Predictions

11 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.

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IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
230_015Labor/JobsAI-timingFor the next few years more people will end up doing more work, not less (996…Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2029-12-31
238_032Labor/JobsjobsEnd-state of AI is abundance and post-scarce labor — path is 'no firewall'Alex Wissner-Gross5/5B55.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31
242_030Labor/JobsjobsNear-future reverse discrimination where humans need not apply for many jobsAlex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31
240_051Labor/JobsAI-timingAfter first state passes retraining law, all other states will race to fire p…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
248_018Labor/JobsjobsYoung software developer job decline is self-correcting and has reversed in r…Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
230_002Labor/JobsjobsAI will automate away CEO labor; a few more years needed for machines to exce…Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2028-01-01 – 2030-12-31
247_021Labor/JobsjobsNet job creation likely, exotic new jobs like one-person AI conglomeratesAlex Wissner-Gross3/5B50.0%pending2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
247_056Labor/JobsjobsNet job loss probably not; dynamism with some categories going awayAlex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
230_036Labor/JobsjobsNew job categories will emerge: target designers, data rights brokers, target…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2029-06-01 – 2029-06-30
235_018Labor/JobsAI-scalingSingle-person conglomerates with agents running businesses will be common in …Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2031-01-01 – 2031-12-31
234_036Labor/JobsjobsJob displacement will be issue 6-10 not top 5 in 10 years; AI discoveries wil…Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2036-01-01 – 2036-12-31