Predictions
7 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
Filters
Domain
AllAIAI/AgentsAI/AGIAI/ArchitectureAI/ChinaAI/CognitionAI/ComputeAI/CorporateAI/FinanceAI/HardwareAI/InfrastructureAI/ManufacturingAI/MarketsAI/MathematicsAI/PhysicsAI/SoftwareAI/StartupsAI/StrategyAuto/TransportBiotech/LongevityCapital MarketsConsumerCryptoDefenseEconomyEconomy/OrgEducationEnergyEnergy/ComputeFinance/CryptoGeopoliticsInvestingLabor/JobsMacro/EconomyManufacturingMarkets/StocksMedia/AdsOtherPolicy/SemisQuantumQuantum/AIReal EstateRoboticsSemisSemis/ASICsSemis/GeopoliticsSemis/HardwareSemis/MarketsSemis/MemorySemis/PackagingSemis/Productsshort_horizon_breakoutSpaceSpace/ComputeTechnology
Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234_044 | AI | AI-timing | Intelligence does not have a fixed upper bound; governance will cap it before IQ | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-08-31 |
| 240_033 | AI | AI-timing | AI will compress decades of research into years, months, weeks | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 240_005 | AI | AI-timing | The organizational singularity will impact every company, nonprofit, and gove… | Salim Ismail | 5/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_006 | AI | AI-timing | OpenClaw on AWS will be the biggest enterprise unlock in decades | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_039 | AI | NVIDIA | Social license, not chips or compute, may be the true bottleneck to AI and wi… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 230_042 | AI | AI-timing | A pure AI organization will emerge soon — won't look efficient, will look 'li… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 231_048 | AI | AI-timing | Thousands of experiments from permissionless disruptive innovation will compl… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |