← Back

APLD

Apendingcore_longrecommended 2026-05-18 · source intel_mirror_v0 / batch=intel-mirror-2026-05-18

Research-mode rules

Research statusqueued
Analysis batchintel-mirror-2026-05-18
Analysis filecodex/intel_mirror_v0.md#universe-+-position-selection-rule
Kelly size %8.00% of book cap
Stop-loss-50% premium → exit fully
Time stop2026-09-01 → exit if <100% gain
Profit ladder
+75% premium → sell_third
+150% premium → sell_third

Instrument & sizing

Instrument typeleaps_call
Strike$49
Expiration2027-01-15
Polygon symbolO:APLD270115C00049000
Recommended quantity25
Recommended dollar amount$7,828
Recommended entry price$3.13
Spot at recommendation$39.14
OTM%
IV at recommendation
Delta at recommendation

Thesis summary

Intel Mirror: PMCI+Aschenbrenner+cluster composite=0.088; auto-generated 2026-05-18.

Linked predictions (0)

No predictions linked.

Upcoming catalysts (1 of 1)

DateTypeDescriptionExpected impactStatus
2027-01-15expirationAPLD option expirationvolatility_onlyupcoming

Update history (17)

Most recent first.
Updated atTypeSourceDrift / shift
2026-06-12 22:15Zauto_reviewcronspot +9.1%
2026-06-11 22:14Zauto_reviewcronspot +6.0%
2026-06-10 22:14Zauto_reviewcronspot -0.6%
2026-06-09 22:16Zauto_reviewcronspot +7.1%
2026-06-08 22:11Zauto_reviewcronspot +4.6%
2026-06-08 01:49Zauto_reviewcronspot +1.2%
2026-06-08 01:14Zauto_reviewcronspot +1.2%
2026-06-07 22:10Zauto_reviewcronspot +1.2%
2026-06-06 22:10Zauto_reviewcronspot +1.2%
2026-06-05 22:16Zauto_reviewcronspot +1.2%
2026-06-04 22:12Zauto_reviewcronspot +12.8%
2026-06-03 22:11Zauto_reviewcronspot +14.2%
2026-06-02 22:14Zauto_reviewcronspot +22.3%
2026-06-01 22:11Zauto_reviewcronspot +22.5%
2026-05-31 22:09Zauto_reviewcronspot +20.8%
2026-05-30 22:15Zauto_reviewcronspot +20.8%
2026-05-19 22:16Zauto_reviewcronspot -6.4%

Actions

Deploy captures actual fill details. Pass requires a categorical reason.