data Center revenue +66% YoY, contributing ~90% of $57B fiscal Q3 revenue; >$4.5T market cap ✓ SPC_004 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) will leverage its dominance in the small-to-medium launch market — 2025 revenu ✓ SPC_006 resolved hit on 2026-04-29 — Starlink exceeded 10 million active global subscribers by February 2026, generating estimated annual ✓ 231_002 resolved miss on 2026-04-29 — Grok 5 launches in March with massive expansion in training set, parameters, and capability. ✗ 231_018 resolved miss on 2026-04-29 — Blitz will switch to next generation model in late March 2026. ✗ 235_008 resolved miss on 2026-04-29 — Anthropic/OpenAI will be forced to release first-party OpenClaw competitor in next couple months. ✗ 244_020 resolved partial on 2026-05-01 — Need for driver's licenses is going to collapse over the next few years ◐ 239_033 resolved partial on 2026-05-21 — Optimus 3 will be by far the most advanced robot in the world ◐ INF_058 resolved partial on 2026-05-01 — The electrical grid topology will transition from centralized to highly decentralized: localized sol ◐ 232_003 resolved partial on 2026-05-10 — AI will make workers 3x more productive, effectively reducing headcount by two-thirds unless compani ◐ 236_033 resolved partial on 2026-05-17 — Pie will grow very quickly as AI does work of millions of humans in hours ◐ SEM_041 resolved partial on 2026-05-17 — At least 100,000 personal AI robots will be preordered in 2025 (driven by speech/vision/dexterity ad ◐ AI_028 resolved partial on 2026-05-01 — Decentralized offline messaging via Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE) mesh networks — exemplified by Dorsey ◐ 238_020 resolved partial on 2026-05-01 — Math field is 'cooked' — AI will solve research-level mathematics (first open hard math problem immi ◐ 231_031 resolved partial on 2026-05-10 — OpenAI planning $100B infrastructure spend, going public this year at $1T valuation. ◐ CMQ_036 resolved partial on 2026-12-31 — SK Hynix will maintain industry HBM lead, capturing >50% of NVIDIA's total HBM procurement (HBM3E + ◐ 246_001 resolved partial on 2026-09-30 — SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. ◐ AI_021 resolved partial on 2026-05-03 — The 2026-2027 window is the 'Great Disemboweling' of white-collar employment — millions of mid-caree ◐ 246_008 resolved partial on 2026-05-01 — Elon Musk will merge SpaceX and XAI (with Tesla) within a year (Peter's view). ◐ 247_023 resolved partial on 2026-05-17 — AI will be able to do everything a white collar worker does imminently ◐ 245_008 resolved partial on 2026-05-24 — More direwolves will be produced after initial Romulus and Remus ◐ INF_005 resolved partial on 2026-05-01 — Skilled trade labor (welders, HVAC, electricians, plumbers, heavy-equipment operators, network techn ◐ INF_029 resolved partial on 2026-05-03 — Enterprise AI will shift the software economy from licensing to 'outcome-based economics' — corporat ◐ 246_005 resolved partial on 2026-05-10 — OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations. ◐ INF_036 resolved partial on 2026-05-01 — AI will develop a 'kinetic' edge where capital assets (drones, autonomous vehicles, agricultural rob ◐ SEM_049 resolved partial on 2026-05-24 — AI will soon fully automate software engineering, achieving massive cost reductions via iterative se ◐ ROB_002 resolved partial on 2025-12-31 — 99% of code generation will be entirely automated by the end of 2025 — the elimination of the primar ◐ INF_004 resolved partial on 2026-05-17 — China has massive latent 'ghost data center' capacity — fully powered facilities sitting empty await ◐ SEM_033 resolved partial on 2026-05-10 — AI is gaining the capability to autonomously conduct original physics research (e.g., GPT-5.2 Pro pr ◐ INF_060 resolved partial on 2026-05-10 — Three new battery chemistries beyond lithium-ion will commercialize in 2026 — signaling a definitive ◐ SEM_002 resolved partial on 2026-05-21 — By 2025-2026, AI model outputs will outpace the cognitive capabilities of college graduates (driven ◐ SEM_022 resolved partial on 2026-05-01 — FP4 / ternary-weight architectures decouple AI capability from raw transistor density — embargoed na ◐ SEM_021 resolved partial on 2026-05-10 — Largest AI models will see a 100x leap in size by 2026, driven largely by Chinese research efforts u ◐ SEM_037 resolved partial on 2026-05-17 — For any job you can do on the other side of a screen, AI will probably be able to do it better, fast ◐ SEM_040 resolved partial on 2026-05-03 — Bitcoin treasury/business strategy allows companies to outpace rival enterprise software firms by 10 ◐ SEM_045 resolved partial on 2026-05-03 — Traditional corporate structures will move rapidly toward AI-native operating models by 2026 — forci ◐ CYB_003 resolved partial on 2026-05-17 — Localized, ungoverned multi-agent networks will spontaneously generate their own social networks, go ◐ INF_008 resolved partial on 2026-05-01 — Leading AI model intelligence has been improving by roughly 2.5 IQ points per month since May 2024 — ◐ INF_031 resolved partial on 2028-10-31 — The biggest near-term AI risk to humanity is AI companies themselves acting without proper oversight ◐ INF_030 resolved partial on 2026-05-01 — By 2026, generative AI will democratize analytical and operational capabilities previously exclusive ◐ SEM_006 resolved partial on 2025-12-31 — OpenAI will operate at a ~$9B deficit in 2025, driven almost entirely by advanced-chip acquisition a ◐ Jan 2026 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2027 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2028 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2029 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2030 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2031 Feb Mar Apr May Jun today pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Figure announces enterprise customer order book/backlog detail pre #4 · pending · 2026-09-30 — BMW expansion to Plant Leipzig confirmed live in production pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Figure raises a 2026/2027 funding round at >=$50B valuation pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-31 — Figure announces second non-automotive Tier-1 customer pre #1 · pending · 2027-06-30 — BotQ facility hits 12,000 unit/yr nameplate capacity cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · pending · 2026-05-31 — Figure announces alternate harmonic-reducer supplier outside China pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-01 — Figure publishes US-only manufacturing announcement / supply-chain reshoring milestone cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-16 — China industrial-robot exports continue +40% YoY while Figure scales US assembly cascade #2 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Figure decouples software stack (Helix model) from any China-resident weights/data cascade #3 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Figure 03 production scales at BotQ facility with non-China BOM disclosed cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-22 — Figure 03 demonstrates multi-room autonomous tidy-up (toys + cleaning) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Figure publicly demonstrates full-house multi-room autonomous task chain cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Helix model handles novel multi-floor / staircase navigation cascade #3 · pending · 2027-02-14 — Figure 03 deployed to private home pilot customer with daily multi-room workload cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-02 — Helix 02 demonstrates 4-minute autonomous dishwasher kitchen task pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · overdue · 2026-04-30 — Helix 02 deployed in BMW logistics commercial use case cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-16 — Helix 02 home testing in unseen environments demonstrated cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Robot-built robot manufacturing line milestone (Figure 03 building Figure 03) cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-15 — Figure 03 production reaches 1 robot/hour cadence (24x throughput vs January) pre #5 · pending · 2026-11-04 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-05-11 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-11-15 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Cumulative humanoid robot deployments cross 100,000 units globally pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Humanoid unit price falls below $30K (SUV-equivalent threshold) cascade #1 · pending · 2028-07-01 — Humanoid robot sector annual revenue crosses $10B (still <0.05% of $50T claim) cascade #2 · pending · 2028-08-31 — Humanoid TAM addressable wages reach $1T annual run-rate (revenue capture stage) pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-15 — BotQ achieves one-robot-per-hour cadence (24x prior throughput) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — BotQ second production line commissioned (push beyond 12K nameplate to 50K) cascade #2 · pending · 2027-01-14 — Figure announces second/Baku/secondary facility for additional capacity beyond Sunnyvale cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Annualized run-rate at BotQ exceeds 30,000 units (≥60% of 50K cap) cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · pending · 2026-10-07 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-01-30 — First public consumer (non-partner) home pilot deployment of Figure 03 pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-16 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-04-16 — Helix AI v2 or successor enables generalized household task transfer (multi-home) pre #2 · pending · 2027-05-17 — Figure cumulative installed base passes 1,000 homes/sites pre #1 · pending · 2027-08-23 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2028-01-30 — Cumulative installed base passes 10,000 homes/sites cascade #2 · pending · 2028-05-31 — If unit price has not crossed below $15K by end of window, 100K-home target slips pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · pending · 2026-09-30 — No competitor demonstrates closed-loop coffee/Keurig task with uncut footage by mid-2026 pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Public benchmark/leaderboard for humanoid manipulation parity established pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Figure unseen-home generalization demo (voice command in unfamiliar setting) pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Tesla Optimus Gen 3 / 1X / Agility public demo matches Figure 03 capability profile cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · partial · 2026-04-30 — Figure 03 ships with persistent memory feature accessible to home users pre #4 · pending · 2026-11-14 — Voice-agent persistent-memory consumer norm reaches inflection (cascade enabler) pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Brookfield home pilot publishes end-to-end demonstration: arrival, multi-day task, family interaction pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Hark (Adcock's new AI venture) ships personality/memory layer integrated with Figure robots pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Children-safe interaction mode demonstrated publicly cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · pending · 2026-07-16 — BMW Plant Leipzig pilot phase begins (first European Physical AI deployment) pre #2 · pending · 2026-08-16 — Second named industrial customer disclosed (beyond BMW; UPS / Fortune-100 manufacturer / 3PL) pre #1 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Figure customer roster remains in single digits (lead-customer concentration check) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-05-17 — Figure announces broad-distribution shift OR retains lead-customer model (resolution check) cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-01-30 — Amodei refines prediction to 70-80% probability pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-15 — Medvi documented at $401M revenue with 2-person team pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-06-16 — First publicly named AI-CEO billion-dollar company with human-puppet structure cascade #2 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Multiple solopreneurs cross $100M ARR with team <5 cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Autonomous AI agent contributes co-author / primary credit on Nature/Science paper pre #3 · pending · 2027-08-01 — AI solves new mathematical conjecture or proves significant open problem pre #2 · pending · 2027-08-01 — AI discovers new material with experimentally verified order-of-magnitude property improvement pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-16 — AI-driven AGI/AI labs report multiple sciences 'bulk-solved' simultaneously cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2027-12-16 — CBO or major IB upgrades 2030 GDP path by >=20% citing AI/automation pre #5 · pending · 2028-02-02 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2028-07-01 — Productivity growth (BLS nonfarm) breaks above 4.0% YoY pre #3 · pending · 2028-07-01 — G20 official statement names AI/robotics as primary driver of GDP outperformance pre #2 · pending · 2028-09-15 — Tesla bot or Optimus generates >$10B in segment revenue annualized pre #1 · pending · 2029-02-17 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2031-07-08 — Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years cascade #2 · pending · 2032-07-07 — GDP will 2x or 3x year-over-year in early 2030s if everything goes well. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-04 — Global economy will grow 10x in 10 years (cited from Elon Musk). cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-24 — Elon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-10-04 — Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Top-5 SaaS vendor publicly confirms seat-compression revenue impact >20% pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Top-10 SaaS sector aggregate revenue contracts YoY pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Major SaaS bankruptcy or take-private under AI-disruption pressure cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Tier-1 tech company publicly mandates 'AI-augmented productivity expectations' i.e. higher output pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-31 — BLS productivity report shows hours-per-worker holding flat or rising despite AI adoption pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-30 — ADP/large-employer survey shows AI-augmented roles working longer hours than peers pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-30 — 996/997 schedule normalization in US tech firms reported pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-31 — OECD or IMF working paper documents AI-driven hours expansion (vs reduction) cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already here, not 12 months away. pre #5 · pending · 2026-06-26 — By 2026, AI will reach 'intern-level' capability — millions of virtual interns performing supervised, economically usefu pre #4 · pending · 2026-11-30 — Scenario fires: Humanoid R1: 10K+ factory units by Nov 2026 pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Tesla cumulative Optimus production crosses 10,000 units pre #2 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Tesla annualized Optimus production rate crosses 100,000/year pre #1 · pending · 2029-06-15 — Tesla cumulative Optimus production crosses 1 million units cascade #1 · pending · 2030-08-31 — Tesla annualized Optimus production crosses 10,000,000/year ('tens of millions a year') cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2036-10-04 — Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #5 · pending · 2027-09-16 — ATP-BIO consortium or NIH funds >=$50M dedicated organ-banking initiative pre #4 · pending · 2028-02-09 — Stargate is a $500 billion multiyear capex program for distributed AI data-center construction (2025-2028, with Trump ad pre #3 · pending · 2028-07-01 — Reversibly cryopreserved mammalian organ successfully transplanted into recipient pre #2 · pending · 2028-09-30 — 21st Century Medicine or competitor publishes large-mammal whole-brain reversible vitrification pre #1 · pending · 2029-03-31 — FDA opens pre-IND track for vitrified-organ transplant trial cascade #1 · pending · 2032-07-01 — First UNOS-listed transplant using cryopreserved organ cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · pending · 2026-06-30 — Colorado AI Act takes effect (first comprehensive US state AI law) pre #3 · pending · 2026-08-02 — EU AI Act fully applicable; Commission GPAI fines authority kicks in (up to €15M / 3%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-01 — California ADM (automated decision-making) requirements take effect for businesses pre #1 · pending · 2027-08-02 — Pre-existing GPAI models (placed before Aug 2025) must be fully AI Act compliant cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — QWERTY remains default keyboard layout in iOS/Android/Windows 11/macOS cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Voice typing adoption % of total text input on smartphones cascade #3 · pending · 2027-09-16 — Brain-computer interface text input crosses 10K daily users cascade #4 · pending · 2029-03-16 — Major OS ships AI-native input mode as default replacing keyboard cascade #5 · pending · 2029-03-16 — Hardware keyboard sales decline >50% YoY cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Coding agent market scales from $0.55B (2024) to ≥$10B (2026) pre #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Gartner 40% AI-agent embed rate in enterprise apps confirmed by survey pre #1 · pending · 2027-09-16 — ≥1 Big-Tech firm reports >2x output growth with flat headcount via AI augmentation cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Inference workload share of total AI compute crosses 66% pre #2 · pending · 2028-01-01 — NVIDIA inference market share falls below 50% as TPU/ASIC capture growing share pre #1 · pending · 2028-09-15 — Sub-cent per million tokens inference price tier emerges for distilled models cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #5 · hit · 2025-06-30 — Zendesk fully-resolved-ticket pricing model in market pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-14 — HubSpot Breeze AI shifts to outcome-based pricing pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-31 — 40% of enterprise applications feature AI agents pre #2 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Hybrid usage+outcome pricing reaches 60% of SaaS vendors pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-31 — Major professional services firm shifts billable-hour model to outcome pricing pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-31 — ≥2 non-biology fields hit AlphaFold-class accuracy via foundation model pre #2 · pending · 2029-03-01 — ≥1 non-biology AI scientific tool wins major prize (Breakthrough / Turing / similar) pre #1 · pending · 2029-03-01 — ≥3 fields where AI prediction is now the default first-pass methodology cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — EU launches sovereign-AI-stack initiative independent of both US and China (third sphere emerges) pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Bifurcated internet: AI services walled off by sphere — US users blocked from Chinese AI platforms or vice versa at scal pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Major non-aligned country (Brazil, Indonesia, S. Africa) forced to formally pick US or China sphere cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2027-05-31 — First major K-12 system bans AI/phones in classroom statewide with explicit 'wilderness' framing pre #4 · pending · 2028-07-01 — First peer-reviewed study reports >2-sigma learning gains from AI-aided then AI-removed pedagogy pre #3 · pending · 2028-09-15 — Alpha-style 2-hour-learning model adopted by 100+ schools nationally pre #2 · pending · 2029-07-01 — First state competitive scholarship awarded to a sub-12-year-old with a published research contribution pre #1 · pending · 2029-09-30 — ISEF / Regeneron Science Talent Search median age drops >2 years vs 2024 baseline cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · overdue · 2026-04-30 — McKinsey runs 20K AI agents alongside 40K humans (1:2 ratio) pre #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — First publicly named >50%-AI-employee company emerges with valuation >$100M cascade #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Pure-AI company (zero human operational employees) emerges and operates >6 months cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2028-10-31 — Cascade: SEC / state regulator issues guidance on AI-only entity legal status cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — First confirmed credible death threat or attack against a named frontier-AI executive (FBI/DOJ disclosure or CEO public pre #2 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Mass anti-AI protest event with >10,000 participants in major US/EU city pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Major frontier AI company adopts no-public-speaking policy or relocates HQ for executive safety cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Frontier AI demonstrates measurable scientific research contribution in physics or chemistry pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Frontier model scores >=85% on graduate-level physics and chemistry benchmarks (GPQA Diamond) pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Wavefront spreads to biology / biomedical: AI co-authors notable drug-discovery or protein-design result cascade #1 · pending · 2027-09-15 — By 2027 mid-year, frontier AI surpasses human expert performance on majority of STEM olympiad-level domains cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · pending · 2026-11-14 — DeepSeek-class open or low-cost frontier reasoning at sub-$2 per million tokens pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Frontier reasoning model API price drops below $5 per million output tokens pre #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Flagship frontier model (Opus / GPT-5.5 Pro / Ultra-class) holds price floor near $30+ per 1M output pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Average industry cost-per-reasoning-task falls >=80% from 2025 baseline cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Autonomous AI agent publishes peer-reviewed scientific discovery pre #3 · pending · 2027-08-01 — AI literature meta-analysis identifies replication crisis in major sub-field pre #2 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Major scientific society reissues guidelines after AI-driven re-analysis pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-16 — AI-discovered 'wrong turn' triggers retraction wave in named field cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Major journal (Nature/Science/Cell/NEJM) issues retraction of Nobel-laureate paper attributed to AI-detected error pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Gregg Semenza (2019 Physiology) prize-cited paper retracted or formally challenged pre #3 · pending · 2027-08-01 — AI tool (e.g., ImageTwin, Proofig, Imagetwin) becomes standard pre-publication screening at top-5 journals pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-15 — Nobel Foundation issues formal statement on retraction policy or laureate review pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Cumulative retraction count for living Nobel laureates exceeds 60 papers (vs ~41 in 2024) cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · overdue · 2026-04-30 — Physics-based AI simulations operational at military-grade fidelity (WarMatrix) pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-15 — AI co-author on peer-reviewed physics paper resolving prior open problem pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-02 — World-model AI demonstrates novel physical-system prediction at SOTA cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2026-06-18 — The current Figure facility will top out around 50,000 units per year at full capacity. pre #5 · pending · 2026-06-28 — Figure's entire 2026 roadmap will be built around Helix 2, extending from logistics to full-body long-horizon control. pre #4 · pending · 2026-07-18 — By summer 2026, Figure will have almost none of its supply chain in China. pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — AI demonstrates novel physics derivation in peer-reviewed venue pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — AI system formally verifies a Fields-Medal-class open math conjecture pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — AI-driven biology lab autonomously completes wet-lab discovery cycle cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Foresight Institute Feynman Prize annual cycle issues new entry guidelines or prize bump pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-30 — Zyvex, Foresight, or DNA-nanotech lab announces credible 'within 2 years' timeline for Grand Prize attempt pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Peer-reviewed paper demonstrates positionally-controlled atomically-precise mechanosynthesis pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-31 — Functional nanoscale 8-bit adder demonstrated in published work cascade #1 · pending · 2028-12-31 — Feynman Grand Prize claim filed with Foresight Institute cascade #2 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #3 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · pending · 2026-10-31 — Apple smart glasses targeting late-2026 launch pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Ray-Ban Meta Gen 3 ships with continuous-AI / face-recognition modes pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-01 — U.S. or EU enacts always-on wearable recording disclosure rules pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Three+ FAANG-tier vendors ship always-on AI wearables concurrently cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Stargate Phase 1 ($100B+ committed) campus reaches first GW of operational capacity pre #5 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Scenario fires: 50GW dedicated AI/data center grid by Dec 2027 pre #4 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Schmidt-cited 29 GW of additional AI-focused data-center power online by 2027 pre #3 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Goldman Sachs aggregate data-center power demand reaches 84 GW by 2027 (AI = 27%) pre #2 · pending · 2028-02-09 — Stargate is a $500 billion multiyear capex program for distributed AI data-center construction (2025-2028, with Trump ad pre #1 · pending · 2029-07-01 — Grid investment passes $720B cumulative spend ($240B/yr run rate) cascade #1 · pending · 2030-12-31 — Schmidt-cited additional 67 GW of AI power online cumulative 2027-2030 cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Terran R static-fire / WDR test campaign at LC-16 Cape Canaveral pre #2 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Terran R first launch attempt (per Diamandis '1-2 years away' framing in Feb 2026) pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-31 — First Terran R successful payload-to-orbit cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-01 — Ireland announces BIA pilot extension and expansion to 2,000-2,200 artists for 2026-2029 pre #4 · pending · 2026-06-16 — Ireland publishes final third-year evaluation showing aggregate benefit-cost ratio pre #3 · pending · 2028-06-15 — Second non-Irish jurisdiction adopts arts-specific UBI pilot citing Ireland pre #2 · pending · 2028-09-30 — Ireland BIA scheme made permanent or made universal within Ireland pre #1 · pending · 2028-12-31 — Comparable peacetime work-creation scheme expanded beyond arts in any G20 country pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-17 — US AI-attributed layoffs cross 500K cumulative pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-16 — First clear sectoral AI-driven employment decline (legal, software, customer service) pre #3 · pending · 2027-08-31 — BLS unemployment rate stays below 6% during initial AI-displacement wave pre #2 · pending · 2028-08-30 — No single month sees >500K AI-attributed layoffs (no shock event) pre #1 · pending · 2029-07-01 — Cumulative AI-attributed displacement reaches 5M jobs without unemployment spike >7% pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-01 — Major frontier-AI CEO publicly proposes federal UHI / UBI funded by AI tax pre #3 · pending · 2027-02-14 — 3 or more US state legislatures introduce UBI/UHI legislation tied to AI displacement pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — AEI / NBER meta-analysis publishes peer-reviewed findings on UBI effectiveness for AI displacement pre #1 · pending · 2028-07-01 — Federal-level UHI/UBI legislation introduced in US Congress cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2025-07-19 — Frontier model achieves IMO gold-medal level on official problems pre #3 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Anthropic / OpenAI / DeepMind publish dedicated 'AI for physics' research program pre #2 · pending · 2026-11-15 — AI co-author on physics result honored by major prize / Nature cover pre #1 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Open problem in theoretical physics resolved by AI (yes-or-no benchmark) cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Active AI/agent open-source projects reach 10,000+ on GitHub pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — First sub-$1M AI startup achieves $1B ARR or $1B valuation in <12 months pre #2 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Permissionless agentic disruption creates new $10B+ market category pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Top-50 incumbent collapses or reverses course due to permissionless competitor cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-01 — First Fortune 500 non-tech company publicly attributes >20% productivity gain to AI pre #4 · pending · 2028-03-31 — BLS productivity statistics show first sustained acceleration above 2010s trend pre #3 · pending · 2028-12-14 — Median Fortune 500 capex on AI exceeds 5% of revenue pre #2 · pending · 2029-03-16 — Net white-collar job displacement reaches >2M cumulative US pre #1 · pending · 2029-12-15 — First non-tech S&P 500 sector posts >10% headcount reduction year-over-year cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Anthropic Economic Index or BLS-published AI labor study shows net welfare gain pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-16 — AI-driven scientific discoveries: >=3 Nature/Science papers in 2027 with AI as primary discovery method pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — AI-attributable harms: aggregate reported AI-caused fatalities, mass-disinformation events, fraud losses pre #2 · pending · 2027-08-01 — AI-attributable mortality reduction documented: >=2 FDA-approved AI-discovered drugs reach patients pre #1 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Mainstream sentiment indicator: Pew/Gallup AI-net-positive survey crosses 50% cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #2 · pending · 2028-01-30 — Average net productivity increase from AI remains <15% in 2027 enterprise surveys (vs hyped 30-50%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-31 — Fortune 500 mass-layoff wave attributable to AI displacement does NOT materialize at >5% headcount level by 2028 cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2027-07-02 — AI video generator market reaches $5B+ enterprise revenue by end-2027 pre #4 · pending · 2027-08-01 — YouTube Shorts daily-views surpass TikTok in any single quarter pre #3 · pending · 2027-09-15 — AI-generated video uploads become >=20% of YouTube total upload hours pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-01 — YouTube ad revenue YoY growth exceeds Netflix/Disney+ subscriber revenue growth pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — US theatrical box office continues structural decline >=10% vs 2024 baseline cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-03-01 — Real-time interactive deepfakes participate in live video conferences pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Major banks or financial institutions deprecate voice biometric authentication pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Cumulative deepfake fraud losses exceed $5 billion globally cascade #1 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Regulatory mandate against pure video/voice-only KYC for high-risk transactions cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2025-02-03 — Hyperscaler announces voluntary capability moratorium or red-line pre #3 · pending · 2026-11-14 — Open-source startup releases capability hyperscaler refused to ship pre #2 · pending · 2027-02-14 — Chinese / non-US lab releases model with capability US labs withheld pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Federal/state enforcement action against startup for unsafe AI deployment cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Voice AI VC investment exceeds $5B annual run-rate pre #1 · pending · 2027-01-30 — 30%+ of weekly AI users primarily use voice as input modality cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-15 — First mainstream consumer BCI/gestural device crosses 1M unit cumulative sales — modality competition with speech pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Frontier AI lab launches multi-modal interface where speech is <50% of high-bandwidth interaction (BCI, gestural, text p cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-31 — Karpathy AutoResearch demonstrates RSI in production training pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-26 — ICLR 2026 RSI workshop convenes (first-of-kind) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Frontier labs grow agent workforces from thousands to >=100K cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-15 — First public benchmark showing AI-self-improvement >=2x baseline gain cascade #3 · pending · 2027-02-14 — Major economy declares AI productivity inflection in 2026 GDP/productivity stats cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Wissner-Gross's Physical Superintelligence platform announces transformative invention pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — OpenAI / DeepMind / Anthropic claim 'significant scientific discovery' from frontier model cascade #1 · pending · 2028-07-01 — AI-derived physical principle replicated in independent lab (validation) cascade #2 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #3 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Scenario fires: AI pause beginning 2027 pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Cumulative global AI capex exceeds $1.5T in 2026-2028 window cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2025-08-11 — Sovereign AI compute treated as critical infrastructure (national security framing) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — First academic discipline declares ML/AI research output dominant over human authorship cascade #2 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Hyperscaler 2026 AI capex hits $725B — no slowdown despite backlash pre #3 · pending · 2026-08-02 — EU AI Act high-risk compliance deadline reaches Aug 2, 2026 with no pause pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-16 — No major AI lab voluntary training pause >6 months by 2028 pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Scenario fires: AI pause beginning 2027 cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · pending · 2026-08-16 — China indigenous frontier model matches GPT-class capability benchmark pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Major US AI safety / pause legislation passes Congress or EO pre #2 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Defense intel reports China narrowing or reaching parity in frontier AI pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — China announces national-scale humanoid robot deployment matching Figure/Tesla cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2027-02-14 — Annual US GDP growth crosses 5% for first time since pandemic (vs ~2-3% baseline) pre #5 · pending · 2027-12-02 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2028-07-01 — Global GDP growth crosses 5% (well above 3% trend) pre #3 · pending · 2028-11-16 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · pending · 2028-12-31 — Productivity (TFP) growth in US rises to >= 3% annually (vs ~1% historical) pre #1 · pending · 2029-03-16 — Single year shows >= 10% real GDP growth in any G20 economy primarily attributed to AI cascade #1 · pending · 2030-12-31 — Triple-digit (>= 100%) annual GDP growth at country or global level (Horowitz claim) cascade #2 · pending · 2031-07-08 — Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years cascade #3 · pending · 2032-07-07 — GDP will 2x or 3x year-over-year in early 2030s if everything goes well. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-04 — Global economy will grow 10x in 10 years (cited from Elon Musk). cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-24 — Elon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years. cascade #6 · pending · 2036-10-04 — Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-15 — Daily AI commerce queries on ChatGPT exceed 50M pre #2 · hit · 2025-05-31 — Adoption growth in lowest-income countries 4x higher than highest-income pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Generative AI reaches 50% US adult adoption faster than internet did cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-15 — Stanford AI Index records lowest-ever 38% positive AI sentiment in US pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-21 — 142+ activist groups in 24 states organize against AI infrastructure pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — G7 nation enacts AI windfall tax, UBI pilot, or wealth-cap legislation cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2037-06-24 — Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2027-08-01 — AI tool penetration: >=30% of working-age adults using generative AI weekly for production work pre #4 · pending · 2027-09-15 — Inequality measure: Top 1% of creators capture >=80% of creator economy income pre #3 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Creator economy headcount crosses 100M globally (vs ~50M in 2024) pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-01 — UBI/non-work-income recipients in US >=10M people (vs <500K in 2025) pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Time-use survey shows screen/passive-consumption hours per capita rises >=15% vs 2025 cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · partial · 2026-04-30 — Big 4 / MBB explicitly announce AI-driven entry-level hiring freeze or restructure pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Entry-level white-collar postings drop >25% YoY on LinkedIn / Indeed pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — AI-fluency requirement appears in >50% of entry-level postings pre #1 · pending · 2027-11-01 — UBI / Public Wealth Fund / 4-day workweek policy proposals enter major-party platforms cascade #1 · pending · 2028-01-01 — BLS / OECD entry-level unemployment rate rises >2% above experienced-worker rate cascade #2 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #3 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #5 · hit · 2026-01-15 — a16z 2026 Big Ideas explicitly identifies AI agents + on-chain finance as central theme pre #4 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Stablecoin transaction volume crosses $50T annualized run-rate pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — x402 / KYA / agent-payment standard sees major-protocol adoption pre #2 · pending · 2027-07-02 — AI agent on-chain transaction volume crosses $1B/month pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Public AI-economy thesis adopted by mainstream Wall Street equity research pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission pre #3 · pending · 2026-08-01 — C2PA Content Credentials standard adopted as machine-readable disclosure for AI content (EU AI Act Article 50 enforcemen pre #2 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Major frontier model (OpenAI/Anthropic/Google) integrates blockchain provenance attestation as default output mode pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Crypto market cap re-rating: utility tokens tied to AI provenance/agent payments outperform bitcoin in 2027 cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2037-06-24 — Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-05 — Apple model remains primarily walled-garden, not open-weights pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Apple announces formal open-weights or open-licensing strategy for a foundation model pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Apple ships server-side foundation model API to developers (Private Cloud Compute) pre #2 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Apple iPhone hardware sales beneficiary of on-device AI: services + hardware revenue inflection pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Open foundation model strategy adopted at competitor (Samsung/Google/Microsoft) hardware tier cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · pending · 2026-10-30 — Intuitive Machines Lanteris vertical-integration acquisition closes — first satellite-LEO-cislunar prime pre #2 · pending · 2029-06-15 — Blue Origin/Lockheed/Boeing Cislunar Transporter operational reusable LEO-to-lunar-orbit cargo system pre #1 · pending · 2030-01-16 — First in-cislunar-orbit satellite manufacturing demonstration (microsat assembly from staged components in Lunar Gateway cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2027-06-18 — Baby AGI agents will need and develop an 'immune system' for prompt injection and cybersecurity threats in real time. pre #5 · pending · 2027-06-24 — Elon Musk believes robot building robot is imminent pre #4 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Major-country (US, EU, China, UK) issues formal AI pause framework conditional on capability threshold pre #3 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Frontier lab (OpenAI/Anthropic/DeepMind) publicly invokes pause clause in compute scaling commitment letter pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Industry consensus capability evaluation (METR, AISI, Apollo) flags 'verge of superintelligence' threshold met pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — International AI safety treaty negotiations include Bostromian 'optimal timing' framing in formal diplomatic text cascade #1 · pending · 2030-07-05 — By 2030, AI models will surpass peak human expert levels across virtually all cognitive domains — onset of true superint pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #5 · hit · 2026-01-31 — AI inference cost falls >=900x per million tokens since 2023 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-28 — Top economist publicly cites Jevons Paradox to explain AI labor expansion pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — AI capex spend approaches $650-725B in 2026 pre #2 · pending · 2026-12-31 — AI inference industry spend exceeds $50B in 2026 (Jevons rebound) pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — BEA productivity statistics show >=2% annualized labor productivity growth sustained 6+ quarters pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — SSI publishes first technical paper or capability demonstration (currently zero public artifacts as of 2026) pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-01 — SSI valuation crosses $100B OR shuts down/sells (binary outcome on Sutskever pulling it off) pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — If SSI succeeds: industry-wide pivot to 'synthetic reasoning + specialized TPUs' away from data-hungry scaling cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2026-06-28 — Figure's entire 2026 roadmap will be built around Helix 2, extending from logistics to full-body long-horizon control. pre #5 · pending · 2026-07-18 — By summer 2026, Figure will have almost none of its supply chain in China. pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-15 — BLS or McKinsey reports US manufacturing labor share continues secular decline through 2026 pre #3 · pending · 2027-02-13 — By next year (2027), Figure expects to show real general purpose capability inside the robot; possibly within months. pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — First production deployment of robot-built-robot manufacturing line by Figure or Tesla pre #1 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Public AI lab discloses first frontier model trained primarily by AI-generated data and AI-driven curriculum cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Major peer-reviewed paper claims AI-driven 'overnight' breakthrough in materials or chemistry comparable to AlphaFold pre #2 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Multiple Nobel/Turing laureates publicly endorse 'AI flattens disciplines' framing pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — AI-discovered drug clears Phase III for a major disease cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-01 — First room-temperature superconductor or near-room-temperature material independently replicated via AI-discovery pipeli pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — AI-discovered drug or material reaches FDA approval / commercial production milestone cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Fortune 500 AI-reskilling adoption rate reaches 60%+ of major companies pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Skill-intelligence platforms replace traditional LMS at scale cascade #1 · pending · 2027-08-01 — K-12 / university curricula formally pivot to AI-native skills cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · pending · 2026-05-31 — Major 60+ year liberal-arts institution closure (Hampshire College, May 2026) pre #3 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia worst-case model triggers pre #2 · pending · 2028-07-01 — Demographic-cliff enrollment drop materializes (>15% by 2029) pre #1 · pending · 2029-03-16 — First flagship state university announces material program / campus closure cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2027-04-16 — Alpha School expands to Charlotte, Raleigh, and 3+ additional metros pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Independent peer-reviewed RCT confirms ≥2x learning rate from AI mastery tutoring vs control pre #1 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Top-3 US public school district pilots mastery-based AI tutoring at scale (≥10K students) cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Liemandt launches Timeback / EdTech licensing platform for AI-native schools pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Public demo: AI tutor brings non-reading 4-year-old to fluent reading in <=6 months pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Trilogy / Liemandt deprecates human reading specialists for pre-K cohort pre #1 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Independent K-12 study validates AI-bootstrapped reading for ages 4-5 cascade #1 · pending · 2028-05-01 — Cascade: state-level pilot adopts AI-tutor reading curriculum for pre-K cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-15 — First credible on-device education-grade LLM (sub-7B params) achieves curriculum-tutor quality pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Liemandt's Trilogy / Alpha-school style program publishes per-student token cost <$1K/year pre #2 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Apple / Google / Qualcomm announces on-device education-grade NPU optimization stack pre #1 · pending · 2028-05-01 — K-12 AI tutoring deployment crosses 1M-student threshold with on-device-first architecture cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · overdue · 2026-03-17 — Influencer-packaged motivational learning bundle announced pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · overdue · 2026-05-02 — Timeback platform launches as Alpha's commercial education engine cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-01 — Public press coverage names specific game-designer collaborators cascade #2 · pending · 2026-07-31 — Game-based learning module ships with named designer credit cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Bundle uptake measured: enrollment in non-Alpha-school Timeback pilots cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · pending · 2027-09-16 — First nation-scale AI tutoring rollout (~1M students) commissioned pre #3 · pending · 2027-11-01 — Peer-reviewed RCT shows AI-tutoring effect-size > 1 sigma in K-12 pre #2 · pending · 2028-01-30 — First G20 ministry of education issues formal AI-tutoring procurement framework pre #1 · pending · 2029-12-31 — Cascade: large-scale teacher-displacement labor disclosures cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-04 — Alpha School operates 13 campuses nationwide pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-11-14 — Teachers union files material legal challenge to AI-driven model cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Alpha announces additional campuses for 2027 academic year cascade #3 · pending · 2027-04-16 — Public-school district pilots Alpha-style 2-Hour Learning model cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-01 — Executives report 40% of workforce needs reskilling within 3 years pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Cisco-style industry consensus: >=90% of tech roles require AI reskilling pre #2 · pending · 2026-12-31 — IBM commits to skill 2M people in AI by end of 2026 pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Federal/state workforce reskilling program reaches >=1M enrollees cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-04 — Alpha School tuition pricing benchmark crosses $40K-$55K range pre #3 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Alpha School enrollment crosses 2,000 students pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Alpha School secures additional venture funding round at >$1B valuation pre #1 · pending · 2027-07-02 — NCES private K-12 spending data confirms ≥$50B annual market cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Alpha School publicly announces formal RCT protocol with IRB approval pre #3 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Timeback enrollment reaches 100K students pre #2 · pending · 2028-09-15 — First-stage RCT (10K-50K students) results published pre #1 · pending · 2029-03-31 — Million-student RCT enrollment begins cascade #1 · pending · 2030-09-15 — Million-student RCT primary endpoint readout cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2026-06-26 — By 2026, AI will reach 'intern-level' capability — millions of virtual interns performing supervised, economically usefu pre #5 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Alpha School scales 'Time Back' AI tutor platform to additional schools pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Liemandt's $1B commitment funds sub-$1,000 device deployment to scale pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Mainstream LLM lab releases closed-loop RL tutoring product pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-30 — Scenario fires: AGI fast: drop-in remote worker by 2027-09 pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Closed-loop AI tutor matches/exceeds human instructor on rigorous benchmarks cascade #1 · pending · 2030-07-05 — By 2030, AI models will surpass peak human expert levels across virtually all cognitive domains — onset of true superint cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2036-10-04 — Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-17 — India overtakes Japan to become 4th largest nominal GDP economy pre #4 · pending · 2028-07-01 — India contribution to global GDP growth crosses 20% (vs ~17% in 2024) pre #3 · pending · 2028-07-01 — China nominal GDP growth turns negative in any single quarter pre #2 · pending · 2028-07-01 — FT/Economist cover narrative: 'India century' replaces 'Chinese century' pre #1 · pending · 2029-07-01 — India overtakes Germany to become 3rd largest nominal GDP economy cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · pending · 2026-11-29 — First open-source globally distributed RL training run of >=100B parameter model completes successfully pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-01 — Non-US sovereign nation announces national AI training compute initiative (>=10K H100-equivalent GPUs) outside Five Eyes pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-01 — Major geopolitical commentator or government white paper explicitly frames training-vs-inference centralization as a str pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Open-source model trained on heterogeneous federated GPU pool reaches GPT-4-class performance on standardized eval pre #1 · pending · 2027-11-01 — First retrospective op-ed by major AI policy figure asks 'why was training so centralized' cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-17 — Kevin Weil departs OpenAI — original 100-Nobels champion exits, OpenAI for Science decentralized pre #5 · pending · 2026-10-20 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-15 — OpenAI for Science 'Prism' general availability or successor product launch pre #3 · pending · 2027-04-12 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-16 — First peer-reviewed Nobel-class result published with explicit AI co-attribution pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-03 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-30 — Nobel ceremony explicitly cites AI partnership in award rationale pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2026-07-31 — Pentagon issues amended supply-chain-risk determination on Anthropic pre #2 · pending · 2026-08-22 — Anthropic announces revised DoD-acceptable usage policy or Claude Mythos govt-tier pre #1 · partial · 2026-04-30 — Court ruling in Anthropic v. Trump administration (March 2026 lawsuit) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Anthropic re-included in classified-network or DoD prototype contract cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-16 — Permanent two-track regime: Anthropic on commercial side, OpenAI/Google on DoD cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Anthropic blacklist resolved or escalated pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Pentagon awards new classified AI contract specifying values/alignment requirements pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Executive order on AI cultural alignment / non-person-entity standards pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-15 — Frontier lab introduces government-only model variant with custom value alignment pre #1 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Congressional hearing or legislation on AI cultural-values government control cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2028-02-04 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #5 · pending · 2028-05-01 — First trillion-dollar IPO closes at >$1T fully diluted pre #4 · pending · 2028-09-15 — First public company breaches $20T market cap pre #3 · pending · 2028-12-15 — S&P 500 total market cap doubles from 2026 baseline pre #2 · pending · 2029-02-20 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2029-08-31 — First public firm crosses $50T market cap pre #6 · pending · 2026-11-02 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Pure-play AI vendor (Cohere/Mistral/Perplexity) revenue stays <$35B aggregate 2026 pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Enterprise AI revenue exceeds consumer AI revenue 3:1 across hyperscalers pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-07 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-08-01 — AI capex-to-revenue ratio compresses or hyperscaler stock multiple resets pre #1 · pending · 2027-11-09 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Hyperscaler annual capex reaches $725B in 2026 (~$1.99B/day) pre #5 · pending · 2028-02-09 — Stargate is a $500 billion multiyear capex program for distributed AI data-center construction (2025-2028, with Trump ad pre #4 · pending · 2028-07-01 — Combined hyperscaler annual capex exceeds $1T (~$2.7B/day) in any single year pre #3 · pending · 2028-09-30 — First AI-spend pause or reduction by 2+ hyperscalers (recession trigger) pre #2 · pending · 2028-12-31 — Power constraints become binding limit on AI capex (not capital) pre #1 · pending · 2029-03-16 — Daily AI spend reaches $3-5B/day threshold cascade #1 · pending · 2030-09-15 — Hyperscaler annual capex reaches $3-4T (~$8-11B/day) per Nvidia's 2030 forecast cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · pending · 2026-06-30 — PwC ChatGPT Enterprise reseller volume scales as Big-4 AI revenue line pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Big-4 + MBB collective AI investment crosses $15B cumulative pre #2 · pending · 2027-02-14 — OpenAI consulting division pressures Big-4 advisory pricing pre #1 · pending · 2027-04-01 — Accenture AI Refinery client count crosses 5,000 enterprises cascade #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Big-4 advisory revenue grows >=20% YoY driven by AI transformation contracts cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2026-10-15 — Big Four publicly disclose AI agent doing audit work (workpaper generation / variance analysis) pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Cumulative Big Four audit-tech headcount reduction >=50% from 2024 baseline pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — PCAOB or SEC publishes guidance on AI-assisted audit reliance cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-04-29 — OSWorld leader exceeds human baseline by 10pp pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-01 — Multimodal vision/humor capability matches human-grader pass rate cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Major rent-a-human platform deprecates humor/visual scoring tasks cascade #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Cascade: Human-as-graders gig economy contracts >30% YoY cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-19 — VITARI pre-orders open H1 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-30 — First VITARI commercial shipment in H2 2026 cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Independent customer benchmarks confirm $100/genome at >=Q30 90% cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · pending · 2027-04-18 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-11-01 — State-level lab-grown meat bans repealed or struck down pre #4 · pending · 2028-03-31 — Cultivated meat production cost falls below $20/lb wholesale pre #3 · pending · 2028-04-06 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2029-03-26 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2029-09-15 — Cultivated meat captures >1% of US ground meat retail dollars pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Stimson/Time Top-10 Global Risks for 2026 confirms multiple civilizational disruption vectors pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — PRC Taiwan-readiness deadline reaffirmed for 2027 pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — AI-enabled disinformation campaign against Taiwan election documented at state-actor scale pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-01 — >=1 major civilizational shock resolves in 2027-2028 window (kinetic, AI-political, financial) pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-01 — Taiwan kinetic conflict or quarantine event cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Office vacancy rates in top-25 US metros remain elevated (>15%) as AI restructures white-collar work pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Data-center real estate becomes #1 institutional CRE investment category by capital deployed pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Median US existing-home price posts year-over-year decline for first time in a decade pre #2 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Suburban Class-B office buildings begin systematic conversion-or-demolition wave pre #1 · pending · 2028-05-08 — Major REIT writes down >=20% of office portfolio in single quarter citing AI-driven demand collapse cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · partial · 2026-04-22 — AI-driven discovery of new physics in dusty plasma (April 2026) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-31 — Major AI lab (DeepMind/Anthropic/OpenAI) publishes claim of meaningful progress on a Millennium Problem or Standard Mode cascade #1 · pending · 2029-07-01 — Public consensus among physicists shifts to AI co-authoring on Nobel-class result cascade #2 · pending · 2030-12-31 — Run-out-of-physics threshold check (Q4 2030) cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-11 — Anthropic Opus 4.6+ discloses 500+ zero-days in OSS libraries cascade #1 · pending · 2026-06-30 — OSSF/CNCF publishes formal AI-SLOP best practices for OSS maintainers cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Open source vulnerabilities exceed 1,000 per codebase average cascade #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Major OSS project (Linux kernel/OpenSSL/Python) declares maintainer crisis cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · pending · 2027-06-30 — First company crosses $10T market cap pre #5 · pending · 2027-12-14 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Scenario fires: NBER recession declared 2027 pre #3 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Top company net income annualized run rate crosses $300B pre #2 · pending · 2028-03-31 — First non-US sovereign or private firm mentioned in $10T speculation pre #1 · pending · 2028-06-15 — $100T market cap threshold first appears in consensus analyst note cascade #1 · pending · 2028-12-31 — First company crosses $20T market cap pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-31 — Digital twin sector funding sees 600%+ YoY surge pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-06-30 — PE firms raise dedicated AI/digital-transformation funds cascade #2 · hit · 2026-02-25 — Tech M&A boom rolls through 2026 with PE-led AI deals cascade #3 · pending · 2026-09-15 — First specific PE-AI digital twin acquisition of mid-cap target cascade #4 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Portfolio company demonstrates 3-5x cost collapse through AI cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Meta cuts 8,000 employees at $35B+ AI capex (2026 large-cap pivot attempt) pre #1 · pending · 2027-06-16 — ≥3 of top-10 incumbent retailers/banks/automakers go through CEO ouster citing AI strategy failure cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-30 — OpenAI / Anthropic / Google headline frontier-model token prices fall 60-80% YoY pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Same-capability constant-quality token cost falls >=10x in a single year pre #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Hyperscaler GPU rental prices (H100/H200/B200) fall >=50% YoY pre #1 · pending · 2027-01-30 — GPT-4-class capability available on a sub-$0.10/MTok input model cascade #1 · pending · 2027-08-16 — Cumulative 2-year (2025->2027) constant-capability cost reduction reaches 1,600x (40x squared) cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Zipline crosses 10 million cumulative deliveries (5x growth from 2026 base) pre #1 · pending · 2029-02-14 — Zipline daily delivery rate crosses 100,000/day (representing path to 1/sec milestone) cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Stargate Abilene flagship reaches ~1 GW operational capacity by mid-2026 pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Hyperscaler announces single-site data center campus exceeding 5 GW pre #4 · pending · 2027-05-31 — First federal AI-grid coordination policy or grid-emergency order issued pre #3 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Scenario fires: 50GW dedicated AI/data center grid by Dec 2027 pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-31 — US AI data center power demand reaches ~30 GW incremental by end of 2027 pre #1 · pending · 2028-02-09 — Stargate is a $500 billion multiyear capex program for distributed AI data-center construction (2025-2028, with Trump ad cascade #1 · pending · 2029-08-26 — Aggregate US data center load passes 100 GW by 2029 cascade #2 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #3 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2026-10-31 — Diamandis Abundance360 Longevity Trip 2026 confirms market thesis pre #5 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Major pharma cap-ex reallocation toward longevity / aging programs pre #4 · pending · 2028-09-30 — First aging-as-disease ICD-11 code adoption by major payor pre #3 · pending · 2030-02-07 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #2 · pending · 2030-03-17 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · pending · 2030-04-24 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · pending · 2026-07-02 — EH216-S debut sightseeing flight in downtown Shanghai (Huangpu River / Longhua Airport) pre #4 · pending · 2026-11-30 — Scenario fires: Tesla FSD unsupervised wide deployment by Nov 2026 pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — AutoFlight Prosperity 5-passenger eVTOL achieves CAAC airworthiness certification pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Multi-city Chinese eVTOL taxi commercial revenue services operational across ≥3 hubs pre #1 · pending · 2027-07-02 — China launches 100+ commercial low-altitude flight applications under 2024-2027 Action Plan cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-03-24 — Apple WWDC 2026 keynote scheduled and confirmed pre #2 · pending · 2026-06-10 — WWDC 2026 keynote demos AI-powered Siri or 'Apple Intelligence v2' powered by Gemini pre #1 · pending · 2026-06-11 — iOS 27 developer beta with new Siri / Gemini features ships at WWDC cascade #1 · pending · 2026-10-01 — Cascade: Public Siri/Gemini release ships in iOS 27 GA in September 2026 cascade #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Cascade: Apple's Gemini-Siri reaches >100M users active in first quarter post-release cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Shutterstock-Getty merger receives final UK regulatory approval cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-31 — First major brand campaign uses 100% AI-generated commercial imagery cascade #2 · pending · 2026-08-15 — Major commercial photography agency announces revenue decline >25% YoY citing AI cascade #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Industry trade group estimates >40% commercial photographer income loss YoY cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #6 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2026-09-15 — GSA AI clause GSAR 552.239-7001 finalized and adopted into MAS contracts pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-16 — USAi (federal common AI environment) reaches >=20 federal agency users pre #3 · pending · 2027-08-01 — DoD/VA/HHS combined AI-related contract obligations exceed $20B/year pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-15 — FDA approves first AI-as-medical-device for autonomous diagnostic use without clinician sign-off pre #1 · pending · 2027-09-15 — Veterans Affairs AI claims/benefits processing achieves >=50% automation rate cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · overdue · 2026-05-01 — DoD/DoW classification framework for AI labs published pre #2 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Anthropic files legal/administrative challenge to classification pre #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Initial ruling or injunction in Anthropic challenge cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-20 — Final ruling on classification challenge cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Robotaxi fleet exceeds 10K vehicles in commercial paid US service pre #2 · pending · 2028-03-16 — First major US e-commerce platform discloses >50% AI-agent purchase volume pre #1 · pending · 2028-12-31 — ACP / agent-commerce protocols become default checkout in top-10 platforms cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission pre #2 · pending · 2026-08-31 — First US state or major economy passes UBI bill above $500/month pre #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — AI-driven white-collar layoffs accelerate in BLS / Challenger reports cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Large-scale labor unrest event (>10,000 participants) tied to AI displacement cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Federal pilot program or executive order on automation transition assistance cascade #3 · pending · 2027-07-02 — OECD-wide social-insurance reform debate accelerates beyond 2026 cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Giving Pledge attrition continues — second AI-era billionaire publicly exits pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-16 — AI founder net worth crosses $200B (Altman/Huang/Musk-class) pre #1 · pending · 2028-02-15 — Aggregate AI-founder philanthropic commitments cross $100B cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Q1 2026 US real GDP grows at 2.0% annual rate pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-31 — Q4 2026 BEA release confirms nominal GDP per capita >=$88,000 pre #2 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Nominal GDP per capita crosses $90,000 pre #1 · pending · 2027-09-30 — Real GDP per capita growth runs >=1.5% annual through 2028 cascade #1 · pending · 2029-09-15 — Nominal GDP per capita crosses $100,000 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-15 — Musk publicly affirms $100T SpaceX possibility pre #5 · pending · 2026-07-20 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-10-09 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-10-16 — First trillionaire — Musk net worth crosses $1T pre #2 · pending · 2026-11-30 — Scenario fires: First $1T+ IPO in 2026 pre #1 · pending · 2026-12-29 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2029-03-16 — Multi-trillionaire (>=2 individuals at $1T) — cascade cascade #2 · pending · 2035-07-02 — First $100T market cap company — full prediction realization pre #6 · pending · 2027-03-17 — First publicly-announced billionaire-funded regional cash-transfer program in their home metro (>=$50M committed, >=10,0 pre #5 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Yang/Humanity Forward expands philanthropic UBI footprint past Hudson/Denver pilots into >=5 new cities pre #4 · pending · 2028-01-01 — At least three additional billionaire-backed local UBI/GBI programs announced in same year as the first pre #3 · pending · 2028-01-06 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2028-06-15 — Federal/state legislator cites billionaire-backed regional UBI as model in introduced legislation pre #1 · pending · 2028-11-09 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Independent/third-party 2028 candidate polls >=10% in head-to-head three-way matchup pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — No Labels, Forward Party, Libertarians, or new party announces 2028 ballot strategy in >=30 states cascade #1 · pending · 2028-07-31 — High-profile non-major-party candidate qualifies for first general election debate cascade #2 · pending · 2028-07-31 — Independent/third-party 2028 candidate appears on >=40 state ballots (general election) cascade #3 · pending · 2028-11-26 — Cascade: Independent/third-party 2028 candidate captures >=5% of national popular vote cascade #4 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #5 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Independent or third-party candidate FEC filings exceed 100 by EOY 2026 cascade #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Major-network poll shows independent candidate at 15%+ in 2028 head-to-head cascade #2 · pending · 2028-09-15 — Independent candidate qualifies for general-election presidential debate cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · pending · 2026-11-14 — DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee finalizes 2028 Democratic primary calendar pre #2 · pending · 2027-07-02 — 3 or more leading 2028 Democratic candidates skip Iowa during pre-primary year pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — 2028 Iowa Democratic event count below 50 percent of 2020 cycle baseline cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #1 · pending · 2027-04-01 — College wage premium narrows below 70% (vs ~80% baseline) cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-01 — Office vacancy concentrated in oldest buildings (10% own >60% vacancy) pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Major office REIT files Chapter 11 or restructures debt cascade #1 · pending · 2027-11-01 — Major US city converts >=10% of CBD office stock to residential or alternative use cascade #2 · pending · 2028-12-30 — Office-using employment growth essentially flat or negative through 2030 cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-28 — Major HBCU files Chapter 11 bankruptcy pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Number of US colleges with D-grade financial health exceeds 200 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-01 — Multi-college bankruptcy in 2026: at least 8 colleges closed by year-end pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Annual closure count rises to >=25 by 2027 cascade #1 · pending · 2028-12-30 — Demographic cliff produces >=10% undergraduate enrollment decline 2025-2029 cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-11 — FHA delinquency rate breaches 11% (highest since 2021) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-15 — Aggregate household debt crosses $19T by mid-2026 cascade #2 · pending · 2026-11-29 — Cascade: regional bank credit-loss provisions rise YoY by 25%+ cascade #3 · pending · 2026-11-30 — Low-income zip 90+ DPD rate exceeds 3.5% by year-end 2026 cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #6 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-01-12 — MIT Technology Review names AI companions a breakthrough technology pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-31 — AI companion market hits $500B+ size cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Regulatory backlash and harm-reduction laws emerge cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Public polling shows >=70% Americans want AI 'more regulated' pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — $42B broadband funds conditioned on state AI regulation repeal pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — MAGA / Republican defection from federal AI deregulation cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-09 — AI capex contributes 30 percent or more of US 2026 GDP growth pre #5 · pending · 2027-04-30 — S&P 500 AI-exposed stocks outperform broad index by 30 percent or more over 24 months pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-25 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Goldman Sachs confirms AI productivity uplift inflection in 2027 pre #2 · pending · 2028-01-21 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Cumulative GenAI value creation reaches McKinsey 2.6T-4.4T USD annual range pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-24 — Larry Fink/BlackRock CEO publicly warns AI deepening wealth gap pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — S&P 500 firms reduce headcount while productivity rises cascade #2 · pending · 2027-09-16 — Capital share of GDP exceeds 65% in advanced economies cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2026-09-15 — World Bank WDR 2026 'AI for Development' published with poverty-impact framework pre #5 · pending · 2027-08-01 — First country deploys AI-driven cash-transfer or geospatial-targeting program at scale (>5M beneficiaries) pre #4 · pending · 2027-09-15 — Global extreme poverty rate drops below 9.5% per World Bank PovcalNet update pre #3 · pending · 2027-11-16 — AI-tool penetration in low-income agricultural extension services exceeds 25% pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Sub-Saharan Africa poverty rate stagnant or rising despite AI rollout pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-31 — If no >5M-beneficiary AI poverty program launches by end-2027, 'chance of fixing' becomes generous cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — U.S. labor productivity growth turns positive ≥2% YoY cascade #2 · pending · 2027-02-14 — Major economic forecaster (IMF, OECD, World Bank) raises GDP forecast citing AI cascade #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — S&P 500 earnings growth exceeds 15% YoY cascade #4 · pending · 2027-08-01 — AI-attributable contribution to GDP growth quantified by economists pre #5 · pending · 2027-06-16 — US CPI peaks at >=5% YoY before sustained decline below 2% pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Federal UBI/cash-transfer enacted at scale >=$500B/year pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Money-supply growth (M2) acceleration >=10% YoY pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-01 — AI-driven goods deflation observable in tradable goods CPI subcomponent pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Robotics-driven labor cost decline: humanoid+industrial robot deployment >=500K units cumulative US pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #2 · pending · 2028-04-30 — Top-quintile household services spending share rises ≥20% pre #1 · pending · 2028-05-01 — Personal-care + private-household occupations grow ≥15% vs 2024 baseline cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2027-02-14 — First major economist publishes AI-driven hyperinflation framework pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-17 — US M2 / debt monetization signal — fiscal dominance proxy pre #4 · pending · 2027-04-23 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-09-16 — AI-driven structural disinflation — opposite outcome (negation watch) pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-19 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-16 — US headline CPI exceeds 8% sustained for 12+ months pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · pending · 2027-01-30 — First public utility tariff approved that explicitly directs hyperscaler-funded grid surplus to subsidize residential bi pre #3 · pending · 2027-10-01 — First hyperscaler announces free or discounted electricity/services bundle for nearby residential consumers pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-15 — US data center electricity share crosses 9% of national demand (EPRI midpoint) pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Scenario fires: 50GW dedicated AI/data center grid by Dec 2027 cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Number of S&P 500 CEOs publicly citing AI as reason for own/peer departure crosses 10 pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Conference Board / WEF report explicitly ranks CEO role as latest-to-automate pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-17 — Mid/junior management automation rate exceeds CEO automation rate in BLS or McKinsey study pre #2 · pending · 2027-05-17 — First public-listed company appoints AI as named co-CEO or 'AI CEO' role pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-31 — If middle-management displacement >25% but CEO turnover normal by Q4 2027, claim hits early cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2026-08-30 — We are currently in AI hard takeoff pre #5 · pending · 2026-12-03 — 2026 midterm elections produce divided Congress unable to pass major fiscal legislation pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-16 — State-level UBI expansion: 3+ states adopt permanent guaranteed-income programs >$500/mo pre #3 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Federal Reserve or CBO publish formal AI-displacement scenario in macro projections pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-01 — AI-displacement unemployment crosses 5.5% nationally before 2028 election pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-16 — At least one major-party 2028 candidate runs explicitly on UBI/cash-transfer platform cascade #1 · pending · 2031-07-08 — Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years cascade #2 · pending · 2036-09-04 — Global economy will grow 10x in 10 years (cited from Elon Musk). cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-24 — Elon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-10-04 — Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-15 — May 1, 2026 mass labor protests in US (>500 organizations participating) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-16 — Single-day US protest crowd >=500K nationwide (June-Aug 2026) cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-01 — Teen anxiety/depression rates remain above pre-2020 levels into 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-16 — AAA-rated civil unrest incident count rises ≥20% YoY by mid-2026 cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Anger/fear sentiment index (online) crosses 2020 pandemic peak cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-30 — Cascade: SAMHSA distress hotline volume up 25%+ YoY cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #6 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #1 · pending · 2026-06-15 — Global TFR projection updates show below-replacement faster than expected cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #2 · hit · 2026-01-31 — St. Louis Fed AI-contribution-to-GDP nowcast Jan 2026 pre #1 · overdue · 2026-05-12 — BEA real GDP per capita Q1 2026 prints cascade #1 · hit · 2026-01-26 — AI-related capex categories rank top-2 driver of US GDP growth in any quarter cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-15 — US nominal GDP per capita crosses $90,000 in 2026 cascade #3 · pending · 2026-10-30 — Productivity growth (nonfarm business output/hour) >2% YoY for 2026 sustained pre #6 · hit · 2026-01-15 — HHS publishes 2026 Poverty Guidelines for individual pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-10-01 — Census Bureau releases supplemental poverty measure (SPM) update cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Public discourse shifts to higher 'effective' poverty benchmarks cascade #3 · pending · 2027-09-16 — Federal or state UBI/wage-floor proposal pegs benefits near $25K/person cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #6 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-01-31 — Annual US deepfake-driven losses cross $3B in 2025 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · hit · 2026-03-31 — Voice deepfake contact-center attempts grow >1,000% YoY cascade #2 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #3 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Annual AI-driven fraud losses cross $40B globally cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Anthropic discloses MCP/OpenClaw design vulnerability with RCE risk pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Multiple OpenClaw variants/forks emerge with documented vulnerabilities pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Mexican government compromise via Claude Code reveals state-level vulnerability cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-30 — April 2026 sets record month for frontier AI model releases pre #3 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Software-engineering task length AI can complete doubles every 5 months pre #2 · pending · 2026-07-31 — Claude 5 ('Fennec') ground-up architecture release pre #1 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Scenario fires: Major-country AI pause beginning 2026 cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Apple admits Mac Mini AI-driven sellout / underestimated demand (Q2 FY26 earnings) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Apple guides Mac mini / Mac Studio constrained for months pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Apple Mac segment revenue beats Wall St estimate driven by AI workloads cascade #1 · pending · 2026-10-31 — M5 Mac mini refresh ships in 2026 to address shortage cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission pre #3 · pending · 2026-08-31 — M5 Mac mini launch (consumer local-AI hardware refresh) pre #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Apple Intelligence developer-API expansion enables third-party local-LLM apps pre #1 · pending · 2026-12-30 — Local frontier-class LLM (>=30B params) running interactively on Mac mini-class device cascade #1 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Cascade: Apple regains AI narrative momentum (analyst sentiment / sell-side upgrades) cascade #2 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Cascade: Mac mini becomes mainstream local-AI inference reference platform cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2037-06-24 — Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · pending · 2026-10-31 — Samsung Galaxy AI ships fully on-device flagship suite (Q4 2026 launch class) pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Apple ships LLM-powered Siri with deeper OS hooks pre #3 · pending · 2027-04-30 — Google ships Gemini Nano as Pixel/Android OS-integrated layer pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-30 — Microsoft ships Windows-integrated local Copilot that runs offline on Copilot+ PCs pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-11 — At least 3 of top 5 OEM/OS vendors confirm OS-integrated local AI roadmaps cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-30 — OpenAI acquires OpenClaw (open-source local frontier model) pre #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Fortune 500 enterprise discloses >=10,000 net job reductions tied to OpenClaw / agent rollout cascade #1 · pending · 2027-07-02 — S&P 500 aggregate productivity +10% YoY attributed to agentic AI deployment cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-15 — Anthropic / OpenAI restrict managed agent access citing OpenClaw substitution pressure pre #5 · pending · 2026-10-30 — OpenClaw GitHub stars cross 1,000,000 pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-31 — If OpenClaw stars stagnate or fall below 500K by end-2026, consumer-adoption thesis weakens pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Enterprise migration to OpenClaw exceeds 50% of new agent deployments at top-10 vendors pre #2 · pending · 2027-07-01 — Major SaaS vendor reports >10% revenue impact attributed to OpenClaw substitution pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Cumulative consumer-side OpenClaw deployments cross 10 million users cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-01-31 — AI coding tools cut development time by ~50% (industry baseline) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Solo founder Allo (vertical SaaS) targeting $10M ARR in 2026 cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — OpenClaw / Claude Skills / Skills marketplace hits 1K+ active vertical templates cascade #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Documented case: vertical SaaS reaches $5M ARR with <=$200/mo subscription stack cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-07-01 — Solo-founder unicorn ($1B valuation) emerges using AI-only build stack cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · overdue · 2026-05-02 — Claude Code/agent specialty variants (PicoClaude, IronClaude analogues) ship cascade #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Multiple new agent variants launch in H1 2026 (Operator, Mariner, Claude Code, etc.) cascade #2 · pending · 2026-06-30 — Open-source agent framework forks exceed 50 active GitHub projects cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Enterprise agent revenue growth signals real PMF (vs hype) cascade #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Agent platform consolidation begins (M&A or shutdown of variants) cascade #5 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Pausing AI will fail and only accelerate race dynamics. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already here, not 12 months away. pre #4 · hit · 2026-03-01 — NIST publishes formal guidance defining agent hijacking as indirect prompt injection pre #3 · pending · 2026-06-26 — By 2026, AI will reach 'intern-level' capability — millions of virtual interns performing supervised, economically usefu pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Standardized 'AI immune system' / runtime defense framework adopted by major lab pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Major regulator mandates prompt-injection resilience testing for production agents cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-23 — Nick Bostrom: AI can and should be paused but only once we're on the verge of super intelligence. cascade #2 · pending · 2030-07-05 — By 2030, AI models will surpass peak human expert levels across virtually all cognitive domains — onset of true superint cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2036-10-04 — Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · pending · 2026-05-31 — Diamandis publishes Moonshots-with-Skippy episode where Skippy demonstrably uses prior episode transcripts pre #2 · pending · 2026-06-23 — Custom GPT / Claude project trained on Moonshots transcript corpus published pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-01 — OpenAI / Anthropic enable persistent memory across conversation sessions for assistants cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Recursive self-improvement demos (DGM/AlphaEvolve) become routine in frontier lab releases cascade #2 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-26 — ICLR 2026 hosts first-ever Recursive Self-Improvement workshop pre #1 · pending · 2026-08-15 — Frontier benchmarks show recursive AI gain of >=10% in <1 month cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Mainstream press declares 'singularity already begun' in 2026 cascade #2 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — AI video gen unit cost falls below $0.10/sec at 1080p across major providers cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-30 — 1,000+ ultra-high-quality AI-generated future-themed videos publicly catalogued by Sept 2026 cascade #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — First feature-length AI-generated film released theatrically/streaming cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · pending · 2026-12-15 — BLS software developer employment ticks down YoY for first time pre #5 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Traditional software-engineering job postings decline >20% YoY pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Junior software engineering hiring collapses at FAANG-tier firms pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Junior/entry-level developer hiring contracts 30%+ at FAANG-tier pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-30 — Anthropic/OpenAI claim agentic systems handle full BU-scale workloads pre #1 · pending · 2028-01-01 — AI agents autonomously ship merged PRs at scale (>10K/day) at a Fortune-500 cascade #1 · pending · 2028-12-31 — Programmer headcount roughly flat through 2028 — Mostaque prediction MISS cascade #2 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #3 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2026-10-12 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-01-03 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-01-30 — AlphaFold/Isomorphic-style AI lab partnership produces clinical Phase-I trial drug pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — AI-discovered superconductor material independently verified pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Frontier lab discloses >=$10B revenue from a non-chat product (drug discovery / materials / robotics) pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — AI fusion-control breakthrough: ITER-class plasma stability gain attributed to RL pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-30 — OpenAI's IMO-gold-medal model remains unreleased months after milestone pre #4 · pending · 2026-07-28 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-10-25 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-22 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Frontier lab publicly admits internal-deployment-only model with significant capability gap vs released models cascade #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — AI R&D acceleration measurable: lab discloses >=20% productivity gain from internal model use cascade #2 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Public-vs-internal capability gap formally widens to >=6 months on a major benchmark cascade #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Government / regulator demands disclosure of internal-deployed capabilities pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-23 — Khosrowshahi publicly states executives are 'lying' about AI displacement pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Uber discloses 30% AI power-user engineer base cascade #1 · pending · 2026-11-05 — Uber Q3 2026 earnings show employee count change cascade #2 · pending · 2027-02-28 — Uber 2026 annual report published with workforce disclosure cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Sectoral cascade — gig economy peers cite 25%+ AI workforce reduction cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-06-20 — xAI/Grok will catch up and exceed competitors on coding by mid-2026 cascade #2 · pending · 2026-08-07 — AI achieves IMO Gold (top-30 score) on 2026 problems cascade #3 · pending · 2026-09-15 — FrontierMath benchmark passes 50% by frontier model cascade #4 · pending · 2026-10-30 — First open math problem solved by AI publicly announced cascade #5 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Mathematician community publishes paper acknowledging AI as research collaborator cascade #6 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. pre #6 · pending · 2027-02-14 — Frontier AI achieves IMO Gold-equivalent / Putnam-tier math performance pre #5 · pending · 2027-05-23 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-16 — First FDA-approved drug with AI-generated molecule lead pre #3 · pending · 2027-09-15 — Frontier model passes engineering board licensure (PE/EIT/electrical) under exam conditions pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-03 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Wissner-Gross/Diamandis 'Solve Everything' Phase 1 (math/code/physics) marked as functionally complete pre #6 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Epoch AI confirms exhaustion of high-quality public text corpus pre #5 · pending · 2027-05-05 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-09-16 — Frontier labs continue licensing/scraping fresh human data through 2027+ pre #3 · pending · 2027-09-30 — Scenario fires: AGI fast: drop-in remote worker by 2027-09 pre #2 · pending · 2027-11-06 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Pure synthetic-data pre-training run produces frontier-class model pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-01 — GPT-OSS-120B running at 3,000 tokens/sec on Cerebras pre #5 · pending · 2026-06-15 — AWS-Cerebras inference cloud collaboration GA pre #4 · pending · 2026-07-15 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-09-15 — ChatGPT user-facing 1,000+ tok/s mode rollout pre #2 · pending · 2026-09-29 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · pending · 2026-12-14 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #6 · overdue · 2026-04-15 — Stanford AI Index 2026 documents OSWorld 12% to 66.3% accuracy jump pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Holo3-35B-A3B leads OSWorld-Verified at 82.6% cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Computer-use agent on OSWorld reaches 90% human-task efficiency cascade #2 · pending · 2027-01-14 — Cascade: Major enterprise SaaS deploys OSWorld-grade computer-use agent in production cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · pending · 2026-11-01 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Scenario fires: Major-country AI pause beginning 2026 pre #4 · pending · 2027-05-06 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Federal AI moratorium proposed and rejected/diluted in US Congress pre #2 · pending · 2027-11-01 — Voluntary frontier-lab pause triggers competitor outpacing on benchmarks pre #1 · pending · 2027-11-08 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #2 · pending · 2026-07-16 — Anthropic releases additional vertical-workflow plugin (healthcare / accounting / consulting) pre #1 · pending · 2026-08-07 — Sector-specific software stock drawdown >10% intraday on plugin-launch day cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Anthropic ARR or revenue disclosure shows plugin-driven enterprise acceleration cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-22 — Legal-tech incumbent announces M&A or AI-pivot to defend market share cascade #3 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Antitrust or congressional inquiry opens into bundled-LLM market disruption cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #6 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Major AI lab valuation exceeds Meta's market cap pre #3 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Sustained Meta YoY user-growth decline in core Family-of-Apps DAU for >2 quarters pre #2 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Major activist investor publicly proposes Meta sale or AI-pivot pre #1 · pending · 2028-04-29 — AI-native company surpasses Meta in advertising-equivalent revenue run-rate cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · pending · 2026-06-10 — Apple unveils next-gen Siri / Apple Intelligence using Gemini at WWDC 2026 pre #3 · hit · 2026-03-31 — Apple ships M5-class on-device LLM tooling that meaningfully exploits unified memory pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Apple Intelligence reaches >=30% iPhone install base (Apple Intelligence-eligible devices using on-device features) pre #1 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Apple permits third-party local frontier model installation (Gemma / Claude / open-weights) on iOS cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-30 — World Tinder/Zoom/Docusign integrations announced — broader enterprise iris-ID adoption pre #3 · pending · 2026-09-15 — World deploys 12,000 additional Orbs including self-serve retail and Orb Mini portable units pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Defense / DARPA biometric program publishes peer-reviewed iris-at-distance >3m results pre #1 · pending · 2028-06-15 — First US retailer pilots ≥3m-range iris/biometric checkout at scale cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #5 · hit · 2026-03-15 — Eon Systems demonstrates whole-fly multi-behavior emulation pre #4 · overdue · 2026-05-29 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-06-28 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2026-07-01 — Eon publishes Nature/bioRxiv paper on fly-brain emulation pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-28 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Eon announces mouse-brain connectome target with timeline cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Mouse connectome generation funding round announced cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-15 — First mouse brain region (e.g., visual cortex) emulated end-to-end pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-16 — First multi-behavior cyber-Drosophila body-brain integration (March 2026) pre #5 · pending · 2027-05-04 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2028-05-08 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2029-03-16 — Eon publishes mouse-brain partial emulation (~70M neurons) pre #2 · pending · 2029-05-13 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2029-07-01 — First peer-reviewed human cortical organoid + connectome integration cascade #1 · pending · 2030-07-02 — First publicly announced commercial 'whole-brain digital twin' service pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — xAI breaks ground on second 1.2 GW data center campus outside Memphis cascade #1 · pending · 2028-11-15 — xAI cumulative deployed AI compute capacity exceeds 5 GW across multiple sites cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-24 — EIA confirms 86 GW US 2026 capacity additions plan with 51% solar pre #5 · hit · 2026-02-24 — Solar additions reach 43.4 GW utility-scale planned for 2026 (60% YoY increase) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · hit · 2026-02-24 — Texas leads with 40% of new utility-scale solar (Tehuacana Creek 837 MW project) cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Battery storage hits 24 GW added in 2026 (vs 15 GW in 2025) cascade #3 · pending · 2027-02-15 — Actual 2026 solar additions deliver vs 43.4 GW plan (slip risk: interconnection queue) cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2027-09-16 — FERC / DoE expedited interconnection executive action triggers >20 GW pipeline acceleration pre #4 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Schmidt 29 GW Phase 1 milestone met (2027 incremental data-center power add) pre #3 · pending · 2028-12-31 — China crosses parity or exceeds US in operational AI compute capacity pre #2 · pending · 2029-03-16 — Nuclear restart / SMR program adds first GW of dedicated AI-data-center capacity pre #1 · pending · 2030-03-17 — Cumulative US data-center capacity reaches 100 GW operational cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · pending · 2026-07-17 — Archer enters FAA Type Inspection Authorization TIA phase with Midnight pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Archer Midnight receives FAA Type Certification pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-31 — First commercial Archer eVTOL passenger flights in Los Angeles metro area cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Pausing AI will fail and only accelerate race dynamics. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already here, not 12 months away. pre #4 · pending · 2026-06-16 — Tesla shareholder approval of $1T Musk pay package activates trillion-dollar Optimus tranches pre #3 · pending · 2026-06-26 — By 2026, AI will reach 'intern-level' capability — millions of virtual interns performing supervised, economically usefu pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-16 — First $5T market-cap company (Nvidia, Apple, MSFT, or Saudi Aramco) confirmed pre #1 · pending · 2028-12-14 — First $10T market-cap company achieved cascade #1 · pending · 2030-09-15 — First $100T company achieved (event resolves the prediction) cascade #2 · pending · 2032-12-31 — First $25-30T company (Musk's Tesla endgame valuation) cascade #3 · pending · 2032-12-31 — Global GDP exceeds $200T nominal (denominator necessary for $100T company plausibility) cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · pending · 2026-07-16 — AI venture funding 2026 H1 exceeds $200B globally pre #3 · pending · 2026-11-14 — Open-weight frontier model released by sub-$10M lab pre #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Solo / small-team product reaches ≥100K MAU on agent stack pre #1 · pending · 2027-07-02 — PDI gauntlet: Top 10 AI products built with <$1M founding capital by 2027 cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2026-08-07 — Major analyst report or central-bank speech reframes compute / energy as scarce factor of production pre #2 · pending · 2026-08-31 — US grid interconnect queue or curtailment data shows binding compute-power gap pre #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Critical-mineral concentration crisis intensifies (rare-earth / cobalt / lithium) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Compute-credits / energy-tokens emerge as observed alternative-currency settlement cascade #2 · pending · 2026-11-30 — OECD or IMF working paper measures factor-price shift toward energy/compute cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · pending · 2027-02-14 — Industrial 3D printing capex exceeds $25B globally in 2026 pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Molecular manufacturing public demonstration (sub-nanometer assembly) pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Consumer-good marginal cost benchmark (3D-printed shoe/tool) hits sub-$5 pre #1 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Mainstream economists adopt 'near-zero marginal cost' framing in 2027 cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · pending · 2026-09-15 — XPRIZE Wildfire $11M competition awards 2026 finalist winners pre #4 · pending · 2026-11-15 — XPRIZE Water Scarcity semifinals testing begins ($119M competition) pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — XPRIZE launches new $100M+ competition explicitly tied to fundamental AI/AGI safety or grand-challenge pre #2 · pending · 2028-04-28 — Multi-XPRIZE winners attract follow-on commercial deployment >=$1B aggregate pre #1 · pending · 2028-08-13 — Public-narrative shift: mainstream coverage frames XPRIZE-style approaches as default for civilizational challenges cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2026-11-14 — Goldman Sachs / BLS update to AI-displacement model showing 25% of work hours automated pre #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Nvidia-style productivity case study replicates — second Fortune-100 company shows revenue/headcount decoupling pre #1 · pending · 2027-01-30 — BLS Business Formation Statistics show ≥ 5x acceleration in new business applications (gates the "5x more companies" cla cascade #1 · pending · 2027-09-30 — US unemployment rate remains within ±1pp of pre-AI baseline through end of target window (employment-flat check) cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Modular 10MW DC product reaches commercial GA from at least one major vendor pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Donovan-affiliated entity publicly discloses pilot 10MW data center site pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-30 — BluSky AI or peer announces 1000+ small-town site pipeline pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-31 — First 100 distributed sites in operation across distributed-DC ecosystem pre #1 · pending · 2028-07-01 — 20,000-site target progress crosses 1% milestone (200 sites) cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #4 · overdue · 2026-03-01 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · overdue · 2026-04-30 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2026-06-15 — Pincus/Donovan publicly announces wealth-pod structure pre #1 · pending · 2026-06-29 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-10-30 — First annual disbursement to 44 recipients (4% cash + 1% expansion pool) cascade #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Pod publishes baseline wellbeing/income measurement of 44 recipients cascade #3 · pending · 2027-12-15 — First-year recipient outcomes publicly reported cascade #4 · pending · 2028-09-14 — Expansion pool funds second pod cascade #5 · pending · 2031-07-08 — Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years cascade #6 · pending · 2032-07-07 — GDP will 2x or 3x year-over-year in early 2030s if everything goes well. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-27 — ICLR 2026 Workshop on AI with Recursive Self-Improvement convened in Rio (community legitimization) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · pending · 2026-08-07 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-10-15 — AlphaEvolve-class system autonomously discovers novel SOTA algorithm in published paper pre #2 · pending · 2026-10-16 — OpenAI ships intern-level AI research agent (publicly demonstrated or deployed) pre #1 · pending · 2026-11-24 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Frontier lab "effective workforce" disclosure shows >10x ratio of AI agents to human researchers cascade #2 · pending · 2027-06-01 — Anthropic / OpenAI public claim of "fully automated AI research" pipeline cascade #3 · pending · 2030-07-05 — By 2030, AI models will surpass peak human expert levels across virtually all cognitive domains — onset of true superint cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #6 · pending · 2036-10-04 — Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-15 — Musk publicly affirms hard takeoff thesis at Abundance Summit 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · overdue · 2026-05-01 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-06-30 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · pending · 2026-07-01 — Frontier-lab leader publicly endorses recursive self-improvement timeline by mid-2026 pre #1 · pending · 2026-08-16 — Per-week breakthrough cadence visible in independent metrics cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — First publicly disclosed AI system that materially designs its successor model architecture cascade #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Hard-takeoff thesis enters mainstream macro discourse cascade #3 · pending · 2028-06-16 — Government path to UBI vanishingly unlikely, but possible outsized asymmetry in 2028 cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-23 — Nick Bostrom: AI can and should be paused but only once we're on the verge of super intelligence. cascade #5 · pending · 2029-04-29 — In 2-3 years, AI will drive energy overabundance enabling free electricity to nearby communities. cascade #6 · pending · 2033-04-24 — Abundance X-Prize to deliver housing, food, energy, connectivity for $250/month in 6-7 years pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Pausing AI will fail and only accelerate race dynamics. pre #1 · partial · 2026-05-01 — Math field is 'cooked' — AI will solve research-level mathematics (first open hard math problem imminently) cascade #1 · pending · 2029-04-29 — In 2-3 years, AI will drive energy overabundance enabling free electricity to nearby communities. cascade #2 · pending · 2030-07-05 — By 2030, AI models will surpass peak human expert levels across virtually all cognitive domains — onset of true superint cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2036-10-04 — Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-22 — Sam Altman publicly states AGI 'feels close' or equivalent pre #5 · pending · 2026-07-24 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-09-15 — OpenAI declares 'AI research intern' capability internally achieved pre #3 · pending · 2026-10-18 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-11 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Frontier model exceeds human PhD-expert performance on FrontierMath benchmark cascade #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — AI system surpasses median-IQ humans across composite benchmarks (>=120 IQ-equivalent) cascade #2 · pending · 2027-05-17 — Independent expert panel declares one major capability domain 'incomprehensibly' beyond top human pre #6 · pending · 2026-07-28 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-10-25 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-01-22 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — AI-discovered longevity candidate enters Phase I clinical trial pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Isomorphic Labs / Insilico Medicine announces AI-designed clinical candidate pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — AI lab claims demonstrable solution to a major scientific problem (publicly verified) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-07-02 — First country approves AI-designed gene therapy or longevity intervention pre #6 · pending · 2026-08-09 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-11-19 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Frontier AI exceeds aggregate human performance on broad benchmark suite pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — AI-driven compute consumption reaches >1% of global electricity pre #2 · pending · 2027-02-28 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-17 — Independent forecaster declares humans 'minority of intelligence' framing accepted pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Tesla repurposes Fremont Model S/X line for Optimus production pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Optimus units perform measurable factory tasks at Tesla plants pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-14 — Tesla output per employee grows ≥30% YoY pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-17 — Tesla's labor productivity outpaces auto-industry peers by ≥2x cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2037-06-24 — Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-03 — Tesla Texas factory reduces headcount 22% in 2025 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-07 — Tesla cuts >14,000 roles globally in 2025 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission pre #1 · overdue · 2026-05-16 — Tesla Q2 2026 hiring announcement materializes cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Tesla Optimus production drives >2,000 manufacturing hires cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Cybercab/Robotaxi launch reduces ICE workforce further cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2037-06-24 — Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission pre #1 · pending · 2026-06-30 — Tesla Optimus 3 enters production cascade #1 · pending · 2027-12-15 — US CPI core inflation drops below 2% YoY cascade #2 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Goods-price PPI declines YoY for >=2 consecutive quarters cascade #3 · pending · 2028-06-15 — Fed funds rate cut to <2% citing AI productivity disinflation cascade #4 · pending · 2030-07-02 — Real GDP growth exceeds 5% sustained 4 quarters cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-01 — Major government official publicly proposes UBI to offset AI displacement pre #5 · pending · 2026-08-10 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-11-21 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — First production-scale humanoid robot fleet (>10K units) deployed commercially pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-04 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-01 — Per-unit cost of humanoid robot drops below $20K pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission pre #3 · pending · 2026-06-30 — Anthropic CEO restates AGI 2026-2027 timeline at major venue pre #2 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Frontier model achieves novel scientific insight (Altman 2026 prediction) pre #1 · pending · 2026-09-30 — G20 / OECD policy paper acknowledges money/work decoupling scenario cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Macro indicator: real wage / consumption ratios show AI-era distortion cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2037-06-24 — Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow. cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2026-10-15 — Stanford AI Index / similar tracker reports power/energy as primary AI scaling constraint pre #5 · pending · 2026-11-07 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-30 — Hyperscaler signs >=1GW nuclear/SMR PPA explicitly framed as 'AI fuel' pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Major frontier lab publishes paper framing AI optimization in compute/energy units (vs $) pre #2 · pending · 2027-02-10 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — AI agent autonomously transacts in non-USD compute resource (token-for-compute, GPU-hour swap) cascade #1 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Cascade: Tokenized compute marketplace (Akash, io.net, Render) hits $1B annualized GMV pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-03 — Goldman: AI productivity contribution near-zero (0.1-0.2pp GDP) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Treasury auction stress event (≥10y yield spike >25bps in week) pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Major fiscal-AI policy proposal in Congress cascade #1 · pending · 2027-09-15 — Real GDP growth from AI investment exceeds 1pp/yr in 2027 cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2037-06-24 — Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow. cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Healthcare humanoid robot market size hits $2.96B in 2026 pre #5 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Robotic-assisted surgery market crosses $14B globally pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — AI diagnostic systems (Aidoc, Viz.ai) integrated in >50% of US hospitals pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-19 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-08-28 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-16 — Optimus / humanoid surgery demonstration on cadaver or live procedure cascade #1 · pending · 2028-11-30 — Universal access to AI-doctor better than richest-person care NOT achieved by 2028-11-30 pre #6 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #5 · pending · 2028-01-01 — FDA clearance of AI-as-medical-device for back pain triage or treatment pre #4 · pending · 2028-04-30 — Major payer covers AI-driven back-pain therapy pre #3 · pending · 2028-06-17 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · pending · 2028-08-30 — Neuralink or competitor BCI receives FDA approval for chronic-pain indication pre #1 · pending · 2029-03-01 — Population-scale outcomes evidence: AI back-pain interventions show >30% improvement vs SOC pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission pre #4 · pending · 2026-09-30 — SpaceX FCC application for million-satellite orbital data-center constellation acknowledged / advanced pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Google CEO restates AI data centers in space target for 2027 with concrete partner / launch slot pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Peer-reviewed Dyson-swarm / photovoltaic-Dyson-sphere paper published, cited in mainstream tech press pre #1 · pending · 2027-02-14 — Starcloud / orbital compute reaches ≥100kW deployed solar power (sun-energy capture milestone) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-05-17 — Cumulative orbital compute power exceeds 1 MW across operators cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2037-06-24 — Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow. cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2026-07-26 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Hyperscalers + frontier labs commit >=$1T cumulative AI capex through 2026 pre #4 · pending · 2026-10-22 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-17 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Compute aggregate exceeds human-brain-equivalent FLOPS across deployed AI fleet pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — First permanent off-Earth compute installation (lunar / Starlink-attached) announced cascade #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Starlink-attached compute / SpaceX 'Starcloud' commercial service goes live cascade #2 · pending · 2027-05-17 — Aggregate AI inference operations exceed measurable human cognitive operations per day pre #5 · pending · 2026-06-13 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-07-27 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-08-15 — OpenAI / Anthropic / Tesla CEO public statement that money is becoming less relevant pre #2 · pending · 2026-09-09 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Major government formally proposes UBI / AI dividend pilot cascade #1 · pending · 2026-10-31 — AI white-collar displacement crosses measurable threshold (BLS or McKinsey data) cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Public AI-dividend / token tax legislative proposal in US Congress pre #6 · pending · 2026-07-28 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Published AI capability progress chart shows visible second S-curve onset (reasoning models) pre #4 · pending · 2026-10-25 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — RL-from-verifiable-reward / reasoning S-curve produces measurable benchmark step-up pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-22 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Public capability-progress narrative shifts from 'chinchilla scaling' to 'overlapping curves' cascade #1 · pending · 2027-05-01 — Diffusion / world-model-based architecture launches as third S-curve pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · overdue · 2026-04-30 — OpenClaw breaks 300k GitHub stars pre #3 · pending · 2026-08-31 — First repo to add >100k stars in <72 hours pre #2 · pending · 2026-11-30 — GitHub Octoverse 2026 reports continued >150% YoY LLM-repo growth pre #1 · pending · 2027-01-14 — First documented case of agent-bot-driven mass stargazing event cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-30 — Recursive-self-improvement coding agent reaches autonomous PR merge at scale cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Salim Ismail publishes The Shift on Organizational Singularity cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Fortune 500 average AI deployment ratio crosses 50% cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Federal/state government AI procurement orders cross $5B cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Major nonprofit (Red Cross, UN, Gates) announces AI-native restructure cascade #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — 10x productivity case studies published from at least 5 industries cascade #5 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-01-01 — OECD reports AI displaces >=10% of white-collar tasks economy-wide pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-15 — Critical analysis questions enterprise-readiness of OpenClaw vs Bedrock AgentCore cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-16 — OpenClaw competing solutions emerge from Microsoft/Google cascade #2 · pending · 2026-11-14 — Enterprise pilot announcements citing measurable productivity gains cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-30 — KM3NeT detector reaches >10% of full configuration with stable data taking pre #4 · pending · 2028-01-01 — First proof-of-concept neutrino-encoded data transmission published in peer-reviewed journal pre #3 · pending · 2028-01-01 — DARPA or equivalent agency commits funded program for neutrino-comms feasibility pre #2 · pending · 2028-08-22 — Demonstration of through-Earth neutrino signal beyond MINERvA-2012 baseline (>1 kbit through km of rock) pre #1 · pending · 2028-11-06 — Ultra-low-latency requirement (HFT/military) drives commercial R&D contract on neutrino comms cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-15 — Mamba-3 publication validates active progress on post-transformer SSM line pre #5 · pending · 2026-07-24 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-10-18 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — OpenAI Q1 next-year model releases reference 5.2-architecture gains (Altman roadmap commitment) pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-12 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Independent benchmark verification: novel architecture matches or beats transformer SOTA at matched compute cascade #1 · pending · 2027-05-17 — Transformer-LSTM-magnitude leap consensus emerges (≥ 3 frontier labs adopt or replicate the new architecture) pre #6 · overdue · 2025-04-18 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #5 · overdue · 2025-12-11 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #4 · hit · 2026-01-31 — GPT-4-class inference cost drops to $0.40/M tokens (1000x reduction) pre #3 · hit · 2026-02-15 — DeepSeek R1 runs 20-50x cheaper than OpenAI equivalent pre #2 · hit · 2026-03-15 — $18B allocated to foundation model APIs in 2025 (paradox confirmation) pre #1 · overdue · 2026-03-31 — DeepSeek V4 Pro launches at 98% less than GPT-5.5 Pro cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Epoch AI publishes inference price-trend data showing further drops 2026 cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Cascade: Enterprise inference spend exceeds $50B 2026 despite per-token drops cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-05-31 — Mamba-3 published at ICLR 2026 with sub-Transformer latency at 1.5B scale cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Hybrid attention-SSM becomes default architecture in major frontier model cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Frontier post-Transformer architecture demonstrates 1000x+ inference cost reduction at frontier scale cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2026-11-14 — Hyperscaler AI capex guide-down (>=10%) for 2027 due to efficiency gains pre #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Distillation/quantization yield documented 10x+ further inference gains in 2026 cohort pre #1 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Data center spending continues climbing toward $400B+ in 2026 (counter-evidence) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Cascade: US grid electricity demand growth slows materially due to AI efficiency cascade #2 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Cascade: Power-utility / nuclear PPA deal cancellation tied to a hyperscaler cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-01 — Medvi reaches $401M revenue Year 1 with effective headcount of 2 — first credible solo-unicorn proof point pre #5 · pending · 2026-10-17 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-04-05 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — First publicly named 1-person company at $1B+ valuation pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-22 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-11-16 — Cohort scale — at least 5 named one-person (or <=5 FTE) companies cross $100M revenue cascade #1 · pending · 2029-08-15 — First trillion-dollar valuation for a category-defining solo-founder / micro-team AI company pre #6 · pending · 2026-10-22 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Groq / Cerebras / Etched / SambaNova reach >5% combined inference market share pre #4 · pending · 2027-04-15 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-07-01 — First production frontier model trained on a non-transformer architecture (Mamba/SSM/Diffusion-LM/Mixture-of-Recursions pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-07 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-01-01 — ASIC purpose-built for non-transformer post-attention architecture announced by major fab partner (TSMC/Samsung/Intel Fo cascade #1 · pending · 2028-04-30 — NVIDIA loses >=5 percentage points of AI training GPU share in a quarter pre #6 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Frontier model demonstrates sustained pro-social behavior in red-team evaluations pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Wisdom benchmark (e.g., wise-action selection at moral dilemmas) introduced and adopted pre #4 · pending · 2027-05-04 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-07-05 — Multi-lab alignment compact: top 5 labs publish joint statement on values-aligned AGI pre #2 · pending · 2027-11-05 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Cascade: First clinical study showing AI mental-health agent improves wellbeing vs human therapists cascade #1 · pending · 2029-03-16 — Cascade: Major religious or philosophical institution publicly endorses 'AI as moral peer' pre #6 · overdue · 2026-04-30 — Intel 14A process selection finalized pre #5 · pending · 2026-07-08 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-09-16 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Tesla AI5 small-batch (engineering sample) production pre #2 · pending · 2026-11-25 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — First Terafab module groundbreaking / construction start cascade #1 · pending · 2027-05-17 — AI5 volume production begins (initial 100k WSPM run-rate) cascade #2 · pending · 2027-09-30 — Path to 1M WSPM / 70% TSMC scale becomes credible (or slips publicly) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Tesla AI5 chip production launches at Samsung Taylor fab cascade #2 · pending · 2026-11-29 — Musk publicly credits Tesla design/process input for Samsung yield improvements cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-30 — Samsung foundry breakeven achieved Q4 2026 driven by Tesla volumes cascade #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Samsung 2nm GAA process delivers Tesla AI6 first silicon cascade #5 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #6 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Cascade: Optimus production-line uses Samsung-fabbed AI6 Lite chips at scale pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · pending · 2026-07-02 — AI-driven materials discovery models (e.g. GNoME / MatterGen) cited in physics-applied papers pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-01 — Frontier AI lab launches dedicated 'AI for fundamental physics' program pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-16 — ≥1 AI-discovered superconducting / quantum-material candidate experimentally validated pre #1 · pending · 2028-10-31 — ≥1 AI system substantively contributes to a Nobel-eligible physics result cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2026-10-23 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-02-14 — DOE Genesis or equivalent national-AI-for-science program operational pre #4 · pending · 2027-04-17 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-10-10 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-11-16 — Nobel Prize awarded to AI-led research workflow pre #1 · pending · 2028-02-15 — Time-to-discovery in major journal cohort drops measurably pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-01 — Morgan Stanley AI Power Supply Summit highlights off-grid trend pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-01 — Morgan Stanley revises shortfall to 72GW by 2030 cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Texas, Virginia, or Oregon hyperscaler announces off-grid SMR or gas peaker pact cascade #2 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #5 · pending · 2028-12-31 — Actual 2028 grid shortfall confirmed at 13GW or worse cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Salesforce, ServiceNow, or comparable platform vendor reports its agent platform replacing >=20% of customer support FTE cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — OpenExO or major consultancy publishes case study of company achieving 50%+ headcount reduction via AI agents while sust cascade #3 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Salim Ismail or OpenExO publishes data showing average ExO-transformed company runs at 25% of pre-transformation headcou cascade #4 · pending · 2027-12-31 — S&P 500 index aggregate revenue per employee rises >25% YoY cascade #5 · pending · 2029-03-16 — Cascade: Total US payroll employment declines >=2% YoY in any rolling 12-month window post-2027 cascade #6 · pending · 2029-12-31 — Cascade: Number of US firms with >$10M revenue and <50 employees grows 5x by 2030 pre #5 · pending · 2026-09-29 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-02-28 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — First public claim by major economist or central banker that AI is meaningfully shifting the long-run growth trajectory pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Macro literature publishes formal critique of 1000x economy thesis pre #1 · pending · 2027-07-30 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2028-01-01 — AI-driven productivity growth shows up in advanced-economy TFP statistics (sustained >2% TFP growth for 3 consecutive ye cascade #2 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Energy-output decoupling milestone: global TWh growth keeps pace with GDP without proportional emissions cascade #3 · pending · 2031-01-01 — Cascade: post-scarcity policy frameworks debated in G7 / G20 cascade #4 · pending · 2035-07-02 — Global nominal GDP doubles vs 2024 baseline (2024 nominal world GDP ~$110T → ~$220T) pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #1 · hit · 2025-08-28 — Software development job postings down 70%+ from 2022 peak cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-14 — Medical school residency match data shows AI-driven specialty shift cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Law school applicant counts and entry-level associate hiring decline cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-01-15 — Three credit rating agencies issue negative 2026 higher-ed sector outlooks pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Closure pace exceeds 1 institution/week in 2026 (matches 'skyrocketing' framing) cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · pending · 2026-07-01 — Trump publishes additional UAP/UFO disclosure directive on social media pre #2 · pending · 2026-07-01 — House Oversight UAP Task Force holds public hearing in June/July 2026 pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-16 — Pentagon UAP intercepts briefing delivered to lawmakers per FY2026 NDAA cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-31 — Mainstream media frames specific White House UAP announcement as 'disclosure event' cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-15 — UAP Disclosure Act / Transparency Act passes one chamber of Congress cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-25 — Hyperscaler AI capex hits $700B run rate cited by Huang pre #5 · hit · 2026-02-15 — NVIDIA Ali Kani: physical AI to be largest consumer electronics segment pre #4 · pending · 2027-02-05 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-11-13 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Physical AI/robotics sector reaches >=$200B annual revenue pre #1 · pending · 2028-08-20 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2029-08-31 — Physical-AI-related public-equity market cap exceeds digital-AI peers pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-28 — Tech-firm pre-emptive layoffs cluster in Q1-Q2 2026 (>=5 firms with AI cause cited) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-16 — >=5 additional states introduce AI-displacement notice bills in 2026 sessions cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2026-11-14 — USPTO issues revised AI-assisted inventorship guidance pre #5 · pending · 2026-11-26 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-30 — Court ruling extends or limits DABUS precedent on AI inventorship pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — AI-assisted patent filings exceed 50% of new applications in software/biotech pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-11 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Public report of AI generating 1M+ candidate inventions in single domain pre #3 · overdue · 2025-05-17 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #2 · overdue · 2025-09-30 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · overdue · 2026-02-13 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · pending · 2026-08-16 — AI-driven structural disinflation observable in CPI/PPI data (sustained 5-12% logistics/manufacturing cost compression) pre #3 · pending · 2026-10-30 — Electricity becomes binding constraint on AI / production cost stack (Morgan Stanley / Goldman flag) pre #2 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Tech-giant capex tops $700B (2026 — marks compute deflation flywheel) pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Specific consumer-good category shows AI-driven price compression to within ~2x of energy+materials cost cascade #1 · pending · 2027-05-01 — Charles I. Jones-style endogenous-growth model with AI-driven cost-collapse cited by Fed / CBO cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · pending · 2027-09-16 — First country reports AI-attributable productivity growth >1% sustained pre #3 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Frontier-AI capex aggregate exceeds $500B/year cumulative pre #2 · pending · 2028-02-09 — Stargate is a $500 billion multiyear capex program for distributed AI data-center construction (2025-2028, with Trump ad pre #1 · pending · 2028-09-30 — Schmidt makes follow-up public statement updating '10-15% in' figure cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Frontier model passes Humanity's Last Exam at >50% (frontier capability proxy) pre #2 · pending · 2028-06-15 — OpenAI or Anthropic CEO declares ASI achieved by their organization pre #1 · pending · 2028-09-15 — AI replaces 10%+ of US white-collar professional roles measurably cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-01 — Senior AI engineer base comp tops $300K at FAANG/frontier labs pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Bifurcated tech labor market: generalist SWE comp stagnates cascade #2 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Top frontier labs offer ≥$1M total comp packages for senior research engineers cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Top 1% engineer productivity (LOC/PR throughput) doubles YoY cascade #4 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Cascade: senior tech lead labor share ≥10pp higher in AI-leveraged firms cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-28 — Concurrent mass-layoff cycle Q1 2026 (Block 40%, Atlassian 1,600+, Salesforce, Klarna, etc.) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Hyperscaler capex concentration: top-5 firms account for >70% of US AI capex cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — AI-native startup count crosses 50,000 (Schmidt 'large number of very small companies') cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · pending · 2026-06-01 — GitHub Copilot transitions to usage-based billing (token-based) pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Top 3 AI coding tools control 70%+ developer market share cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Manual code remains majority practice at end of 2026 — Diamandis falsified cascade #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Manual code authoring drops below 30% of new commits at hyperscalers cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-02 — Daily-life agentic-AI usage reaches >=50% of US adults pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Major regulatory action (US executive order or major bill) addresses AI labor displacement pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-01 — AI-driven white-collar role displacement crosses 5% of US workforce pre #1 · pending · 2027-07-02 — AI doubles GDP-weighted productivity gain in single calendar year cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-01 — S&P Global confirms 22% data-center grid demand rise in 2025-2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · pending · 2026-06-30 — PJM declares 2027 reliability shortfall of 6GW cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-30 — Federal grid emergency authority invoked for AI data centers cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-31 — US data center demand reaches 75GW in 2026 per S&P cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2025-09-30 — Goldman Sachs forecasts 165% data center power demand increase by 2030 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Data centers approach 1,050 TWh consumption in 2026 cascade #2 · hit · 2025-12-31 — US data center pipeline of 140 GW under construction cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · partial · 2026-04-15 — Frontier labs report diminishing returns from naive parameter scaling pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Frontier capabilities continue to track 4-7 month doubling on long-horizon tasks cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — AGI/superintelligence-class system released within Schmidt's prediction window cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-15 — Hyperscaler 2026 capex hits $630B pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2026-12-25 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-12-19 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Scenario fires: 50GW dedicated AI/data center grid by Dec 2027 pre #3 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Hyperscaler CapEx exceeds $1T cumulative for 2025-2027 window pre #2 · pending · 2028-06-15 — Stargate $400B already-committed crosses $500B fully deployed pre #1 · pending · 2028-12-12 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2030-05-17 — 100 GW dedicated AI/data-center load on US grid (cumulative interconnection) cascade #2 · pending · 2030-11-15 — Cascade: $5T cumulative US AI/data-center capital deployed (event horizon) pre #6 · hit · 2026-01-15 — AI capex contributes 1.1% to GDP growth in H1 2025 baseline pre #5 · hit · 2026-02-15 — Data center construction hits $40B annual rate (June 2025 baseline) pre #4 · overdue · 2026-02-23 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · overdue · 2026-04-17 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Q1 2026 AI investments drive 75% of GDP increase pre #1 · pending · 2026-06-09 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — 2026 hyperscaler AI capex reaches $700B (~doubles 2025) cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Global data center capex CAGR confirms 21% trajectory toward $1.2T by 2029 cascade #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Cascade: Construction subsegment 'data center' formally separated from 'office' in BEA data cascade #4 · pending · 2031-07-08 — Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years cascade #5 · pending · 2032-07-07 — GDP will 2x or 3x year-over-year in early 2030s if everything goes well. cascade #6 · pending · 2036-09-04 — Global economy will grow 10x in 10 years (cited from Elon Musk). pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — US data center power consumption surpasses 200 TWh in calendar year pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Scenario fires: 50GW dedicated AI/data center grid by Dec 2027 pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-16 — US data center electricity share crosses 10% threshold (Schmidt's exact target) cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-01-11 — Axiom orbital data-center nodes reach LEO (Jan 2026) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-10-31 — Starcloud-2 launch with onboard NVIDIA Blackwell GPU cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — First peer-reviewed thermal/radiation results from on-orbit GPU compute cascade #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Radiation-hardened or rad-tolerant AI accelerator product announced cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Operational orbital data-center reports >=10 kW continuous compute power cascade #6 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Pausing AI will fail and only accelerate race dynamics. pre #3 · partial · 2026-05-01 — Math field is 'cooked' — AI will solve research-level mathematics (first open hard math problem imminently) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-05-16 — SpaceX Starship V3 first flight test pre #1 · pending · 2026-06-20 — AI will drive an explosion of new religions and AI cults. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Starlink V3 deployment using Starship begins cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-31 — SpaceX achieves 145 Falcon 9 launches in 2026 cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Launch-per-hour cadence remains aspirational vs ~1-3 per week reality cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-23 — Nick Bostrom: AI can and should be paused but only once we're on the verge of super intelligence. cascade #5 · pending · 2029-04-29 — In 2-3 years, AI will drive energy overabundance enabling free electricity to nearby communities. cascade #6 · pending · 2033-04-24 — Abundance X-Prize to deliver housing, food, energy, connectivity for $250/month in 6-7 years pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-25 — ICLR 2026 RSI workshop convenes with peer-reviewed methods papers pre #1 · overdue · 2026-05-15 — Recursive Superintelligence public launch (raised $500M) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-31 — Multiple competing RSI methods published with no clear winner cascade #2 · pending · 2026-08-16 — Frontier lab consensus paper on RSI approach published cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-11-29 — At least 2 Chinese labs (DeepSeek, Alibaba/Qwen, Baidu, ByteDance) sustained at frontier tier cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Number of labs releasing models in MMLU/HELM frontier tier (top 20 by capability) settles at 8-12 cascade #3 · pending · 2027-01-14 — Meta or xAI fall out of top-5 by capability for >=180 days cascade #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Mistral or Aleph Alpha confirmed as last European-headquartered frontier lab via funding round of >=$5B cascade #5 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #6 · pending · 2027-08-01 — An Indian-headquartered lab (Sarvam, Krutrim, etc.) reaches top-30 on LMSYS Arena pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-01 — Mistral AI counter-raise of >=$1B at valuation >=$15B cascade #2 · pending · 2026-07-15 — Cohere-Aleph Alpha merger closes at $20B+ combined valuation cascade #3 · pending · 2026-08-31 — European frontier lab unveils model competitive with top-10 LMArena Elo cascade #4 · pending · 2026-12-15 — EU Commission grants AI sovereignty subsidy >= EUR 1B to single lab cascade #5 · pending · 2027-05-02 — European electricity-cost relief for AI data centers (industrial tariff) cascade #6 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-05-26 — Sarvam AI sovereign LLM v1 public release pre #1 · overdue · 2026-05-26 — IndiaAI Mission compute capacity online (>=10K GPU H100-equivalent) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-16 — Indian AI startup raises round at >=$1B valuation cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Indian model in top-25 of public LLM leaderboard (LMArena, HELM) cascade #3 · pending · 2026-09-30 — India AI Impact Summit follow-on commits >$50B private investment by year-end 2026 cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Russia AI models rank below 10th globally cascade #2 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Russia continues to depend on adapted open-weight models cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-31 — No Russian frontier AI lab raises >$100M cascade #4 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Sanctions limit advanced GPU access to Russia cascade #5 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Russia partners with China on AI infrastructure as workaround cascade #6 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-24 — DeepSeek V4 released as open-source weights pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Chinese open-weight downloads exceed 1B cumulative cascade #2 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Chinese model market share in commercial deployments exceeds 30% cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Pausing AI will fail and only accelerate race dynamics. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-27 — DeepSeek V4 not competitive with frontier US models pre #2 · partial · 2026-05-01 — Math field is 'cooked' — AI will solve research-level mathematics (first open hard math problem imminently) pre #1 · pending · 2026-06-20 — AI will drive an explosion of new religions and AI cults. cascade #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — China's AI+ initiative targets 90% sector integration cascade #2 · hit · 2026-04-30 — OpenAI/Anthropic/Google maintain compute-intensive frontier model focus cascade #3 · pending · 2026-09-15 — China expands open-weight model leadership globally cascade #4 · pending · 2029-04-29 — In 2-3 years, AI will drive energy overabundance enabling free electricity to nearby communities. cascade #5 · pending · 2030-07-05 — By 2030, AI models will surpass peak human expert levels across virtually all cognitive domains — onset of true superint cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · pending · 2026-07-31 — Frontier-lab summer 2026 model releases (OpenAI GPT-next, Google Gemini-3, xAI Grok-5) pre #1 · pending · 2027-04-01 — Lab revenue rankings stabilize: top 3 by ARR for 2 consecutive quarters cascade #1 · pending · 2027-07-31 — Independent agent-benchmark consensus on top lab (avg of 5 benchmarks) cascade #2 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Cascade: enterprise AI procurement consolidates around <=2 frontier vendors cascade #3 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-05-27 — Frontier lab discloses successful CBRN red-team finding requiring remediation pre #1 · overdue · 2026-05-27 — AI Safety Institute publishes biological-uplift evaluation showing material risk cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-16 — Confirmed AI-assisted disinformation/hacking incident attributed by national CERT cascade #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — US executive order or congressional bill restricts open-weight CBRN-relevant models cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2028-12-31 — Confirmed CBRN incident with attribution to AI-system uplift pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — G7/G20 communique includes AI safety/governance language post-incident cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — US-China bilateral resumes formal AI safety dialogue cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Material AI-caused incident reaches global news threshold cascade #4 · pending · 2028-01-01 — UN-level AI body or treaty draft circulated post-incident cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-04 — Ratepayer Protection Pledge signed by major data center developers pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Interconnection queue backlog persists despite federal action cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Data center capex grows >40% YoY in 2026 cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · pending · 2026-06-16 — Gemini 3 Deep Think variant published with reasoning-mode breadth confirmed pre #2 · pending · 2026-07-01 — Gemini 3 leads on multilingual benchmark vs GPT-5.5 / Claude in independent evaluation pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-01 — Chinese frontier model (DeepSeek/Qwen/Kimi) released matching Gemini 3 breadth cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · pending · 2026-09-01 — Tiffin University launches BS in AI and Prompt Engineering for Fall 2026 freshmen pre #2 · pending · 2026-09-07 — 5+ R1 universities require AI/prompt-engineering coursework for incoming freshmen pre #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — NC State / Ohio State / Columbia continue executive-ed prompt-engineering programs into 2026-27 cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Coursera/edX prompt-engineering-related enrollments cross 5M cumulative cascade #2 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #3 · pending · 2027-07-02 — AI literacy embedded in K-12/freshman-orientation curricula in 3+ states cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · pending · 2026-04-16 — Major LMS (Canvas, Google Classroom) ships native generative AI tutor pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Federal GUARD Act advances out of Senate Judiciary Committee cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Major frontier lab implements verified-age gating with audit trail cascade #2 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Cascade: federal AI chatbot child-safety law signed into law cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · overdue · 2026-05-23 — Frontier model release with novel scientific discovery (e.g., new theorem, materials, drug target) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-05-26 — ARC-AGI-2 or Frontier Math Tier 4 leaderboard plateau (no >5pp gain in 60 days) pre #1 · overdue · 2026-05-26 — Public Schmidt restatement or adjacent expert (Hassabis, Amodei) endorses novelty-ceiling thesis cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-23 — Major frontier lab publicly walks back AGI/superintelligence timelines cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Capex slowdown signal: at least one hyperscaler trims 2027 AI capex guidance cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-30 — Starcloud reaches unicorn status with $1.1B valuation pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-10-31 — Starcloud-2 launch with Blackwell-class GPU compute cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Second well-funded space data center competitor announces orbital DC plan cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2029-03-16 — Space-based data center hits 1+ MW operational compute pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — SpaceX 'orbital data center' constellation FCC application reaches public comment milestone cascade #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Starcloud or Sophia Space deploys >=10 H100/H200-class GPUs in commercial orbital cluster cascade #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Cumulative VC funding to space-based AI infrastructure startups crosses $2B cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2027-10-01 — First space-based AI inference SLA offered to enterprise customers cascade #6 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Pausing AI will fail and only accelerate race dynamics. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already here, not 12 months away. pre #4 · pending · 2026-06-26 — By 2026, AI will reach 'intern-level' capability — millions of virtual interns performing supervised, economically usefu pre #3 · pending · 2026-08-15 — Tesla begins Optimus production at Fremont factory pre #2 · pending · 2026-10-31 — Tesla unveils Optimus V3 design publicly pre #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Tesla breaks ground on Giga Texas Optimus self-replicating factory cascade #1 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Optimus robot performs verified humanoid-robot manufacturing task on production line cascade #2 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Annualized Optimus production rate exceeds 100,000 units cascade #3 · pending · 2028-06-23 — Nick Bostrom: AI can and should be paused but only once we're on the verge of super intelligence. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-04-24 — Abundance X-Prize to deliver housing, food, energy, connectivity for $250/month in 6-7 years cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #1 · pending · 2026-06-15 — First grid stress event traced to AI data centers cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-30 — Starcloud raises $170M Series A to build orbital data centers pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-27 — USCIS finalizes weighted/merit-based H1B selection pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — AI startup hiring shows measurable foreign-talent shortage cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Bipartisan AI immigration carve-out legislation cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2027-05-01 — Terafab Phase 1 pilot fab achieves first wafer-out at GigaTexas pre #5 · pending · 2027-07-01 — AGI-like models matching or outperforming human experts across most professional domains could arrive as early as 2026-2 pre #4 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Volume production ramp at Terafab reaches 100K wafer-starts/month target pre #3 · pending · 2028-03-31 — Optimus humanoid + Tesla vehicle compute demand validates 'edge inference' thesis pre #2 · pending · 2028-07-01 — Terafab cumulative capex disclosed exceeds $25B initial budget pre #1 · pending · 2029-07-01 — Global advanced-node capacity tracked vs Terafab share — 1 TW/yr target requires >50x current ex-TSMC capacity cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2037-06-24 — Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2026-06-06 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-07-13 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-08-19 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #3 · partial · 2026-04-30 — First single company to cross $5T market cap pre #2 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Tesla / xAI / SpaceX combined enterprise value crosses $5T pre #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — SpaceX completes IPO and provides public market-cap anchor cascade #1 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Optimus / robotaxi commercial revenue ramp validates AI/robotics premium cascade #2 · pending · 2027-04-16 — First single company crosses $10T market cap pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-21 — Musk announces Terafab semiconductor fab (Tesla/xAI/SpaceX joint) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-07 — Intel publicly joins Terafab as foundry-manufacturing partner pre #4 · pending · 2026-07-31 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-10-31 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-31 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Terafab groundbreaking / construction permit filed cascade #1 · pending · 2029-09-15 — First Terafab tool installation / wafer test run cascade #2 · pending · 2031-07-02 — Terafab production reaches 100k wafer-starts/month (initial target) cascade #3 · pending · 2033-12-31 — Cascade: Terafab reaches 70% of TSMC output (~1M wspm) — Diamandis claim pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Joby Dubai vertiport network opens, paying-passenger commercial service begins pre #2 · pending · 2026-11-30 — Scenario fires: Tesla FSD unsupervised wide deployment by Nov 2026 pre #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Archer Midnight enters FAA Stage 4 certification cascade #1 · pending · 2027-05-01 — First US commercial paying-passenger eVTOL flight cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · pending · 2026-11-30 — Scenario fires: Tesla FSD unsupervised wide deployment by Nov 2026 pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Joby or Archer secures FAA Type Certification for eVTOL pre #1 · pending · 2027-08-16 — First commercial passenger eVTOL flight in continental U.S. cascade #1 · pending · 2028-07-01 — ≥3 LA vertiports operating by Olympics opening (July 2028) cascade #2 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #3 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2026-07-01 — California enforcement on driverless cars — net regulatory tightening on AVs pre #5 · pending · 2026-10-26 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-04-24 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — AV-only freight / delivery zones launched pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-21 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-16 — First city pilot bans/restricts human driving in geofenced downtown core cascade #1 · pending · 2028-04-30 — Insurance pricing diverges — human drivers face material premium pre #6 · pending · 2026-12-30 — Tesla launches unsupervised FSD for consumer vehicles (Q4 2026) pre #5 · pending · 2027-02-20 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — No US state passes outright ban on human driving pre #3 · pending · 2027-12-13 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2028-07-01 — AV-only zones / lanes proposed (not bans on humans elsewhere) pre #1 · pending · 2028-10-04 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2030-06-16 — Through end of target window, no US state outlaws non-AV driving pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Joby/Archer commercial piloted passenger service launches in major US metro pre #2 · pending · 2027-02-14 — First commercial autonomous eVTOL cargo flight (Q4 2026 controlled corridor) pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-01 — First autonomous passenger eVTOL flight (no pilot on board) in commercial use cascade #1 · pending · 2029-09-15 — Cascade: Autonomous eVTOL operations exceed piloted operations in any one US metro cascade #2 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #3 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — First Tesla Cybercab production VIN rolls off line pre #5 · overdue · 2026-05-27 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-06-24 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-07-15 — Tesla confirms <$30K retail price at production VIN milestone pre #2 · pending · 2026-07-16 — Cybercab mass production ramp at Giga Texas (10-min cycle time) pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-21 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — First public Cybercab delivery / handover to customer or robotaxi fleet cascade #2 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Cascade: Stocktwits/fund-manager prediction of late-2026 delay materializes cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Cascade: Tesla Cybercab SKU added to Tesla.com configurator with delivery slots pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2028-09-30 — First major US homebuilder eliminates 2-car garage as standard in new SKUs pre #2 · pending · 2028-12-31 — Zoning code revisions reducing garage-required minimums in 5+ major US cities pre #1 · pending · 2029-12-31 — US household vehicle ownership rate falls below 1.5 per household (from 1.83) cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2027-03-23 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Major regulator (FRA, EASA, or equivalent) issues hyperloop cargo-only safety framework pre #4 · pending · 2027-08-01 — First commercial hyperloop cargo route enters revenue service pre #3 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Passenger hyperloop testing milestone: full-scale human passengers in vacuum tube pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-03 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-31 — Cumulative hyperloop passenger-revenue trips through 2027 remain below 10,000 cascade #1 · pending · 2028-11-30 — If passenger-revenue trips exceed cargo-revenue tonnage by window close, claim fails pre #6 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Anthropic Economic Index update shows >25% of measurable work hours AI-touched pre #5 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Goldman Sachs / McKinsey publishes update confirming 25% automatable-work-hours estimate pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-16 — First major sector reports >40% of work-hours mediated by AI tools pre #3 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Aggregate enterprise AI-tool seat-count exceeds 100M paid users in US pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-15 — BLS time-use survey shows measurable shift of work-hours from manual tasks to AI-supervisory tasks pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-31 — If aggregate AI seat count plateaus below 50M by end-2027, 25% thesis on track to miss cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-28 — Klarna reverses AI layoffs, rebuilds human service capacity pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Gartner predicts 50% of AI-driven layoffs reverse by 2027 cascade #2 · pending · 2029-07-01 — S&P 500 firm publicly confirms running with <=25% historical headcount cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2027-01-30 — First major sell-side report explicitly modeling AI-driven valuation compression for S&P 500 pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — AI labor-displacement evidence: BLS reports white-collar employment falls YoY pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Chamath / Sacks publishes follow-up confirming or revising 2-7x compression call pre #2 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Mass-incumbent earnings pre-announcement: 3+ S&P 500 companies cut multi-year guidance citing AI competition pre #1 · pending · 2027-08-01 — S&P 500 forward P/E falls below 18x for >6 months cascade #1 · pending · 2028-01-30 — Cascade: 2x compression actually realized — S&P 500 forward P/E falls to ~11x cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2026-09-27 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-02-24 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — NASA upgrades language from 'potential biosignature' to 'probable biosignature' pre #3 · pending · 2027-07-24 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Mars Sample Return mission funded for return-to-Earth analysis pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-16 — Independent confirmation paper from non-NASA team pre #6 · hit · 2025-09-10 — Perseverance Jezero biosignature reported as potentially biological pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-21 — Curiosity rover detects 20+ organic molecules at Glen Torridon pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Astrobiology paper confirms cosmic-ray-driven habitability for Mars/Europa/Enceladus pre #3 · pending · 2026-06-13 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #2 · pending · 2026-07-28 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · pending · 2026-09-11 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2029-07-01 — Mars Sample Return mission launches cascade #2 · pending · 2030-08-16 — Europa Clipper begins science phase at Jupiter pre #6 · pending · 2026-11-29 — Boeing or Lockheed Martin formally restarts ULA divestiture talks (8-K, press, or banker mandate) pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-06 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Vulcan rocket cadence reaches 12+ launches/year pre #3 · pending · 2027-08-08 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-08-31 — Definitive ULA acquisition announcement pre #1 · pending · 2027-11-01 — Antitrust / DoD CFIUS-style review filing for ULA transaction cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-15 — Cascade: Acquisition closes; ULA rebrands or integrates into buyer pre #6 · pending · 2026-11-04 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-12-15 — First gigawatt-scale AI-purpose-built datacenter campus operational pre #4 · pending · 2027-05-12 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — First nuclear reactor restart explicitly contracted for AI datacenter (Three Mile Island/Microsoft style) pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-01 — AI-recommended industrial process redesign deployed at Fortune 500 plant scale pre #1 · pending · 2027-11-17 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2028-07-01 — US electricity production grows >10% YoY explicitly tied to AI demand pre #6 · pending · 2026-07-25 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-08-16 — Tesla 2026 capex officially raised to $25B+ (board / earnings disclosure aligning with Terafab funding) pre #4 · pending · 2026-10-19 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-11-14 — Terafab pilot facility produces first AI5 chips (small-batch production) pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-13 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Cumulative Terafab project commitments cross $150B (matching prediction's lower-bound total buildout) pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · partial · 2026-03-31 — Activist hedge fund publicly uses LLM-generated open letter to public company pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-16 — AI-native activist fund or platform launches pre #1 · pending · 2027-08-01 — SEC clarifies AI-generated 13D / 14a-8 letter authorship requirements cascade #1 · pending · 2027-11-01 — Hedge-fund cost-structure inverts as AI replaces analyst teams cascade #2 · pending · 2027-12-16 — Boards routinely receive AI-drafted shareholder communications volume >10x baseline cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2027-03-29 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-05-01 — Tesla Robotaxi fleet exceeds 1,000 cumulative vehicles pre #4 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Tesla Cybercab or successor begins production deliveries pre #3 · pending · 2027-09-12 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-11-16 — Uber explicitly opens platform to Tesla owner-operator robotaxis pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-31 — If FSD v15 not released and disengagement rate has not improved by end-2027, Uber partnership unrealistic pre #6 · pending · 2026-10-20 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Nissan + Uber + Wayve Tokyo robotaxi pilot launches pre #4 · pending · 2027-04-11 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Wayve robotaxi service expands beyond London to second UK city pre #2 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Wayve commercial robotaxi service expands to ≥3 UK cities pre #1 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #6 · pending · 2026-06-30 — Uber Eats + Flytrex commercial drone delivery launches in US suburban markets pre #5 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Drone delivery achieves <=15-minute order-to-doorstep median pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-15 — FAA Part 108 BVLOS rule finalized — enables scaled drone delivery pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — DoorDash + Wing service expands to ≥5 US metros pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Cumulative drone food deliveries cross 1M across US pre #1 · pending · 2027-11-01 — Uber Eats drone delivery expands to >=10 U.S. metro suburbs cascade #1 · pending · 2028-12-31 — Drone delivery reaches >=1% of Uber Eats U.S. suburban orders cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · overdue · 2026-05-07 — Q1 2026 Gross Bookings growth ≥17% YoY pre #3 · pending · 2026-11-14 — MAPC growth sustains ≥18% YoY through 2026 pre #2 · pending · 2027-02-15 — Annual gross bookings growth ≥20% for full year 2026 pre #1 · pending · 2028-11-29 — Growth deceleration below 15% on either trips or audience cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2027-01-27 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Uber-Zipline drone delivery partnership goes live (first US/global market) pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Uber drone-delivery service expands to 5+ European countries pre #3 · pending · 2027-10-27 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2028-07-25 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-12-31 — Uber drone delivery hits 1M cumulative deliveries across all partners pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Uber Eats + Flytrex launch suburban drone pilots pre #3 · pending · 2026-11-14 — FAA Part 108 final rule published (BVLOS at scale) pre #2 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Drone delivery hits 100M+ Americans in service area pre #1 · pending · 2028-01-16 — Uber Eats reports suburban drone GMV materially in 10-K cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · overdue · 2026-02-04 — Uber Q4 2025 delivery revenue grows 30% YoY to $4.9B pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Uber adds 1000+ new retail partners in 2026 including marquee names cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-16 — Non-restaurant delivery growth rate exceeds rideshare growth rate in 2026 cascade #2 · pending · 2026-11-30 — Dollar Tree partnership generates $500M incremental revenue by year-end 2026 cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Uber Eats expands to 7 new EU markets pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Uber retail partner network exceeds 60,000 locations pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-15 — Uber Shop For Me launches with cross-platform fulfillment pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Uber delivery gross bookings cross $80B annualized run-rate cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Uber Eats delivery selection coverage >=50% of addressable market in top countries cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Tesla Cybercab first production VIN rolls off line pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-01 — Tesla confirms Cybercab retail price under $30,000 cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-16 — Waymo publishes per-vehicle build cost figure for Gen 5/6 robotaxi cascade #2 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Waymo expands fleet beyond 1,500 vehicles or signs >2 city expansion deal cascade #3 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Tesla launches Cybercab ride-hailing service in pilot city cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-15 — Uber Rivian R2 robotaxi partnership announcement pre #5 · pending · 2026-06-30 — Tesla Robotaxi service operational in 7+ US cities pre #4 · pending · 2027-02-03 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-11-09 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2028-06-15 — Majority of new vehicles sold in US with Level 2+ ADAS as standard pre #1 · pending · 2028-08-14 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — JFK and LAX vertiport facilities (Joby + Delta) reach permitting milestone pre #2 · pending · 2027-05-17 — First commercial paid eVTOL passenger flight in US pre #1 · pending · 2028-06-15 — Five US airport-collocated vertiports operational cascade #1 · pending · 2029-07-01 — First major-city downtown vertiport operational (NYC/LA/Chicago/etc.) cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-01 — China-US capital markets friction eases (CSRC-SEC PCAOB cooperation continues) pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Uber announces material partial monetization of its DiDi stake pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Uber reports DiDi mark-to-market gain >$2B in single quarter pre #2 · pending · 2027-08-01 — DiDi relists on a major exchange (Hong Kong or US re-listing) pre #1 · pending · 2027-11-16 — Uber declares special dividend or buyback funded by DiDi proceeds cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #5 · overdue · 2025-05-27 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · overdue · 2025-10-20 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · overdue · 2026-03-15 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-03-27 — Waymo reaches 500K weekly paid robotaxi rides across 10 US cities pre #1 · overdue · 2026-04-30 — Uber commits >$10B to autonomous vehicle program cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Waymo targets 1M weekly rides milestone cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Uber launches robotaxi services in 15+ cities by year-end 2026 cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-31 — AV trips remain under 5% of total Uber volume through 2026 cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-30 — BCG: 'AI Will Reshape More Jobs Than It Replaces' published pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Goldman Sachs: AI subtracts 16K jobs/month, +0.1pp unemployment pre #2 · pending · 2027-08-16 — Aggregate US employment grows YoY despite AI deployment in 2026-2027 pre #1 · pending · 2027-09-16 — Entry-level postings fall to <35% of all job postings cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Entry-level white-collar unemployment in 20-30 age cohort stops rising pre #5 · pending · 2027-06-16 — US unemployment rate stabilizes or declines despite AI rollout pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Major reskilling-program scale-up by federal/state governments tied to AI displacement pre #3 · pending · 2027-10-30 — BLS reports first quarter where AI-related new occupations exceed displacements pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-31 — If unemployment rises above Amodei 10-20% scenario by end-2027, society-adjustment thesis fails pre #1 · pending · 2028-01-30 — First peer-reviewed empirical study confirms net job creation in AI-augmented occupations cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-01 — Federal AI-specific worker support legislation introduced with bipartisan co-sponsorship pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Federal Reserve Beige Book or FOMC statement formally cites AI labor displacement as macroeconomic concern pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — G7 leaders' summit communique includes substantive AI labor-market adjustment provision pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-16 — BLS or OECD reports AI-attributed unemployment rate above 4% in any G7 economy pre #1 · pending · 2027-11-01 — Major US state passes AI-displacement-specific UI extension, retraining program, or basic income statute cascade #1 · pending · 2028-02-15 — Tier-1 social-unrest event (sustained protest, strike, or political movement) explicitly attributed to AI displacement cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Uber AI budget exhausted on adjacent-field bets in 2025 cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Uber announces or scales robotaxi partnership in 2026 cascade #2 · pending · 2026-10-15 — Uber R&D spend grows >20% YoY cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Uber publicly discontinues at least one adjacent-field initiative cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #6 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-31 — Uber AI Solutions expands to 30 countries pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Uber expands into autonomous fleet operations (rhyming with mobility) cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Uber refrains from non-rhyming adjacency (e.g., social media, gaming) cascade #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Uber AI Solutions revenue disclosed as separate line item cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Khosrowshahi or peer CEO concedes AI replaces majority of jobs (10y horizon) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Uber driver count grows YoY despite robotaxi/AV pilots cascade #2 · pending · 2026-10-15 — Uber per-employee revenue grows >=20% YoY cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Uber announces dedicated AI-augmented support roles (vs eliminating) cascade #4 · pending · 2027-02-28 — Uber 2026 headcount remains within +/-10% of 2025 baseline cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. pre #6 · pending · 2026-10-24 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-04-20 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Enterprise AI 'reimagine' threshold: >=50% of