Audit Log

{
  "current_prob": 0.27035
}

{
  "delta": -0.1499035278077958,
  "reason": "milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.178 blend=0.120 LLR=-0.536 κ=0.77 w_in=0.31 humanoid_commercial_volume",
  "current_prob": 0.12044647219220415,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.50992
}

{
  "delta": -0.05907450754936677,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.451 blend=0.451 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.45084549245063327,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.73675
}

{
  "delta": -0.04834977951601427,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.688 blend=0.688 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.6884002204839857,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.44115
}

{
  "delta": -0.057247258508718535,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.384 blend=0.384 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.38390274149128145,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.59022
}

{
  "delta": -0.05816878823536298,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.532 blend=0.532 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.532051211764637,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.41948
}

{
  "delta": -0.0659776407952708,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.354 blend=0.354 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3535023592047292,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.70846
}

{
  "delta": -0.05113303747652986,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.657 blend=0.657 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.6573269625234701,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.40304
}

{
  "delta": -0.08390248470854239,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.319 blend=0.319 LLR=-0.365 κ=0.90 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3191375152914576,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.51671
}

{
  "delta": -0.037694273765743413,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.452 blend=0.479 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 w_in=0.43 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
  "current_prob": 0.4790157262342566,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.31889
}

{
  "delta": -0.05960716670922844,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.259 blend=0.259 LLR=-0.291 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.25928283329077156,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.56732
}

{
  "delta": -0.06475903325558618,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.503 blend=0.503 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.5025609667444139,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.49522
}

{
  "delta": -0.1820079978290759,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.313 blend=0.313 LLR=-0.766 κ=0.82 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3132120021709241,
  "n_milestones": 3
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.37587
}

{
  "delta": -0.03797083770148335,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.338 blend=0.338 LLR=-0.166 κ=0.58 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.33789916229851663,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.42275
}

{
  "delta": -0.05711810224512681,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.366 blend=0.366 LLR=-0.239 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3656318977548732,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.49522
}

{
  "delta": -0.0702061657017315,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.425 blend=0.425 LLR=-0.283 κ=0.82 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4250138342982685,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.43967
}

{
  "delta": -0.20952438731496842,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.408 blend=0.230 LLR=-0.132 κ=0.50 w_in=0.68 regulatory_freeze_window",
  "current_prob": 0.2301456126850316,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.53619
}

{
  "delta": -0.017715894719911196,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.561 blend=0.518 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 w_in=0.30 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
  "current_prob": 0.5184741052800889,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.43348
}

{
  "delta": -0.0489610611573999,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.385 blend=0.385 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3845189388426001,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.45415
}

{
  "delta": -0.06484314179275802,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.389 blend=0.389 LLR=-0.266 κ=0.77 w_in=1.00 humanoid_commercial_volume",
  "current_prob": 0.389306858207242,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.50735
}

{
  "delta": -0.06186710442929394,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.445 blend=0.445 LLR=-0.248 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.44548289557070603,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.38686
}

{
  "delta": -0.04741998031606903,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.339 blend=0.339 LLR=-0.205 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.33944001968393095,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.38686
}

{
  "delta": -0.04741998031606903,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.339 blend=0.339 LLR=-0.205 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.33944001968393095,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.39095
}

{
  "delta": -0.027546666006975362,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.363 blend=0.363 LLR=-0.117 κ=0.64 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.36340333399302466,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.43698
}

{
  "delta": -0.03489505168513496,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.402 blend=0.402 LLR=-0.143 κ=0.64 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.402084948314865,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.48501
}

{
  "delta": -0.06448847135587837,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.421 blend=0.421 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4205215286441216,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.47186
}

{
  "delta": -0.03797368410063212,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.434 blend=0.434 LLR=-0.153 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4338863158993679,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.75947
}

{
  "delta": -0.04579936915011895,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.714 blend=0.714 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.713670630849881,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.50548
}

{
  "delta": -0.025058013843659577,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.435 blend=0.480 LLR=-0.283 κ=0.82 w_in=0.30 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
  "current_prob": 0.48042198615634046,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.47663
}

{
  "delta": -0.107469364538815,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.369 blend=0.369 LLR=-0.442 κ=0.58 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.369160635461185,
  "n_milestones": 2
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.52069
}

{
  "delta": -0.0664399954901666,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.454 blend=0.454 LLR=-0.266 κ=0.77 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4542500045098334,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.43168
}

{
  "delta": -0.05026339587547596,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.381 blend=0.381 LLR=-0.209 κ=0.64 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.38141660412452405,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.55898
}

{
  "delta": -0.06624238841762625,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.493 blend=0.493 LLR=-0.266 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4927376115823738,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.42315
}

{
  "delta": -0.05713082467272146,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.366 blend=0.366 LLR=-0.239 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.36601917532727857,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.46514
}

{
  "delta": -0.04498396581089409,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.420 blend=0.420 LLR=-0.182 κ=0.64 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4201560341891059,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.45615
}

{
  "delta": -0.0569908462462545,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.399 blend=0.399 LLR=-0.233 κ=0.82 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3991591537537455,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.43348
}

{
  "delta": -0.0489610611573999,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.385 blend=0.385 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3845189388426001,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.39184
}

{
  "delta": -0.07419228601674899,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.318 blend=0.318 LLR=-0.325 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.31764771398325103,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.49048
}

{
  "delta": 0.038502682165947655,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.416 blend=0.529 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 w_in=0.31 fab_construction_3y",
  "current_prob": 0.5289826821659477,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.37762
}

{
  "delta": -0.05443104389138209,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.323 blend=0.323 LLR=-0.239 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3231889561086179,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.38157
}

{
  "delta": -0.05106777695106657,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.331 blend=0.331 LLR=-0.223 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.33050222304893345,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.39019
}

{
  "delta": -0.054704488590896605,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.335 blend=0.335 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3354855114091034,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.51482
}

{
  "delta": -0.028239845142440545,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.459 blend=0.487 LLR=-0.222 κ=0.84 w_in=0.33 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
  "current_prob": 0.4865801548575595,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.60634
}

{
  "delta": -0.07379315577856393,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.533 blend=0.533 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.532546844221436,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.42285
}

{
  "delta": -0.06553813679994996,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.276 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.35731186320005004,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.44531
}

{
  "delta": -0.06216800359454505,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.383 blend=0.383 LLR=-0.257 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.38314199640545493,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.303
}

{
  "delta": -0.061270971334363517,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.242 blend=0.242 LLR=-0.310 κ=0.90 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.24172902866563648,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.50599
}

{
  "delta": -0.04300754292831571,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.463 blend=0.463 LLR=-0.172 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.46298245707168434,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.43471
}

{
  "delta": -0.06964647731765095,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.365 blend=0.365 LLR=-0.291 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.36506352268234904,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.39599
}

{
  "delta": -0.07456022989178457,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.321 blend=0.321 LLR=-0.325 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.32142977010821544,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.09117
}

{
  "delta": -0.0194189197769086,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.072 blend=0.072 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.0717510802230914,
  "n_milestones": 1
}