General intelligence requires systems capable of solving tasks across multidimensional continuous domains — DreamerV3 + world-model research demonstrates scalable algorithms using latent imagination outperform traditional reinforcement learning; future...

General intelligence requires systems capable of solving tasks across multidimensional continuous domains — DreamerV3 + world-model research demonstrates scalable algorithms using latent imagination outperform traditional reinforcement learning; future AI systems will natively simulate and navigate complex 3D physical environments, serving as foundational cognitive architecture for embodied robotic labor. | Next world-model-RL capability release

Key catalyst: Next world-model-RL capability release

Watch events: Next DreamerV4 or successor architecture release

DreamerV3 published Nature 2025; DeepMind Genie 3 + Veo 3 operationalize world-model framework. Latent-imagination RL paradigm broadly adopted.

{
  "nia": false,
  "mode": "FORECAST",
  "role": "Cited-Other",
  "context": "Fifth Ba entry (232_013 recursive self-improvement, SEM_047 200K-GPU orchestration, ROB_013 language-to-actuation, AUT_017 agentic RL). Specific DreamerV3 + latent-imagination framing.",
  "to_year": 2028,
  "conv_cues": "researcher FIRST_PERSON; named model architecture",
  "direction": "HAPPEN",
  "from_year": 2024,
  "timeframe": "2024-2028",
  "conv_level": "HIGH",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "quartile_checkpoint",
      "label": "Q1 window check-in (25%)",
      "status": "overdue",
      "weight": 0.05,
      "ordinal": -3,
      "source_id": null,
      "expected_date": "2024-07-31",
      "observed_date": null,
      "miss_emitted_at": "2026-05-02T22:07:21.384228+00:00",
      "miss_emitted_by": "metadata_milestone_sweep"
    },
    {
      "kind": "quartile_checkpoint",
      "label": "Q2 window check-in (50%)",
      "status": "overdue",
      "weight": 0.05,
      "ordinal": -2,
      "source_id": null,
      "expected_date": "2025-02-28",
      "observed_date": null,
      "miss_emitted_at": "2026-05-02T22:07:21.384228+00:00",
      "miss_emitted_by": "metadata_milestone_sweep"
    },
    {
      "kind": "quartile_checkpoint",
      "label": "Q3 window check-in (75%)",
      "status": "overdue",
      "weight": 0.05,
      "ordinal": -1,
      "source_id": null,
      "expected_date": "2025-09-28",
      "observed_date": null,
      "miss_emitted_at": "2026-05-02T22:07:21.384228+00:00",
      "miss_emitted_by": "metadata_milestone_sweep"
    },
    {
      "kind": "event",
      "label": "General intelligence requires systems capable of solving tasks across multidimensional continuous domains — DreamerV3 + world-model research",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 1,
      "ordinal": 0,
      "source_id": "IND_013",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    }
  ],
  "repeat_eps": 1,
  "affiliation": "University of Toronto / Vector Institute",
  "attribution": "FIRST_PERSON",
  "granularity": "YEAR_RANGE",
  "resolved_at": "2026-04-29T22:23:18.341382+00:00",
  "source_refs": "17, 42",
  "target_date": "2026-06-15T00:00:00",
  "display_date": "2026-04-29",
  "episode_date": "2026-04-22T00:00:00",
  "key_catalyst": "Next world-model-RL capability release",
  "parse_method": "YEAR_RANGE midpoint",
  "domain_bucket": "AI",
  "episode_title": "Research Report: AI Predictive Forensics Across Biotech, Labor, Edtech, and Frontier Sciences (2023-2026)",
  "flag_repeated": false,
  "in_5yr_window": true,
  "source_report": "AI Predictions Across Industries.md (2026-04-22)",
  "appears_in_eps": "IND-RPT",
  "futurist_phase": "Phase 1 (2026)",
  "is_macro_claim": false,
  "total_mentions": 1,
  "priority_weight": 3,
  "report_evidence": "Anchor section: Jimmy Ba / Frontier Science.",
  "active_end_month": "2028-12",
  "recent_statement": "Ba 2024-2025 Vector Institute / Nature publications.",
  "watch_events_raw": "Next DreamerV4 or successor architecture release",
  "months_from_today": 2,
  "probability_layer": "Higher (in-flight)",
  "active_start_month": "2024-01",
  "december_dispersal": {
    "reason": "december_dispersal: domain=AI → 11/2028",
    "new_date": "2028-11-30",
    "old_date": "2028-12-31",
    "applied_at": "2026-04-30T16:28:34.304992+00:00"
  },
  "flag_nia_bracketed": false,
  "resolved_at_source": "validations_observed_at",
  "track_record_grade": "A-",
  "track_record_notes": "Ba world-model framings consistently validated.",
  "contradicting_notes": "Sim-to-real transfer gap persists; world-model sample-efficiency still rate-limiting.",
  "flag_near_term_2027": false,
  "flag_high_conviction": false,
  "milestones_derived_at": "2026-05-02T03:08:50.889225+00:00",
  "reference_class_match": {
    "top_n": [
      {
        "id": "agi_breakthrough_5y",
        "cosine": 0.5314
      }
    ],
    "margin": 0.5314,
    "best_id": "agi_breakthrough_5y",
    "decision": "below_threshol