ACN

Asupersededhedgerecommended 2026-05-04 · source §4 #10, §10

Research-mode rules

Research status	considering
Analysis batch	2026-05-04-launch

Instrument & sizing

Instrument type	leaps_put
Strike	$145
Expiration	2027-01-15
Polygon symbol	`O:ACN270115P00145000`
Recommended quantity	0.752
Recommended dollar amount	$1,000
Recommended entry price	$13.30
Spot at recommendation	$179.15
OTM%	19.0%
IV at recommendation	0.48
Delta at recommendation	-0.23

Thesis summary

Short consulting via PUTS. ACN guide 2-5% growth (vs historical mid-double-digits). 11k+ layoffs. AI agents replacing tier-1 consulting. Non-correlated short to balance the long book.

Linked predictions (3)

Prediction	Role	P (current)	P (prior)	Window	Status
The 2026-2027 window is the 'Great Disemboweling' of white-collar employment — millions of mid-career professionals (junior software developers, legal analysts, corporate marketers) lose jobs within a 12-18 month timeframe; resulting unemployment casca... AI_021 · Labor/Jobs	primary_thesis	0.464	0.550	2027-12-31	partial
Non-coders and engineers alike must build for 'where the models are going, not where they are today' — 'this is the worst the models will ever be'. Next-generation models will 'eat your scaffolding for breakfast'; manual software configuration, standar... IND_026 · Labor/Jobs	supporting	0.608	0.680	2027-12-31	in_progress
AI will make workers 3x more productive, effectively reducing headcount by two-thirds unless companies triple in size. 232_003 · Labor/Jobs	supporting	0.595	0.720	2027-06-30	partial

Upcoming catalysts (1 of 1)

Date	Type	Description	Expected impact	Status
2027-01-15	expiration	ACN option expiration	volatility_only	upcoming

Update history (1)

Most recent first.

Updated at	Type	Source	Drift / shift
2026-05-05 22:11Z	thesis_weakened	cron	spot -0.1%thesis Δ-8.6pp

Actions

Recommendation is superseded; further actions handled via the position detail page.

Status: superseded