Audit Log
Immutable change log. Every probability update, intake apply, validation adjudication, and bulk operation writes a row here with structured before/after JSON. Use these records to reconstruct any historical state. ← Ops
Total entries
711
Filtered
323
page 2 / 4
Distinct actions
33
Distinct kinds
16
Filters
Action
Allauto_corroborate.rundoc_node_link.bulk_confirmdoc_node_link.confirmedges.isolated_high_conv_linkedges.phase2a_strength_gradingedges.scenario_correlate_backfilledges.weight_tune_v1intake.appliedkappa_decay_runlbp.completednode.bulk_resolution_fixnode.bulk_updatenode.metadata_milestone_missnode.milestone_missnodes.metadata.display_datenodes.metadata.milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes.metadata.resolved_atprediction_conflicts.runprediction.recalibration_candidate.stagepredictions.december_dispersalpredictions.scenario_assignmentpredictions.tier3_reviewpredictors.brier_recomputerecommendations.bulk_importrecommendations.refresh.runreference_class_base_rate_refreshreference_class.overrideresearch_event_pack.applyresolution_history.backfillscenario.bulk_createsource_reliability.seedtrajectories.create_correlate_edges
Target kind
Actor (top 50)
Allapply_llm_milestonesapply_low_confidence_decisionsassign_predictions_to_scenariosbackfill_resolution_historybackfill_resolved_atbuild_scenario_pathscodexcompute_brier_scorescompute_display_datesderive_milestonesdisperse_december_bunchingfix_partial_classificationintake:515b84c4-6b29-4d57-8dd6-d41dac…intake:568095f6-eb44-4f96-92d3-13455b…intake:7afeeb9a-f217-4dd2-b910-24ff14…intake:99aa73db-75b1-4b1e-8470-a11f87…intake:c130222f-ab93-4d94-b596-5f4dc7…lbp_run:0c8a4ea3431elbp_run:1a683ac9e205lbp_run:1c6a06976c86lbp_run:592311ef6bcalbp_run:806b02f82f58lbp_run:807dd6f649b1lbp_run:ba893ab6499flbp_run:cd8605f31f33lbp_run:e5c18d29fb42lbp_run:e607fa961f0blbp_run:ffd25072aee9link_trajectories_to_dimensionsmanual_overridemetadata_milestone_sweepmilestone_miss_sweepphase_2A.2_graderphase_2A.3_isolated_linkerphase_2A_backfillphase2_part3_smoke_testphase3_p4_smoke_testphase3_p6_smoke_testseed_source_reliabilitystage_recalibration_candidatessystem:auto_corroboratesystem:decay_predictor_kappasystem:detect_prediction_conflictssystem:import_recommendationssystem:refresh_recommendationssystem:refresh_reference_class_base_r…tune_edge_weights
| When | Actor | Action | Target | Before → After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:233_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37587
}{
"delta": -0.03797083770148335,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.338 blend=0.338 LLR=-0.166 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.33789916229851663,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_029 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.0702061657017315,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.425 blend=0.425 LLR=-0.283 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4250138342982685,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_018 | view{
"current_prob": 0.42275
}{
"delta": -0.05711810224512681,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.366 blend=0.366 LLR=-0.239 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3656318977548732,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43967
}{
"delta": -0.20952438731496842,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.408 blend=0.230 LLR=-0.132 κ=0.50 w_in=0.68 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.2301456126850316,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_066 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53619
}{
"delta": -0.017715894719911196,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.561 blend=0.518 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 w_in=0.30 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.5184741052800889,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_033 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45415
}{
"delta": -0.06484314179275802,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.389 blend=0.389 LLR=-0.266 κ=0.77 w_in=1.00 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.389306858207242,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_021 | view{
"current_prob": 0.75947
}{
"delta": -0.04579936915011895,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.714 blend=0.714 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.713670630849881,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.47186
}{
"delta": -0.03797368410063212,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.434 blend=0.434 LLR=-0.153 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4338863158993679,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:239_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48501
}{
"delta": -0.06448847135587837,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.421 blend=0.421 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4205215286441216,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_021 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43698
}{
"delta": -0.03489505168513496,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.402 blend=0.402 LLR=-0.143 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.402084948314865,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_043 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39095
}{
"delta": -0.027546666006975362,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.363 blend=0.363 LLR=-0.117 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.36340333399302466,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_037 | view{
"current_prob": 0.38686
}{
"delta": -0.04741998031606903,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.339 blend=0.339 LLR=-0.205 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.33944001968393095,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.38686
}{
"delta": -0.04741998031606903,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.339 blend=0.339 LLR=-0.205 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.33944001968393095,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:232_052 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50735
}{
"delta": -0.06186710442929394,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.445 blend=0.445 LLR=-0.248 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.44548289557070603,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.42285
}{
"delta": -0.06553813679994996,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.276 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.35731186320005004,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_SPC_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.303
}{
"delta": -0.061270971334363517,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.242 blend=0.242 LLR=-0.310 κ=0.90 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.24172902866563648,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_025 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49048
}{
"delta": 0.038502682165947655,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.416 blend=0.529 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 w_in=0.31 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.5289826821659477,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39184