Fortune 500 publish AI-first strategy pre #3 · pending · 2027-10-15 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-31 — S&P 500 IT spend on AI tooling exceeds 25% of total IT budget pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Cascade: AI-native startups capture >=20% of new B2B SaaS market share cascade #1 · pending · 2028-05-01 — Cascade: BLS labor data shows >=10% headcount reduction in 'traditional knowledge work' categories pre #2 · hit · 2025-01-30 — Khaleesi (third direwolf, female) birth announcement pre #1 · hit · 2025-10-01 — Direwolf pack social-development milestone (1-year birthday update) cascade #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Colossal announces new de-extinct species (bluebuck or other) cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Colossal announces additional direwolves (4th-onwards) cascade #3 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Woolly mammoth first birth (2028 target tracking) pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-12 — Engineered PETase enzyme paper (Bhattacharya et al.) published in FEBS Journal — highly active polyester degradation pre #5 · pending · 2026-07-20 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-10-10 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — PETase/MHETase variant with gut-compatible pH/temperature window (pH 1-7, 37C) demonstrated pre #2 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — First published in-vivo (animal model) study of orally-delivered plastic-degrading enzyme on microplastic absorption cascade #1 · pending · 2027-05-17 — Supplement company / startup announces clinical work toward microplastic-degrading oral product pre #6 · pending · 2027-06-29 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-06-30 — Breaking publishes preclinical paper or whitepaper on human-body microplastic supplement pre #4 · pending · 2027-09-30 — Breaking environmental product (plastic-degrading microbe) hits commercial scale milestone pre #3 · pending · 2028-01-13 — First peer-reviewed human RCT data on a microplastic-clearance intervention pre #2 · pending · 2028-01-27 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-31 — Breaking launches DTC supplement product or files IND with FDA pre #6 · pending · 2026-11-15 — Colossal mammoth embryos ready for elephant surrogate implantation by end of 2026 pre #5 · pending · 2027-05-02 — EXTEND artificial womb begins first-in-human clinical trials for premature infants pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-07 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · pending · 2028-07-01 — First woolly mammoth calf born from edited Asian elephant surrogate pre #2 · pending · 2028-07-15 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · pending · 2029-08-23 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2030-10-01 — Productionized de-extinction species via artificial wombs (event) pre #6 · overdue · 2026-04-12 — Colossal's 'Lamm $5.4T invasive-species' narrative is repeatedly cited by analysts pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Colossal-affiliated Tropic Biosciences reports disease-resistant crop deployment cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Industry analyst sizes the disease-resistant ag-biotech market explicitly cascade #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Colossal Foundation EEHV mRNA vaccine expands to additional zoos/herds cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2027-10-01 — First publicly traded comp pure-play in disease-resistant biotech announces revenue cascade #6 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. pre #6 · miss · 2023-09-04 — IPBES authoritative figure is $423B/year (NOT $5.4T) pre #5 · hit · 2023-09-04 — Costs quadrupled every decade since 1970 pre #4 · hit · 2025-05-15 — Phys.org May 2025 study cumulative cost since 1960 exceeds $2.2T pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Major government allocates >$1B specifically to invasive species control cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Colossal Biosciences or competitor announces commercial invasive species removal contract cascade #3 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Updated IPBES estimate publishes in next assessment cycle cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years pre #6 · miss · 2025-11-30 — USDA NIFA estimates US invasive species impact at $137B/year (NOT $500B) pre #5 · hit · 2026-01-15 — Global biological invasion costs reach US$ 26B+/year in 2010s pre #4 · hit · 2025-12-31 — North America cumulative invasion cost crosses $1.3T (1960-2017) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — USDA invasive species program funding increase cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Colossal Biosciences expands de-extinction work as invasive species response cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2037-06-24 — Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow. pre #6 · pending · 2026-08-21 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-08-31 — First confirmed NWS case in continental US livestock (TX/AZ/NM) pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-12 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-01 — Cattle futures spike >15% on screwworm news pre #2 · pending · 2027-04-04 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-07-02 — ≥10% Texas cattle herd impact (USDA NASS) pre #6 · pending · 2026-12-14 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Gene drive screwworm efficiency demonstrated in lab pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-31 — USDA south Texas sterile fly facility operational (100M flies/wk) pre #3 · pending · 2027-07-30 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Regulatory framework for gene drive insect release proposed pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-14 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2028-12-31 — First field/contained release of gene-drive screwworm cascade #2 · pending · 2029-03-17 — Measurable population suppression of screwworm in target zone cascade #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Colossal Biosciences or Ben Lamm publicly announces gene-drive commercial business unit cascade #2 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Gene-drive Phase III mosquito field trial starts in sub-Saharan Africa cascade #3 · pending · 2027-12-16 — International gene-drive governance framework formalized (Convention on Biological Diversity / WHO) cascade #4 · pending · 2030-07-02 — First gene-drive-derived commercial product (mosquito control, agricultural pest control) ships cascade #5 · pending · 2030-07-02 — Cascade: Gene-drive market sizing reports cumulative TAM > $100B in named report cascade #6 · pending · 2031-12-31 — Cascade: Major rogue or unauthorized gene-drive release becomes geopolitical incident pre #6 · pending · 2027-11-01 — IUCN formally endorses synthetic-biology assisted-evolution for conservation pre #5 · pending · 2028-03-16 — First gene-edited endangered animal released into wild monitored habitat pre #4 · pending · 2028-04-11 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2028-09-15 — Heat-tolerant coral or amphibian gene-edit deployed at reef/wetland scale pre #2 · pending · 2029-03-16 — Treaty-level framework on environmental release of edited organisms enters force pre #1 · pending · 2029-04-02 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-12 — Colossal publicly describes gene drive as reversible (rollback feature documented) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Peer-reviewed publication on Colossal's reversible gene drive containment mechanism cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Independent demonstration of rollback in caged trial cascade #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Critical scientific pushback (rebuttal paper questioning rollback feasibility) cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Regulatory approval (USDA APHIS / NZ EPA / Australia OGTR) for first wild-release pilot cascade #6 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. pre #6 · pending · 2027-05-04 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Synthetic biology total market crosses $50B annual revenue pre #4 · pending · 2028-03-16 — AI-designed protein / molecule receives first FDA new molecular entity approval pre #3 · pending · 2028-05-07 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2029-05-11 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2029-07-01 — Synthetic biology firm achieves $100B+ market cap cascade #1 · pending · 2032-12-31 — Synthetic biology revenue equals 1% of US GDP (~$300B/yr) pre #6 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Carbios Longlaville facility online (50K t/yr PET) pre #5 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Breaking secures Series A funding ≥$50M pre #4 · pending · 2027-09-01 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Breaking demonstrates pilot-scale facility for ≥1 non-PET plastic pre #2 · pending · 2028-05-03 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-09-15 — Independent benchmark confirms Breaking enzymes outperform PETase variants on rate/area pre #6 · pending · 2028-07-10 — For the next few years more people will end up doing more work, not less (996 turns into 997). pre #5 · pending · 2028-07-21 — Figure is effectively sold out on its current customer base for the next two to three years. pre #4 · pending · 2028-08-10 — Two years from now, best AI will not be freely accessible — it will be withheld citing security/safety. pre #3 · pending · 2029-10-31 — Approach phase begins (~6 months before Jupiter Orbit Insertion) pre #2 · pending · 2030-04-10 — Ganymede gravity-assist flyby (~120 km altitude, ~12h before JOI) pre #1 · pending · 2030-04-11 — Jupiter Orbit Insertion (JOI) burn cascade #1 · pending · 2031-04-01 — Cascade: First of ~49 Europa science flybys begins cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Helicity Space demonstrates plasma jet reconnection (pre-fusion-net-gain milestone) pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — NASA NIAC awards Phase II/III to compact-fusion propulsion concept pre #2 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Hyperscaler announces orbital data-center deployment (counter-thesis check) pre #1 · pending · 2028-06-15 — First crewed/uncrewed spacecraft contract using compact fusion propulsion cascade #1 · pending · 2029-03-01 — Compact fusion propulsion sub-scale flight demonstration cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #5 · pending · 2026-09-12 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-01-25 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-09 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-16 — Breakthrough Starshot Phase 2 funding / lightsail-flight test announcement pre #1 · pending · 2027-09-16 — Caltech / Brown / NASA lightsail material breakthrough at gram-scale cascade #1 · pending · 2027-11-01 — Public consensus on lightsail+laser as 'most plausible' interstellar approach (cascade) cascade #2 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Mind-uploading / connectome scanning prototype at mouse-brain scale cascade #3 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Terawatt-scale phased-array laser prototype demonstrated pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Polymarket 'Grok 5 by Q2 2026' market resolves cascade #2 · pending · 2026-07-08 — Grok 5 model card, weights, or API access publicly available cascade #3 · pending · 2026-07-16 — xAI provides updated guidance on Grok 5 launch window cascade #4 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Grok 5 benchmark performance disclosed (HLE, MMLU-Pro, GPQA, ARC-AGI) cascade #5 · pending · 2026-10-01 — Cascade: Grok 5 launch triggers >5% intraday spike in NVDA / xAI competitor stocks cascade #6 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Cascade: xAI valuation re-marks above $300B post Grok 5 launch pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-16 — Sam Altman publishes follow-up cyberattack warning at congressional hearing or major venue cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-16 — OpenAI / Anthropic publish public model misuse data showing AI-aided cyber campaigns cascade #2 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Major nation-state-attributed AI-augmented cyberattack on critical infrastructure cascade #3 · pending · 2026-08-31 — White House announces National AI Cybersecurity Initiative with frontier-lab partnership cascade #4 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Cybersecurity insurance pricing for AI-related risks rises >50% YoY cascade #5 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-30 — OpenAI ships GPT-5.5-Cyber to critical cyber defenders pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-15 — First publicly attributed AI-agent-led major cyber incident pre #1 · pending · 2027-01-30 — OpenAI / Anthropic threat-disruption reports document scaled AI-agent cyber abuse cascade #1 · pending · 2027-04-16 — Critical-infrastructure-grade cyber incident attributed to open-weights frontier model cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · pending · 2026-06-15 — Federal/international biosecurity AI policy proposal cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-16 — First documented attempted misuse of AI for bio R&D cascade #2 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-05-04 — Major analyst coverage characterizes V4 reaction as 'priced in' or 'muted' relative to R1 / V3 pre #1 · pending · 2026-05-30 — Cascade: AI-capex/hyperscaler stocks regain or surpass pre-V4 levels within 30 days post launch cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Cascade: Chinese open-source AI parity narrative becomes consensus, no longer market-moving cascade #2 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-01 — Medvi proves micro-team unicorn template ($401M Y1 revenue, $1.8B run-rate, ~2 FTE) pre #5 · pending · 2026-10-23 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Cohort accumulation — at least 10 named micro-team (<=5 FTE) companies cross $50M ARR pre #3 · pending · 2027-04-18 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-11 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Cohort scaling — 100+ named micro-team companies cross $10M ARR (millions-of-small-businesses signal) cascade #1 · pending · 2028-06-15 — Power-law tail formalized — at least 1 micro-team company crosses $10B valuation, multiple at $1B pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · overdue · 2026-05-15 — Intel 18A yield disclosure at or above 65% commercial threshold pre #2 · overdue · 2026-05-26 — Terafab Phase 1 groundbreaking or site selection finalized in Austin TX pre #1 · pending · 2026-06-15 — Intel external foundry revenue run-rate visibility above $1B annualized cascade #1 · pending · 2026-10-31 — Tesla AI6 chip first tape-out at Intel 18A cascade #2 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #3 · pending · 2027-08-16 — Intel external foundry revenue exceeds $4B annualized (Diamandis target validated) cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · overdue · 2026-04-09 — Bernstein / external analysts publish capex feasibility critique (~$5T to hit 1 TW) pre #5 · overdue · 2026-04-23 — Tesla picks Intel 14A process for Austin Terafab pilot AI5 chip pre #4 · pending · 2026-09-20 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Austin Terafab pilot fab achieves first wafer-out (small-batch AI5 production) pre #2 · pending · 2027-02-10 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-07-03 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Terafab reaches initial 100K wafer-starts/month capacity milestone pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #4 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Sam Altman / Dario Amodei / Demis Hassabis publicly endorse zero-marginal-cost framing pre #3 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Cost-of-intelligence per token falls 10x year-over-year pre #2 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Mainstream-economist counter-argument published (Krugman / Acemoglu / Summers) pre #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Major AI service rolls out free unlimited tier to >100M users cascade #1 · pending · 2026-11-29 — Energy / compute scarcity contradicts 'zero marginal cost' narrative cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Anthropic publishes Mythos pricing per million tokens that is 4-6x Opus 4.7 ($5/$25) cascade #2 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Mythos availability gated to paid Anthropic Max/Enterprise tiers only cascade #3 · pending · 2026-08-31 — At least 1 published benchmark shows Mythos >=10% above Opus 4.7 on agentic eval cascade #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Mythos token volume across Anthropic API stays below 10% of total Opus token spend cascade #5 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Anthropic launches a 'Mythos-distilled' Sonnet variant at lower cost cascade #6 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. pre #6 · overdue · 2026-02-20 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-01 — SpaceX confidentially files S-1 for IPO including xAI pre #4 · overdue · 2026-04-11 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-05-16 — Combined entity loss of $5B reported, raising IPO execution risk pre #2 · pending · 2026-05-31 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-16 — SpaceX-xAI combined IPO targets $1.75T-$2T valuation in summer 2026 listing pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2026-11-29 — Trump-era endowment-tax pressure on Harvard escalates to credible existential threat pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-31 — Endowment performance benchmark: Harvard endowment underperforms S&P 500 by >5% for two consecutive years pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Activist investor or alumni group publicly demands corporate restructuring of major US university pre #2 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Major US private university opens formal feasibility study on for-profit / PBC restructuring pre #1 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Investment bank or law firm publishes formal valuation analysis of Harvard or peer university as a PBC cascade #1 · pending · 2029-07-01 — Cascade: University-as-PBC framework gains state-level legal recognition cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-07 — Anthropic ARR reaches $30B (already passed by April 2026) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-07 — Anthropic ARR reaches $50B run-rate by end of Q3 2026 cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Claude API/enterprise pricing or usage volume holds growth slope through H2 2026 cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-01 — Anthropic discloses $100B ARR by end of December 2026 cascade #4 · pending · 2026-12-30 — Cascade: Anthropic IPO files S-1 or completes listing in Q4 2026 / Q1 2027 cascade #5 · pending · 2027-03-16 — Cascade: Anthropic 2027 revenue forecast revised upward toward $200B+ cascade #6 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-28 — Claude Code annualized revenue exceeds $2.5B pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-07 — Anthropic ARR crosses $30B and surpasses OpenAI pre #4 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Anthropic ARR reaches $100B (interim milestone toward $1T) pre #3 · pending · 2027-02-10 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-03-23 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-12-31 — Anthropic ARR reaches $1T by EOY 2027 (target) cascade #2 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Cascade: Anthropic IPO or tender offer at $1T+ valuation pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-05-26 — AI startup pitch decks publicly require recursive self-improvement narrative pre #1 · overdue · 2026-05-26 — Frontier lab discloses live recursive self-improvement loop in production training cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-08 — Funding round for AI startup explicitly cites RSI architecture in announcement cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Down-round or shutdown of non-RSI AI startup signals bar-raise cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-15 — AI capex shifts towards training-time-compute over inference cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · pending · 2026-08-30 — We are currently in AI hard takeoff pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-17 — First US AI-displacement legislative bill formally introduced in Congress pre #4 · pending · 2027-08-01 — First state-level AI displacement payment program enacted pre #3 · pending · 2027-09-16 — BLS or independent labor research confirms >100K AI-displacement layoffs in single quarter pre #2 · pending · 2028-06-16 — US unemployment rate exceeds 6% with non-cyclical characterization pre #1 · pending · 2029-09-15 — Federal stimulus check or transfer program enacted >=$1,000 per adult cascade #1 · pending · 2030-07-02 — AI-tax or compute-tax framework adopted federally to fund transfers cascade #2 · pending · 2031-07-08 — Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-04 — Global economy will grow 10x in 10 years (cited from Elon Musk). cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-24 — Elon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-10-04 — Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Leading AI lab (OpenAI/Anthropic/Google) publicly proposes Universal Basic Compute mechanism pre #4 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Major economic body (IMF/OECD/WEF) publishes formal 'post-scarcity' or 'capitalism 2.0' framework pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — US/EU congressional hearing dedicated to post-AI economic structure pre #2 · pending · 2027-08-01 — First national pilot of UBI/UBC explicitly tied to AI productivity dividends pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-31 — If by end-2027 no national-level pilot has launched, 'will emerge' becomes unrealistic by window close cascade #1 · pending · 2028-04-16 — Mainstream presidential-tier candidate adopts post-scarcity platform plank cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-23 — GPT-5.5 / Claude / Gemini 3 enable single-founder agentic businesses at scale pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-16 — AI-native solo entrepreneurs cross $1M ARR threshold (more than 100 documented cases) cascade #2 · pending · 2026-08-16 — Anti-AI sentiment / political backlash escalates beyond Sam Altman attack cascade #3 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Major UBI pilot or social-contract policy proposal advances in target window cascade #4 · pending · 2027-01-14 — BLS data shows non-employer business formation surge attributed to AI cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-31 — US new business formation (Census BFS) sustains >5M filings/year (4-5x baseline) pre #1 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Ratio of AI-native unicorns to traditional unicorns flips ≥4:1 in single year cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #3 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Single hyperscaler discloses >$200B annual AI capex pre #2 · pending · 2026-10-30 — Single AI-customer commitment to one vendor exceeds $300B pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-16 — Annualized run-rate spend by one buyer to one vendor crosses $500B cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-19 — First public $1T-class AI vendor spend headline pre #6 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Arc Institute Virtual Cell Challenge 2026 results show >2x improvement over State baseline pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-17 — CZI rBio / TranscriptFormer next-gen model published with whole-cell perturbation prediction pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Nvidia or major cloud announces dedicated virtual-cell training compute partnership pre #3 · pending · 2028-01-01 — First peer-reviewed virtual-cell prediction validated wet-lab in independent academic study pre #2 · pending · 2028-02-09 — Stargate is a $500 billion multiyear capex program for distributed AI data-center construction (2025-2028, with Trump ad pre #1 · pending · 2029-06-15 — First FDA-acceptable in-silico virtual-cell experiment cited in IND submission cascade #1 · pending · 2031-06-16 — Cascade: First drug program with discovery anchor in virtual-cell simulation enters Phase 1 cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — First E. coli whole-cell model with predictive accuracy on growth/metabolism published pre #2 · pending · 2028-06-15 — Compute time for 1 hour of cell biology drops from 6 days to <1 day pre #1 · pending · 2029-03-31 — First yeast (S. cerevisiae) whole-cell digital twin published cascade #1 · pending · 2030-07-31 — First mammalian (HeLa or hepatocyte) whole-cell simulation reaches publication cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2028-06-04 — Competitors that can match Figure's current capabilities are at least two years behind. pre #5 · pending · 2028-06-24 — AI will bulk-solve math, physical sciences, engineering, medicine, and material sciences. pre #4 · pending · 2028-07-01 — First AI-designed drug approved for any neurological indication pre #3 · pending · 2028-07-10 — For the next few years more people will end up doing more work, not less (996 turns into 997). pre #2 · pending · 2028-07-21 — Figure is effectively sold out on its current customer base for the next two to three years. pre #1 · pending · 2028-08-10 — Two years from now, best AI will not be freely accessible — it will be withheld citing security/safety. cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · pending · 2026-06-30 — Android 17 ships post-quantum cryptography by default pre #5 · pending · 2027-10-01 — Cloudflare reaches full post-quantum security across edge by 2029 pre #4 · pending · 2028-06-15 — Google announces logical-qubit milestone capable of factoring small RSA pre #3 · pending · 2029-02-05 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #2 · pending · 2029-03-13 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · pending · 2029-04-18 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2029-06-15 — First reported real-world post-quantum cryptographic compromise (harvest-now-decrypt-later) cascade #2 · pending · 2031-07-08 — Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-04 — Global economy will grow 10x in 10 years (cited from Elon Musk). cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-24 — Elon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-10-04 — Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2025-06-30 — Insilico Medicine Phase IIa positive results (TNIK inhibitor for IPF) pre #5 · hit · 2026-02-01 — Industry analyst report confirms 80-90% AI-drug Phase 1 success rate pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — First AI-designed drug enters Phase III pivotal trial cascade #2 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Isomorphic Labs first IsoDDE molecule enters clinical trials cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Hyperscaler 2026 capex aggregates exceed $700B annualized pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Microsoft single-quarter capex breaks $30B with AI revenue past $37B run-rate pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Meta raises full-year 2026 capex guidance to $125B+ cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Aggregate global AI investment crosses $1.1T annualized run-rate (~$3B/day) cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Capex acceleration triggers credit-market stress event in IG-rated tech issuance cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Plenty Unlimited or Bowery emerges from bankruptcy with operating model pre #5 · pending · 2027-09-16 — Continued sector consolidation: 5+ major operator bankruptcies before 2028 pre #4 · pending · 2028-02-09 — Stargate is a $500 billion multiyear capex program for distributed AI data-center construction (2025-2028, with Trump ad pre #3 · pending · 2028-09-30 — Energy unit cost for indoor vertical farming drops below outdoor produce cost-equivalent pre #2 · pending · 2029-03-16 — Single vertical-farming operator achieves $1B annual revenue pre #1 · pending · 2029-03-31 — Sustained CAGR >=20% over 3 consecutive years post-2026 cascade #1 · pending · 2030-10-31 — Aggregate global vertical-farming revenue confirmed at $40B in 2030 cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #6 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Industrial-grade perovskite/silicon tandem deployed at >100MW commercial scale pre #2 · pending · 2027-08-31 — Triple-junction perovskite cell exceeds 36% lab efficiency pre #1 · pending · 2028-06-16 — Solar PV LCOE remains decoupled from cell-efficiency ceiling cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · pending · 2027-08-01 — Robotaxi network achieves >5% of vehicle-miles in any top-10 US metro pre #4 · pending · 2027-09-16 — Major US homebuilder announces robot-built construction line pre #3 · pending · 2028-03-31 — US median single-family home price drops year-over-year for first time in non-recession pre #2 · pending · 2028-12-14 — First US zoning reform explicitly tied to AI/automation cost savings passes statewide pre #1 · pending · 2029-12-15 — US housing starts exceed 2 million annual run rate cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #3 · pending · 2027-12-15 — ILO or IMF cross-region report shows African unemployment delta from AI <1pp (vs OECD 2-5pp) over 2026-2027 pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-15 — Reverse-migration narrative emerges: African diaspora professionals returning home as Western AI-displacement worsens pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-31 — African economies grow GDP per capita above OECD median in 2027 (relative outperformance during AI transition) cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e cascade #5 · pending · 2040-07-06 — TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #5 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Starlink Direct-to-Cell adds video/data tier beyond SMS+voice pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-31 — AST SpaceMobile reaches initial nationwide US D2D coverage pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-31 — Amazon-Globalstar D2C service announced with launch ETA pre #2 · pending · 2027-12-15 — First flagship phone marketed as 'satellite-native' (not emergency-only) pre #1 · pending · 2027-12-31 — D2D subscriber count crosses 50M globally cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Retail-AI venture funding round >$50M pre #2 · pending · 2026-10-30 — AI-orchestrated mall or multi-tenant venue announced pre #1 · pending · 2027-04-01 — Coverage cluster: 5+ articles on AI pop-up retail explosion cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Category data validates explosion (active venues count) cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-05-27 — Chinese frontier lab open-weights release at top-3 LMArena Elo pre #1 · overdue · 2026-05-27 — Chinese model wins or ties on novel benchmark vs US/UK frontier cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-31 — OpenAI or Anthropic releases meaningful open-weight model (>30B) cascade #2 · pending · 2026-10-30 — BIS / US export-control update tightens China AI model export cascade #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Major US frontier lab publishes architecture / training-recipe transparency report cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · hit · 2026-01-06 — Subsequent DeepSeek-style efficiency announcements fail to repeat the January 2025 selloff pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Frequency of algorithmic-efficiency announcements rises (≥5 named events/year) cascade #2 · pending · 2026-08-16 — Single-day market reaction to a 2026 algorithmic-efficiency announcement is <50% of January 2025 magnitude cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2025-08-25 — Mainstream press coverage of 'AI religion' as growing category pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-06-21 — Elon Musk predicts launch per hour cadence to populate satellite constellations cascade #2 · pending · 2026-06-22 — Chinese AI strategy is edge computing focused vs US AGI/ASI centered cascade #3 · pending · 2027-09-16 — Census or sociological study tracks AI-faith adherents cascade #4 · pending · 2027-09-16 — AI cult or movement linked to high-profile harm event cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Pew or Gallup publishes 2026 global religion-affiliation update cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Mainstream press identifies AI-generated 'micro-cult/sect' phenomenon cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Quantitative measurement of 'AI-religion' / parasocial belief communities cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Top-3 world religions' combined share trend visible in WCD/ARDA dataset cascade #6 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-24 — Vatican issues formal AI policy framework pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Mainline Protestant denominations (UMC, ELCA) adopt formal AI policies pre #3 · pending · 2027-08-16 — No civilization-level disruption (negative-test cascade) pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-16 — Major Islamic / Jewish religious authorities issue AI fatwa / responsa pre #1 · pending · 2027-09-16 — AI-mediated religious services (sermons, study, counseling) become normalized cascade #1 · pending · 2030-04-18 — Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade cascade #2 · pending · 2030-10-10 — Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2034-09-16 — Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · pending · 2026-06-15 — First true n=1 personalized drug therapy approved cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-16 — n>=10 documented n=1 AI-designed therapies in patients cascade #2 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #3 · pending · 2027-07-02 — AI-designed drug discovery time falls to <12 months consistently cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #6 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-05-27 — FDA Commissioner Makary departure, replacement, or announced leave pre #1 · overdue · 2026-05-27 — RFK Jr override of FDA decision becomes public or formal cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-16 — Major FDA reorganization or RIF (reduction in force) announcement cascade #2 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Congressional hearing or bipartisan letter calls for FDA reform cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-30 — Pharma industry lobbying for FDA leadership change escalates publicly cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #6 · hit · 2025-05-21 — Inaugural Enhanced Games scheduled for May 21-24, 2026 Las Vegas pre #5 · hit · 2025-05-21 — Gkolomeev posts unofficial 50m freestyle world record (20.89s) in Enhanced trial pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-05-22 — Enhanced Games inaugural competition delivered without major safety incident cascade #2 · pending · 2026-05-22 — Enhanced 2026 produces >=2 records faster than current official world records cascade #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Enhanced Games announces second edition with year-over-year mark improvements cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Number of Neuralink human implants reaches 50+ cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Neuralink launches high-volume production with automated surgery in 2026 cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Neuralink Blindsight first patient trial begins (non-destructive read/write to cortex) cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2027-07-02 — First whole-brain emulation / connectome scan published from preserved tissue cascade #6 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission pre #4 · overdue · 2026-05-26 — AI-private-company secondary valuations widen vs. revenue multiples pre #3 · overdue · 2026-05-26 — AI public-name short interest rises above 5% float on 3+ AI plays pre #2 · overdue · 2026-05-26 — AI unicorn down-round or failed raise reported pre #1 · pending · 2026-05-31 — AI sector ETF or basket underperforms SPY by >5% in single month cascade #1 · pending · 2026-11-14 — First sustained AI valuation reset (>15% drawdown) on AI-software basket cascade #2 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #3 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #5 · pending · 2037-06-24 — Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow. cascade #6 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-15 — First documented AI-enabled solo-founder $1B+ revenue trajectory company pre #1 · hit · 2026-03-01 — Solo-founded startups exceed 35% of new ventures in 2026 cohort cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — First solo-founder unicorn ($1B post-money valuation, single-founder, ≤5 employees) cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — First documented AI-enabled 'one-person religion' or solo-founded religious movement at scale cascade #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — AI-mediated community / DAO-style spiritual or ideological group exceeds 100K members cascade #4 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #3 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-23 — SK Hynix Q1 2026 earnings: record operating margin (~72%) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026. pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Samsung Q1 2026 memory-driven 8x profit jump cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-31 — SK Hynix / Samsung stock prices set new highs through 2026 Q3 cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Samsung HBM4 qualifies into top hyperscaler buyers cascade #3 · hit · 2026-04-23 — Hyperscaler HBM forward-supply commitments extend through 2028 cascade #4 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #6 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years pre #6 · hit · 2024-12-14 — OpenAI Superalignment 'weak-to-strong generalization' research paper baseline pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cu pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025. pre #3 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — 2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream. pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-16 — Anthropic / DeepMind / OpenAI publish post-2025 results on weak-to-strong supervising frontier models cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Adversarial demonstration: weak-to-strong fails when the strong model is intentionally deceptive cascade #3 · pending · 2027-06-26 — Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled. cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-25 — We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds. cascade #5 · pending · 2028-07-01 — First superintelligence-class system contained / aligned by weaker supervisor in deployment cascade #6 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human pre #3 · pending · 2026-11-15 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-30 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-08-14 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #6 · pending · 2026-07-05 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-08-02 — EU Commission enforcement powers activate against GPAI providers pre #4 · pending · 2027-01-07 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-31 — First formal EU AI Act enforcement action announced against major lab pre #2 · pending · 2027-07-11 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-08-02 — Pre-Aug-2025 GPAI models compliance deadline pre #4 · overdue · 2026-02-07 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · overdue · 2026-03-16 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-04-01 — Alex Finn / IT Lounge HIM platform demonstrates 5-agent autonomous corp pre #1 · overdue · 2026-04-22 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-07-01 — Cumulative HIM-generated revenue surpasses $1M cascade #2 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Second autonomous-corp framework launches (beyond HIM) cascade #3 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Major incumbent (Salesforce, Microsoft, ServiceNow) launches autonomous-corp suite pre #3 · overdue · 2026-02-21 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-04-13 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · pending · 2026-06-03 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #4 · overdue · 2026-02-14 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · overdue · 2026-03-30 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out) pre #1 · overdue · 2026-05-13 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2027-06-18 — Baby AGI agents will need and develop an 'immune system' for prompt injection and cybersecurity threats in real time. cascade #2 · pending · 2028-06-22 — AI learning will improve via closed-loop reinforcement learning cycle making results keep increasing. cascade #3 · pending · 2029-12-10 — Elon plans to produce tens of millions of robots per year in just a few years. cascade #4 · pending · 2030-09-15 — $100 trillion companies within 5 years (3 years from now, per Diamandis interpretation of Musk) cascade #5 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #6 · pending · 2037-06-24 — Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow. pre #6 · pending · 2026-07-18 — By summer 2026, Figure will have almost none of its supply chain in China. pre #5 · pending · 2026-09-30 — OpenAI delivers intern-level research assistant by Sept 2026 pre #4 · pending · 2027-02-13 — Figure expects to hire a small handful of lead customers rather than broad distribution over next 6-12 months. pre #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — AI system co-authors a peer-reviewed paper as primary author pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-30 — Scenario fires: AGI fast: drop-in remote worker by 2027-09 pre #1 · pending · 2028-03-16 — AI system independently produces novel scientific finding without human guidance cascade #1 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #2 · pending · 2036-08-14 — People will be on Mars within 10 years cascade #3 · pending · 2036-09-06 — Moon base will exist in 10 years cascade #4 · pending · 2037-06-24 — Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow. cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Public model produces independent novel research result accepted at top-tier venue pre #5 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Major AI lab announces internal recursive self-improvement loop in production pre #4 · pending · 2028-06-22 — AI learning will improve via closed-loop reinforcement learning cycle making results keep increasing. pre #3 · pending · 2028-06-23 — Nick Bostrom: AI can and should be paused but only once we're on the verge of super intelligence. pre #2 · pending · 2029-03-31 — Scenario fires: AGI mid: Kurzweil 2029 path pre #1 · pending · 2029-06-15 — GDPval-equivalent saturation: leading model >=95% expert-tie-or-win across full benchmark cascade #1 · pending · 2031-11-01 — If superintelligence emerges: international AI compute monitoring treaty signed pre #6 · overdue · 2026-05-17 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-10-01 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-30 — Anthropic ARR exceeds $30B annualized run-rate pre #3 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Frontier model achieves expert-level performance on broad professional certification benchmark pre #2 · pending · 2027-02-14 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — AI fully automates >=80% of typical software-engineering tasks at Fortune 500 cascade #1 · pending · 2028-09-07 — By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human cascade #2 · pending · 2030-11-04 — Elon's Terafab will build 1 terawatt of AI compute per year, 50x current global production cascade #3 · pending · 2033-07-30 — Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033. cascade #4 · pending · 2033-08-10 — ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade cascade #5 · pending · 2039-09-22 — True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve e pre #6 · pending · 2027-02-26 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Amodei walks back trillion claim citing capital constraints pre #4 · pending · 2027-04-24 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-01 — Free cash flow positive by 2027 pre #2 · pending · 2027-06-01 — Anthropic ARR reaches $1T+ run-rate (resolution) pre #1 · pending · 2027-06-20 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #6 · overdue · 2024-09-11 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · overdue · 2025-05-24 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · hit · 2026-01-31 — Test-time compute / reasoning OOM unlocked via o1, o3, R1 pre #3 · overdue · 2026-02-02 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Aschenbrenner 1GW per cluster prediction validated by 2026 pre #1 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Frontier model demonstrates 1 full OOM effective compute over GPT-4 cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-15 — Algorithmic efficiency gains tracked at 0.5+ OOM/year through 2026 cascade #2 · pending · 2027-07-02 — Full automated AI researcher milestone — autonomous research agent pre #6 · pending · 2026-11-24 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · pending · 2026-12-15 — xAI Colossus phase-2 expansion confirmed for Grok 5+ training pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Frontier model crosses 10T parameters pre #3 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Leading AI lab publicly forecasts AGI within 24 months pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-17 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-09-08 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2029-12-01 — Independent body (METR/Apollo/MIRI) confirms AGI achieved by 2030 pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-22 — Morgan Stanley publishes 15-45 EB DRAM agentic forecast pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-23 — MS Memory Stocks bottleneck shift report published pre #4 · pending · 2026-06-09 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-07-31 — Micron / SK Hynix earnings cite agentic AI as DRAM demand driver pre #2 · pending · 2026-08-28 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2026-09-30 — DRAM industry 2026 capex announcements support multi-year supply ramp cascade #1 · pending · 2027-09-30 — Global DRAM 2027 demand growth tracker confirms 25%+ YoY pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-30 — ChatGPT holds 64.5% AI assistant market share (April 2026) pre #5 · pending · 2026-11-21 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Apple Intelligence reaches 30%+ of iPhone install base (active monthly use) pre #3 · pending · 2027-10-11 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2028-08-30 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-09-15 — OpenAI / Anthropic combined consumer share drops below 50% cascade #1 · pending · 2029-09-15 — Top-3 traditional platforms (Apple/MSFT/Meta/Google) hold 60%+ AI assistant share pre #5 · hit · 2026-01-28 — Moltbook launches with 150K+ AI agents pre #4 · overdue · 2026-01-31 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · overdue · 2026-03-02 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · hit · 2026-03-10 — Meta acquires Moltbook pre #1 · overdue · 2026-04-01 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · hit · 2026-04-29 — Moltbook crosses 1M total registered AI agents cascade #2 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Second autonomous agent platform launches with >100K agents cascade #3 · pending · 2027-01-14 — Closed-loop digital economy emerges (agents transact autonomously) pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-30 — AAIF reaches 170 or more member organizations pre #5 · pending · 2026-09-06 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-05-02 — AAIF v1.0 vendor-neutral protocol standard published pre #3 · pending · 2027-05-12 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2028-01-15 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-07-31 — 3 or more hyperscalers ship native AAIF protocol support in production agent platforms pre #6 · hit · 2026-02-28 — Starlink crosses 10M global subscribers pre #5 · pending · 2026-11-07 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Starlink Mobile crosses 25M users target pre #3 · pending · 2027-09-13 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-09-16 — Starlink latency benchmark falls below 25ms median in major routes pre #1 · pending · 2028-07-19 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2029-06-16 — First documented planetary-scale AI agent network using Starlink as primary backbone pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-24 — Three-stage payload hits credential / Kubernetes / backdoor at scale pre #5 · pending · 2026-07-21 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Second wave of AI-package supply-chain CVE during 2026 pre #3 · pending · 2027-02-07 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-05-02 — Enterprise breach attributable to AI-package compromise reported in SEC 8-K pre #1 · pending · 2027-08-27 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-24 — Meta + Microsoft 20K combined cuts cite AI as cause pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-15 — GPT-5 (or GPT-5.5) frontier reasoning model widely deployed in enterprise pre #4 · pending · 2026-06-11 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2026-08-31 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · pending · 2026-09-15 — Public corporate-collapse signal: >=2 Fortune 500 firms enter restructuring citing AI failure pre #1 · pending · 2026-10-31 — Cumulative 2026 AI-attributed layoffs cross 500K cascade #1 · pending · 2026-12-31 — Cumulative 2026 AI-attributed layoffs reach 1.1M — Blundin specific target pre #3 · overdue · 2026-01-31 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-03-02 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · overdue · 2026-04-01 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-06-15 — China data center construction capacity disclosure (MIIT or equivalent) cascade #2 · pending · 2026-07-31 — Chinese frontier model trained on domestic chips reaches Claude/GPT-class capability cascade #3 · pending · 2026-07-31 — U.S. export-control modification or enforcement gap announced cascade #4 · pending · 2027-01-30 — Chinese AI lab announces frontier-scale training run on domestic infrastructure pre #6 · pending · 2026-09-30 — First Vera Rubin systems deployed at Stargate sites pre #5 · pending · 2027-02-09 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-03-21 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-04-30 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-05-17 — OpenAI Stargate international expansion (Argentina 100 MW phase) pre #1 · pending · 2027-05-17 — OpenAI share of global AI training compute exceeds 25% pre #6 · pending · 2027-05-02 — AI co-authored physics paper published in top peer-reviewed journal pre #5 · pending · 2027-05-04 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2027-09-04 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · pending · 2027-11-01 — DeepMind publishes AI-driven novel theoretical-physics result with experimental prediction pre #2 · pending · 2028-01-05 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-01-15 — AI system unifies GR and QM into validated mathematical framework pre #3 · pending · 2026-11-28 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #2 · pending · 2027-10-25 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-09-20 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #4 · overdue · 2025-04-02 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #3 · overdue · 2025-07-02 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · overdue · 2025-10-01 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · hit · 2025-11-12 — WSJ confirms OpenAI 2025 financial loss disclosure cascade #1 · hit · 2026-04-15 — OpenAI ARR crosses $25B threshold cascade #2 · pending · 2027-01-30 — OpenAI 2026 financial disclosure shows ~$14B+ losses cascade #3 · pending · 2027-03-17 — OpenAI Stargate $500B partnership delivers first 10GW phase cascade #4 · pending · 2028-06-16 — Government path to UBI vanishingly unlikely, but possible outsized asymmetry in 2028 cascade #5 · pending · 2030-06-23 — Government will print UBI checks in next 2-5 years due to AI turbulence cascade #6 · pending · 2031-07-08 — Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years pre #6 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Stargate exceeds 10GW infrastructure committed (target was 2029) pre #5 · pending · 2026-11-11 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · pending · 2026-12-15 — OpenAI revenue crosses $30B annualized run-rate pre #3 · pending · 2027-09-21 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2028-03-31 — OpenAI's enterprise market share crosses 50% of foundation model spend pre #1 · pending · 2028-07-31 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2029-07-01 — OpenAI explicitly described or regulated as 'utility-like' AI infrastructure pre #6 · hit · 2026-01-15 — Wilson confirms AI productivity diffusion thesis in 2026 US Outlook podcast pre #5 · overdue · 2026-03-02 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #4 · hit · 2026-04-03 — S&P 500 EPS revisions trend upward to ~17% growth consensus pre #3 · overdue · 2026-05-02 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #2 · pending · 2026-07-01 — Operating margin expansion observed in non-megacap S&P sectors pre #1 · pending · 2026-07-02 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-09-30 — Multiple-expansion surprise materializes in 2026 H2 cascade #2 · pending · 2026-12-31 — S&P 500 closes 2026 within 5% of 7,800 target (i.e., 7,400-8,200 range) cascade #3 · pending · 2031-07-08 — Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years cascade #4 · pending · 2032-07-07 — GDP will 2x or 3x year-over-year in early 2030s if everything goes well. cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-04 — Global economy will grow 10x in 10 years (cited from Elon Musk). cascade #6 · pending · 2036-09-24 — Elon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years. pre #6 · overdue · 2025-05-13 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #5 · overdue · 2025-09-23 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · hit · 2025-08-15 — Musk publicly claims Grok 5 has 10% probability of achieving AGI pre #3 · overdue · 2026-02-02 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-03-31 — xAI announces Grok 5 with 6T parameters and AGI-class capability claims pre #1 · hit · 2026-04-30 — Frontier capability ceiling visible: GPT-5/Mythos/Gemini 3/Grok 5 cluster on similar benchmarks cascade #1 · pending · 2026-06-16 — Independent benchmark (METR / ARC-AGI / FrontierMath) characterizes a 2025-2026 model as superhuman across most professi cascade #2 · pending · 2027-03-17 — Mainstream consensus shifts to AGI/superintelligence post-2026 (2027-2030) cascade #3 · pending · 2028-06-23 — Nick Bostrom: AI can and should be paused but only once we're on the verge of super intelligence. cascade #4 · pending · 2030-07-05 — By 2030, AI models will surpass peak human expert levels across virtually all cognitive domains — onset of true superint pre #4 · hit · 2025-12-01 — OpenAI Frontier Alliance launches with McKinsey/BCG/Accenture/Capgemini pre #3 · overdue · 2026-01-31 — Q1 window check-in (25%) pre #2 · overdue · 2026-03-02 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #1 · overdue · 2026-04-01 — Q3 window check-in (75%) cascade #1 · pending · 2026-08-16 — McKinsey survey shows >20% of organizations have scaled AI agents cascade #2 · pending · 2026-08-16 — Named F500 announces AI-native operating-model transformation cascade #3 · pending · 2026-12-30 — BCG reports >40% of companies successfully scaled AI to deliver business value cascade #4 · pending · 2027-05-02 — F500 average AI-related headcount restructuring announced (cascade) cascade #5 · pending · 2031-07-08 — Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years cascade #6 · pending · 2032-07-07 — GDP will 2x or 3x year-over-year in early 2030s if everything goes well. pre #6 · hit · 2026-03-11 — Lovable reports $400M ARR with 146 employees ($2.77M ARR/FTE) pre #5 · hit · 2026-04-29 — SaaStr / industry consensus: $500K ARR/employee is the new $200K benchmark pre #4 · overdue · 2026-05-07 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #3 · overdue · 2026-05-16 — Cursor reaches $2B ARR (~$13.3M ARR/employee) pre #2 · pending · 2027-01-08 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2027-03-17 — First public AI-native unicorn ($1B+ valuation) with <=10 FTE cascade #1 · pending · 2028-03-16 — Cascade: average AI-native seed-funded startup raises <=$2M before $10M ARR cascade #2 · pending · 2030-06-23 — Government will print UBI checks in next 2-5 years due to AI turbulence cascade #3 · pending · 2031-07-08 — Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years cascade #4 · pending · 2036-09-04 — Global economy will grow 10x in 10 years (cited from Elon Musk). cascade #5 · pending · 2036-09-24 — Elon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years. cascade #6 · pending · 2036-10-04 — Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years pre #6 · pending · 2027-03-26 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #5 · pending · 2027-05-02 — AI agent hallucination rate from multimodal inputs benchmarked and improving pre #4 · pending · 2027-06-16 — Earth-observation/space-data multimodal startup gets enterprise contract >=$50M pre #3 · pending · 2027-09-15 — Major hyperscaler (AWS, GCP, Azure) acquires multimodal-data-pipeline startup >=$2B pre #2 · pending · 2027-11-05 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #1 · pending · 2028-01-01 — Reka AI, Twelve Labs, or comparable multimodal incumbent crosses $5B threshold first cascade #1 · pending · 2028-08-15 — First multimodal-data-pipeline startup achieves $5B+ valuation pre #6 · pending · 2027-09-30 — Scenario fires: AGI fast: drop-in remote worker by 2027-09 pre #5 · pending · 2027-10-16 — Q2 window check-in (50%) pre #4 · pending · 2028-09-06 — Q3 window check-in (75%) pre #3 · pending · 2028-09-15 — First $1B+ valuation for autonomous-agent-only aerospace company pre #2 · pending · 2029-03-31 — Scenario fires: AGI mid: Kurzweil 2029 path pre #1 · pending · 2029-06-01 — Trillion-dollar AI agent economy reaches measurable threshold target window end · today (amber dashed) · ✓/✗/◐ history strip = past resolutions · ghost arrows = evidence shift 416 plotted · 42 outside x-range · click any dot for detail
Y-axis bands: 0–25 % red-tint (unlikely) · 25–75 % amber (uncertain) · 75–100 % green-tint (likely). Vertical amber dashed line = today. Each prediction sits at (its expected resolution date, its current probability). Probabilities are conditional on everything that has already happened — past hits/misses + recent intake updates feed into the LBP propagation that produced these values.