Predictions
4 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEM_021 | AI/China | AI-scaling | Largest AI models will see a 100x leap in size by 2026, driven largely by Chi… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 55.0% | partial | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| SEM_022 | AI/Architecture | AI-scaling | FP4 / ternary-weight architectures decouple AI capability from raw transistor… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 78.0% | partial | 2026-01-01 – 2029-12-31 |
| 232_003 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | AI will make workers 3x more productive, effectively reducing headcount by tw… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 72.0% | partial | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 247_023 | AI | AI-scaling | AI will be able to do everything a white collar worker does imminently | Dave Blundin | 5/5 | B | 72.0% | partial | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |