Predictions

4 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.

Filters

Domain
AllAIAI/AgentsAI/AGIAI/ArchitectureAI/ChinaAI/CognitionAI/ComputeAI/CorporateAI/FinanceAI/HardwareAI/InfrastructureAI/ManufacturingAI/MarketsAI/MathematicsAI/PhysicsAI/SoftwareAI/StartupsAI/StrategyAuto/TransportBiotech/LongevityCapital MarketsConsumerCryptoDefenseEconomyEconomy/OrgEducationEnergyEnergy/ComputeFinance/CryptoGeopoliticsInvestingLabor/JobsMacro/EconomyManufacturingMarkets/StocksMedia/AdsOtherPolicy/SemisQuantumQuantum/AIReal EstateRoboticsSemisSemis/ASICsSemis/GeopoliticsSemis/HardwareSemis/MarketsSemis/MemorySemis/PackagingSemis/Productsshort_horizon_breakoutSpaceSpace/ComputeTechnology
Status
Allmiss (3)pending (1312)partial (35)in_progress (182)hit (75)
Predictor
AllAlex Wissner-Gross (231)Dave Blundin (165)Peter Diamandis (160)Dara Khosrowshahi (89)Elon Musk (69)Eric Schmidt (68)Brett Adcock (51)Salim Ismail (49)Ben Lamm (47)Morgan Stanley (42)Andrew Yang (35)Alex Finn (28)
Sort
Window (earliest)Window (latest)Prior (high)Prior (low)Conviction (high)ID
IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
238_008Markets/StocksabundanceMany incumbent companies will be in deep trouble between now and the abundanc…Salim Ismail4/5C55.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30
235_011Markets/StocksAI-timingPE fund will emerge shortly to buy medium/big companies and install AI digita…Salim Ismail4/5B55.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
248_034Markets/StocksAGICapital chasing AI stories is outpacing operating reality; narrative leverage…Salim Ismail3/5C50.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
235_012Markets/StocksAI-timingLarge companies cannot pivot rapidly enough; zero ability to change.Salim Ismail5/5C60.0%pending2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30