}{
"delta": -0.07419228601674899,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.318 blend=0.318 LLR=-0.325 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.31764771398325103,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_068 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43348
}{
"delta": -0.0489610611573999,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.385 blend=0.385 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3845189388426001,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_067 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45615
}{
"delta": -0.0569908462462545,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.399 blend=0.399 LLR=-0.233 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3991591537537455,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_010 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46514
}{
"delta": -0.04498396581089409,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.420 blend=0.420 LLR=-0.182 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4201560341891059,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:232_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.42315
}{
"delta": -0.05713082467272146,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.366 blend=0.366 LLR=-0.239 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.36601917532727857,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:231_012 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55898
}{
"delta": -0.06624238841762625,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.493 blend=0.493 LLR=-0.266 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4927376115823738,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:230_042 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43168
}{
"delta": -0.05026339587547596,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.381 blend=0.381 LLR=-0.209 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.38141660412452405,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.52069
}{
"delta": -0.0664399954901666,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.454 blend=0.454 LLR=-0.266 κ=0.77 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4542500045098334,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_013 | view{
"current_prob": 0.47663
}{
"delta": -0.107469364538815,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.369 blend=0.369 LLR=-0.442 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.369160635461185,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_021 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50548
}{
"delta": -0.025058013843659577,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.435 blend=0.480 LLR=-0.283 κ=0.82 w_in=0.30 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
"current_prob": 0.48042198615634046,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:243_026 | view{
"current_prob": 0.38157
}{
"delta": -0.05106777695106657,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.331 blend=0.331 LLR=-0.223 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.33050222304893345,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:244_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39019
}{
"delta": -0.054704488590896605,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.335 blend=0.335 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3354855114091034,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.51482
}{
"delta": -0.028239845142440545,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.459 blend=0.487 LLR=-0.222 κ=0.84 w_in=0.33 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
"current_prob": 0.4865801548575595,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.60634
}{
"delta": -0.07379315577856393,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.533 blend=0.533 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.532546844221436,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_031 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44531
}{
"delta": -0.06216800359454505,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.383 blend=0.383 LLR=-0.257 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.38314199640545493,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_028 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50599
}{
"delta": -0.04300754292831571,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.463 blend=0.463 LLR=-0.172 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.46298245707168434,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:242_038 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37762
}{
"delta": -0.05443104389138209,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.323 blend=0.323 LLR=-0.239 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3231889561086179,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-07 22:13:01 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:236_036 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39599
}{
"delta": -0.07456022989178457,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.321 blend=0.321 LLR=-0.325 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32142977010821544,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-07 22:13:01 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_026 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43471
}{
"delta": -0.06964647731765095,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.365 blend=0.365 LLR=-0.291 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.36506352268234904,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-05 22:10:59 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.09117
}{
"delta": -0.0194189197769086,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.072 blend=0.072 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.0717510802230914,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-04 22:07:29 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39184
}{
"delta": -0.12370297028181698,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.268 blend=0.268 LLR=-0.565 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.26813702971818304,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-03 22:06:47 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_068 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39241
}{
"delta": -0.0547380892798488,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.338 blend=0.338 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3376719107201512,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.33054
}{
"delta": -0.17965567748663766,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.199 blend=0.151 LLR=-0.684 κ=0.84 w_in=0.58 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.15088432251336234,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_026 | view{
"current_prob": 0.6388
}{
"delta": -0.1356351900075482,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.503 blend=0.503 LLR=-0.558 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5031648099924518,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_006 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43145
}{
"delta": -0.04848344791641657,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.383 blend=0.383 LLR=-0.201 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.38296655208358343,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.82127
}{
"delta": -0.0932307182012524,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.783 blend=0.728 LLR=-0.710 κ=0.58 w_in=0.77 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.7280392817987476,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5
}{
"delta": -0.058852872247948496,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.441 blend=0.441 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4411471277520515,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.67862
}{
"delta": -0.05927114550598167,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.619 blend=0.619 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6193488544940183,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_031 | view{
"current_prob": 0.7
}{
"delta": -0.056811300259339226,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.643 blend=0.643 LLR=-0.258 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6431886997406607,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_032 | view{
"current_prob": 0.63934
}{
"delta": -0.09767333333333328,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.542 blend=0.542 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5416666666666667,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_034 | view{
"current_prob": 0.8
}{
"delta": -0.034412378314921166,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.766 blend=0.766 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7655876216850789,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_040 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5
}{
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"current_prob": 0.4,
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| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_042 | view{
"current_prob": 0.5221
}{
"delta": -0.044571721850010015,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.478 blend=0.478 LLR=-0.178 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.47752827814999,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_047 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45
}{
"delta": -0.09705882352941181,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.353 blend=0.353 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3529411764705882,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_052 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55
}{
"delta": -0.04798131869078226,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.502 blend=0.502 LLR=-0.193 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5020186813092178,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_055 | view{
"current_prob": 0.21907
}{
"delta": -0.021443925746006065,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.198 blend=0.198 LLR=-0.130 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.19762607425399392,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_066 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55629
}{
"delta": -0.02010010264485118,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.619 blend=0.536 LLR=-0.270 κ=0.69 w_in=0.30 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.5361898973551488,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_068 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45
}{
"delta": -0.05758651713820129,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.392 blend=0.392 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3924134828617987,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_073 | view{
"current_prob": 0.3
}{
"delta": -0.051750720256699745,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.248 blend=0.248 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.24824927974330024,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.1845
}{
"delta": -0.07279138995792497,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.118 blend=0.112 LLR=-0.521 κ=0.64 w_in=0.65 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.11170861004207502,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.08
}{
"delta": -0.017204644780385997,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.063 blend=0.063 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.062795355219614,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40376
}{
"delta": -0.08118112976720626,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.323 blend=0.323 LLR=-0.352 κ=0.87 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32257887023279375,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_021 | view{
"current_prob": 0.72005
}{
"delta": -0.08511689093700292,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.635 blend=0.635 LLR=-0.391 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.634933109062997,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.67165
}{
"delta": -0.04615998994774828,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.625 blend=0.625 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6254900100522517,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.62806
}{
"delta": -0.2876977487558071,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.576 blend=0.340 LLR=-0.219 κ=0.77 w_in=0.61 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.34036225124419284,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.7137
}{
"delta": -0.09692134965229715,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.617 blend=0.617 LLR=-0.438 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6167786503477029,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_013 | view{
"current_prob": 0.72413
}{
"delta": -0.030565710570945148,
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"current_prob": 0.6935642894290549,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.69973
}{
"delta": -0.29015534752576805,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=4 inside=0.410 blend=0.410 LLR=-1.212 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4095746524742319,
"n_milestones": 4
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.26496
}{
"delta": -0.0712079909828742,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.194 blend=0.194 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.19375200901712578,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.68888
}{
"delta": -0.10023043724611125,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.596 blend=0.589 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 w_in=0.53 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.5886495627538888,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_018 | view{
"current_prob": 0.57048
}{
"delta": -0.050223304665257484,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.520 blend=0.520 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5202566953347425,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.63335
}{
"delta": -0.09812089448720596,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.535 blend=0.535 LLR=-0.405 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.535229105512794,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_024 | view{
"current_prob": 0.78401
}{
"delta": -0.13759499472707548,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.646 blend=0.646 LLR=-0.686 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6464150052729245,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_025 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55188
}{
"delta": -0.05007061137845081,
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"current_prob": 0.5018093886215492,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_028 | view{
"current_prob": 0.66066
}{
"delta": -0.11250061752082186,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.548 blend=0.548 LLR=-0.473 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5481593824791782,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.47266
}{
"delta": -0.0500787510532229,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.423 blend=0.423 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4225812489467771,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_031 | view{
"current_prob": 0.72574
}{
"delta": -0.15403056995320064,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.572 blend=0.572 LLR=-0.684 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5717094300467994,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_038 | view{
"current_prob": 0.12248
}{
"delta": -0.05359890678566158,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=4 inside=0.049 blend=0.069 LLR=-1.004 κ=0.64 w_in=0.77 agi_breakthrough_5y",
"current_prob": 0.06888109321433843,
"n_milestones": 4
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_044 | view{
"current_prob": 0.35127
}{
"delta": -0.06483536720417787,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.286 blend=0.286 LLR=-0.299 κ=0.87 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.28643463279582215,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.64598
}{
"delta": -0.055756671167065175,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.590 blend=0.590 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5902233288329348,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_047 | view{
"current_prob": 0.79115
}{
"delta": -0.04632792382116624,
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"current_prob": 0.7448220761788338,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48912
}{
"delta": -0.028520034187253573,
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"current_prob": 0.4605999658127464,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.59761
}{
"delta": -0.17547436096897306,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.422 blend=0.422 LLR=-0.710 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4221356390310269,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_012 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44917
}{
"delta": -0.02210275010504953,
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"current_prob": 0.4270672498949505,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_020 | view{
"current_prob": 0.36058
}{
"delta": -0.12900675818394153,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.232 blend=0.232 LLR=-0.627 κ=0.77 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.23157324181605848,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_022 | view{
"current_prob": 0.62
}{
"delta": -0.1369850366709125,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.483 blend=0.483 LLR=-0.558 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4830149633290875,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_028 | view{
"current_prob": 0.38618
}{
"delta": -0.16268580513870765,
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"current_prob": 0.22349419486129238,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.78304
}{
"delta": -0.05105967510739162,
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"current_prob": 0.7319803248926083,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.62806
}{
"delta": -0.29414363350758166,
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"current_prob": 0.3339163664924183,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_022 | view{
"current_prob": 0.34205
}{
"delta": -0.15470317130852737,
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"current_prob": 0.18734682869147265,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:230_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44712
}{
"delta": -0.0500289891850943,
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"current_prob": 0.3970910108149057,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:230_013 | view{
"current_prob": 0.57919
}{
"delta": -0.07009893760356956,
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"current_prob": 0.5090910623964304,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:230_025 | view{
"current_prob": 0.58229
}{
"delta": -0.1725371397927008,
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"current_prob": 0.4097528602072992,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:230_033 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46029
}{
"delta": -0.08225425805567088,
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"current_prob": 0.3780357419443291,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:230_034 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55636
}{
"delta": -0.17359424818464775,
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"current_prob": 0.3827657518153522,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:231_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44712
}{
"delta": -0.07031546022623858,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.377 blend=0.377 LLR=-0.291 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.37680453977376144,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:232_010 | view{
"current_prob": 0.58059
}{
"delta": -0.07410954741283338,
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"current_prob": 0.5064804525871667,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:232_056 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44712
}{
"delta": -0.07031546022623858,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.377 blend=0.377 LLR=-0.291 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.37680453977376144,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:232_057 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44203
}{
"delta": -0.004137667493527231,
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"current_prob": 0.43789233250647275,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:233_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.57392
}{
"delta": -0.0379509143311304,
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"current_prob": 0.5359690856688696,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:233_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40399
}{
"delta": -0.028119895184772536,
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"current_prob": 0.3758701048152275,
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} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:233_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40381
}{
"delta": -0.036401103931623435,
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"current_prob": 0.36740889606837657,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37757
}{
"delta": -0.22633001711372394,
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"current_prob": 0.15123998288627608,
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} |