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CIFR

Apendingcore_longrecommended 2026-05-16 · source intel_mirror_v0 / batch=intel-mirror-2026-05-16

Research-mode rules

Research statusqueued
Analysis batchintel-mirror-2026-05-16
Analysis filecodex/intel_mirror_v0.md#universe-+-position-selection-rule
Kelly size %8.00% of book cap
Stop-loss-50% premium → exit fully
Time stop2026-09-01 → exit if <100% gain
Profit ladder
+75% premium → sell_third
+150% premium → sell_third

Instrument & sizing

Instrument typeleaps_call
Strike$25
Expiration2027-01-15
Polygon symbolO:CIFR270115C00025000
Recommended quantity49
Recommended dollar amount$7,969.36
Recommended entry price$1.63
Spot at recommendation$20.33
OTM%
IV at recommendation
Delta at recommendation

Thesis summary

Intel Mirror: PMCI+Aschenbrenner+cluster composite=0.134; auto-generated 2026-05-16.

Linked predictions (0)

No predictions linked.

Upcoming catalysts (1 of 1)

DateTypeDescriptionExpected impactStatus
2027-01-15expirationCIFR option expirationvolatility_onlyupcoming

Update history (19)

Most recent first.
Updated atTypeSourceDrift / shift
2026-06-12 22:15Zauto_reviewcronspot +20.5%
2026-06-11 22:14Zauto_reviewcronspot +11.3%
2026-06-10 22:14Zauto_reviewcronspot +3.4%
2026-06-09 22:16Zauto_reviewcronspot +13.3%
2026-06-08 22:11Zauto_reviewcronspot +19.5%
2026-06-08 01:49Zauto_reviewcronspot +10.4%
2026-06-08 01:14Zauto_reviewcronspot +10.4%
2026-06-07 22:10Zauto_reviewcronspot +10.4%
2026-06-06 22:10Zauto_reviewcronspot +10.4%
2026-06-05 22:16Zauto_reviewcronspot +10.4%
2026-06-04 22:12Zauto_reviewcronspot +25.7%
2026-06-03 22:11Zauto_reviewcronspot +29.1%
2026-06-02 22:14Zauto_reviewcronspot +29.3%
2026-06-01 22:11Zauto_reviewcronspot +18.1%
2026-05-31 22:09Zauto_reviewcronspot +16.3%
2026-05-30 22:15Zauto_reviewcronspot +16.3%
2026-05-19 22:16Zauto_reviewcronspot -7.5%
2026-05-18 22:13Zauto_reviewcronspot -6.0%
2026-05-17 22:12Zauto_reviewcronspot +0.0%

Actions

Deploy captures actual fill details. Pass requires a categorical reason.