PSTG
Bsupersededstoragerecommended 2026-05-05 · source risk_analysis_2026_05_05.md §7 / Tier 2 #7Research-mode rules
| Research status | researching |
|---|---|
| Analysis batch | 2026-05-05-risk-analysis |
| Analysis file | codex/risk_analysis_2026_05_05.md→ risk_analysis_2026_05_05.md §7 / Tier 2 #7 |
| Kelly size % | 3.00% of book cap |
| Stop-loss | -50% premium → exit fully |
| Time stop | 2026-09-01 → exit if <100% gain |
| Profit ladder | +75% premium → sell_third +150% premium → sell_third |
Instrument & sizing
| Instrument type | leaps_call |
|---|---|
| Strike | $85 |
| Expiration | 2027-01-15 |
| Polygon symbol | O:PSTG270115C00085000 |
| Recommended quantity | 1.414 |
| Recommended dollar amount | $1,500 |
| Recommended entry price | $10.61 |
| Spot at recommendation | $68.00 |
| OTM% | 25.0% |
| IV at recommendation | 0.75 |
| Delta at recommendation | 0.49 |
Thesis summary
AI-storage pure-play. Pure Storage DirectFlash = hyperscaler design wins for inference clusters. NOTE: should be executed as call spread (long K=85 / short K=110) to neutralize IV cost (IV/RV ≈ 1.56). Modeled here as long leg only.
Linked predictions (0)
No predictions linked.
Upcoming catalysts (1 of 1)
| Date | Type | Description | Expected impact | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-15 | expiration | PSTG option expiration | volatility_only | upcoming |
Update history (1)
Most recent first.
| Updated at | Type | Source | Drift / shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 22:11Z | auto_review | cron | spot -0.3% |
Actions
Recommendation is superseded; further actions handled via the position detail page.
Status: superseded