Predictions
11 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND_006 | Geopolitics | VC-reallocation-regulatory-capture | Trajectory of AI development — and by extension future of American economic l… | Ben Horowitz | 4/5 | B | 72.0% | in_progress | 2024-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| AUT_011 | Geopolitics | compute-licensing-dystopias | Severe impending collision between capabilities of open autonomous systems an… | David Holz | 5/5 | B | 60.0% | in_progress | 2025-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| AI_037 | Geopolitics | EU-AI-Act-compliance | EU AI Act compliance will become a first-class enterprise priority — Anthropi… | Daniella Amodei | 4/5 | B | 75.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| FUT_009 | Geopolitics | localized-warfare-copper-fertilizer-energy | Wars 2026-2031 pivot decisively from ideological struggles to brutal localize… | Peter Zeihan | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2031-11-30 |
| FUT_014 | Geopolitics | US-political-revolution-1-risk | 'US political revolution' ranked #1 tier global risk 2026+ per Eurasia Group … | Ian Bremmer | 5/5 | A | 62.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| FUT_015 | Geopolitics | multipolarity-without-multilateralism | Era of 'multipolarity without multilateralism' defining 2026-2031 per Eurasia… | Ian Bremmer | 4/5 | B | 72.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2031-10-31 |
| FUT_023 | Geopolitics | demographic-bifurcation-wealthy-vs-resource-starved | 'Demographic bifurcation' 2026-2031: widening divides in size, growth, and st… | Ian Bremmer | 4/5 | B | 78.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2031-10-31 |
| INF_037 | Geopolitics | US-China-AI-arms-race | An all-out AI arms race between the US and China is inevitable — reaching sup… | Leopold Aschenbrenner | 5/5 | A | 85.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| INF_046 | Geopolitics | sovereign-AI-energy-independence | Governments worldwide will increasingly prioritize absolute energy independen… | Morgan Stanley | 4/5 | B | 80.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| ROB_021 | Geopolitics | US-China-physical-engineering-race | The United States is locked in a fierce physical engineering race with China … | Marc Andreessen | 5/5 | B | 82.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2032-10-31 |
| SPC_019 | Geopolitics | aerospace-supply-chain-decoupling | Aerospace-sector manufacturing base is being aggressively reoriented away fro… | Peter Dannenberg | 3/5 | C | 78.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2032-11-30 |