Audit Log
Immutable change log. Every probability update, intake apply, validation adjudication, and bulk operation writes a row here with structured before/after JSON. Use these records to reconstruct any historical state. ← Ops
Total entries
705
Filtered
320
page 1 / 4
Distinct actions
33
Distinct kinds
16
Filters
Action
Allauto_corroborate.rundoc_node_link.bulk_confirmdoc_node_link.confirmedges.isolated_high_conv_linkedges.phase2a_strength_gradingedges.scenario_correlate_backfilledges.weight_tune_v1intake.appliedkappa_decay_runlbp.completednode.bulk_resolution_fixnode.bulk_updatenode.metadata_milestone_missnode.milestone_missnodes.metadata.display_datenodes.metadata.milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes.metadata.resolved_atprediction_conflicts.runprediction.recalibration_candidate.stagepredictions.december_dispersalpredictions.scenario_assignmentpredictions.tier3_reviewpredictors.brier_recomputerecommendations.bulk_importrecommendations.refresh.runreference_class_base_rate_refreshreference_class.overrideresearch_event_pack.applyresolution_history.backfillscenario.bulk_createsource_reliability.seedtrajectories.create_correlate_edges
Target kind
Actor (top 50)
Allapply_llm_milestonesapply_low_confidence_decisionsassign_predictions_to_scenariosbackfill_resolution_historybackfill_resolved_atbuild_scenario_pathscodexcompute_brier_scorescompute_display_datesderive_milestonesdisperse_december_bunchingfix_partial_classificationintake:515b84c4-6b29-4d57-8dd6-d41dac…intake:568095f6-eb44-4f96-92d3-13455b…intake:7afeeb9a-f217-4dd2-b910-24ff14…intake:99aa73db-75b1-4b1e-8470-a11f87…intake:c130222f-ab93-4d94-b596-5f4dc7…lbp_run:0c8a4ea3431elbp_run:1a683ac9e205lbp_run:1c6a06976c86lbp_run:592311ef6bcalbp_run:806b02f82f58lbp_run:807dd6f649b1lbp_run:ba893ab6499flbp_run:cd8605f31f33lbp_run:e5c18d29fb42lbp_run:e607fa961f0blbp_run:ffd25072aee9link_trajectories_to_dimensionsmanual_overridemetadata_milestone_sweepmilestone_miss_sweepphase_2A.2_graderphase_2A.3_isolated_linkerphase_2A_backfillphase2_part3_smoke_testphase3_p4_smoke_testphase3_p6_smoke_testseed_source_reliabilitystage_recalibration_candidatessystem:auto_corroboratesystem:decay_predictor_kappasystem:detect_prediction_conflictssystem:import_recommendationssystem:refresh_recommendationssystem:refresh_reference_class_base_r…tune_edge_weights
| When | Actor | Action | Target | Before → After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 22:10:11 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_044 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39482
}{
"delta": -0.0781723945161476,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.317 blend=0.317 LLR=-0.342 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3166476054838524,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-06 22:10:11 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_010 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48227
}{
"delta": -0.05027030411117117,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.432 blend=0.432 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4319996958888288,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_012 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44604
}{
"delta": -0.1409541555382337,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.305 blend=0.305 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3050858444617663,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_026 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45455
}{
"delta": -0.1421244488122259,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.312 blend=0.312 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3124255511877741,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_037 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37381
}{
"delta": -0.2715207309772363,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.250 blend=0.102 LLR=-0.585 κ=0.84 w_in=0.42 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.10228926902276371,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.47397
}{
"delta": -0.3547223840287336,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.334 blend=0.119 LLR=-0.585 κ=0.84 w_in=0.42 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.11924761597126643,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49838
}{
"delta": -0.14699943734787457,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.351 blend=0.351 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3513805626521254,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:243_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40611
}{
"delta": -0.06007454972169873,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.346 blend=0.346 LLR=-0.256 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3460354502783013,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37996
}{
"delta": -0.12950956510280348,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.250 blend=0.250 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.25045043489719654,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.07668631865673808,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.378 blend=0.378 LLR=-0.316 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3775236813432619,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_020 | view{
"current_prob": 0.35194
}{
"delta": -0.14805964777686834,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.269 blend=0.204 LLR=-0.392 κ=0.77 w_in=0.70 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.20388035222313164,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_020 | view{
"current_prob": 0.47407
}{
"delta": -0.07829878249176248,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.396 blend=0.396 LLR=-0.319 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3957712175082375,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:242_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48073
}{
"delta": -0.08105726440424843,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.400 blend=0.400 LLR=-0.330 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.39967273559575156,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_041 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46435
}{
"delta": -0.07486817374416399,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.389 blend=0.389 LLR=-0.307 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.389481826255836,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37679
}{
"delta": -0.20570868440856693,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.348 blend=0.171 LLR=-0.125 κ=0.77 w_in=0.39 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.17108131559143308,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_029 | view{
"current_prob": 0.34195
}{
"delta": 0.006994326750678348,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.290 blend=0.349 LLR=-0.239 κ=0.84 w_in=0.39 fda_breakthrough_label",
"current_prob": 0.3489443267506783,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.3949
}{
"delta": -0.0707356105750343,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.324 blend=0.324 LLR=-0.308 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32416438942496567,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:242_020 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37708
}{
"delta": -0.06291254804215696,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.314 blend=0.314 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.31416745195784307,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-03 22:11:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_034 | view{
"current_prob": 0.42865
}{
"delta": -0.08911252089781985,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.340 blend=0.340 LLR=-0.378 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.33953747910218013,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-06-03 22:11:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.54055
}{
"delta": -0.027416691368334356,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.400 blend=0.513 LLR=-0.195 κ=0.88 w_in=0.37 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.5131333086316656,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-03 22:11:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:247_012 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39014
}{
"delta": -0.06659516934363419,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.324 blend=0.324 LLR=-0.291 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3235448306563658,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-03 22:11:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.42275
}{
"delta": -0.06936784725425937,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.353 blend=0.353 LLR=-0.293 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.35338215274574064,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-03 22:11:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_051 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43332
}{
"delta": -0.05044583913720907,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.383 blend=0.383 LLR=-0.209 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3828741608627909,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-02 22:14:42 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_057 | view{
"current_prob": 0.60639
}{
"delta": -0.04928651500510772,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.557 blend=0.557 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5571034849948923,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-01 22:11:01 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_045 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49282
}{
"delta": -0.06371265921497637,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.429 blend=0.429 LLR=-0.257 κ=0.63 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4291073407850236,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_051 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46435
}{
"delta": -0.031025175120269588,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.433 blend=0.433 LLR=-0.125 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4333248248797304,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.33753
}{
"delta": -0.17447450491660846,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.278 blend=0.163 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.45 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.16305549508339154,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49391
}{
"delta": -0.0413256874576311,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.424 blend=0.453 LLR=-0.284 κ=0.88 w_in=0.62 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.4525843125423689,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_055 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45075
}{
"delta": 0.01698722114495599,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.394 blend=0.468 LLR=-0.233 κ=0.82 w_in=0.30 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.467737221144956,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.18082
}{
"delta": -0.06676572789300368,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.134 blend=0.114 LLR=-0.355 κ=0.88 w_in=0.44 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.11405427210699633,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_058 | view{
"current_prob": 0.65016
}{
"delta": -0.061343633502711103,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.589 blend=0.589 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5888163664972889,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39825
}{
"delta": -0.17812742468738718,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.320 blend=0.220 LLR=-0.342 κ=0.84 w_in=0.65 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.2201225753126128,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_042 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40958
}{
"delta": -0.06036307170066252,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.349 blend=0.349 LLR=-0.257 κ=0.63 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3492169282993375,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_029 | view{
"current_prob": 0.78837
}{
"delta": -0.047356197040561265,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.877 blend=0.741 LLR=-0.639 κ=0.81 w_in=0.44 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.7410138029594387,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_047 | view{
"current_prob": 0.58003
}{
"delta": -0.06899657256347791,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.511 blend=0.511 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5110334274365221,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_025 | view{
"current_prob": 0.32007
}{
"delta": -0.09232132076862576,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.266 blend=0.228 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 w_in=0.44 agi_breakthrough_5y",
"current_prob": 0.22774867923137426,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.4587
}{
"delta": -0.18223910102117857,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.391 blend=0.276 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.45 agi_breakthrough_5y",
"current_prob": 0.2764608989788214,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.30964
}{
"delta": -0.08669671566814466,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.253 blend=0.223 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.45 agi_breakthrough_5y",
"current_prob": 0.22294328433185537,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45732
}{
"delta": -0.04450237667532758,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.413 blend=0.413 LLR=-0.181 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4128176233246724,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50927
}{
"delta": 0.03128147577984264,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.447 blend=0.541 LLR=-0.248 κ=0.88 w_in=0.30 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.5405514757798426,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:239_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46002
}{
"delta": -0.0275428207955844,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.432 blend=0.432 LLR=-0.112 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4324771792044156,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.80501
}{
"delta": -0.05655430156348118,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.748 blend=0.748 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7484556984365188,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.59885
}{
"delta": -0.08010854642216314,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.530 blend=0.519 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.62 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.5187414535778369,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.27981
}{
"delta": -0.09488363786096118,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.227 blend=0.185 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.73 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.18492636213903882,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.042281408221289174,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.412 blend=0.412 LLR=-0.172 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.41192859177871083,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:232_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.36586
}{
"delta": -0.040929136652571474,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.325 blend=0.325 LLR=-0.181 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32493086334742854,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_006 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.047885515652211386,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.406 blend=0.406 LLR=-0.196 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4063244843477886,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:239_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.31821
}{
"delta": -0.0935190485506977,
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"current_prob": 0.2246909514493023,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_056 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46107
}{
"delta": -0.14297546985357634,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.318 blend=0.318 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.31809453014642364,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53869
}{
"delta": -0.07524615205748414,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.463 blend=0.463 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.46344384794251586,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.35731
}{
"delta": -0.061182658796061495,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.296 blend=0.296 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2961273412039385,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.15199
}{
"delta": -0.024330425531914862,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.128 blend=0.128 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.12765957446808512,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_013 | view{
"current_prob": 0.23039
}{
"delta": -0.08066564409739196,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.185 blend=0.150 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.65 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.14972435590260805,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.63768
}{
"delta": -0.18999044806132714,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.581 blend=0.448 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 w_in=0.69 agi_breakthrough_5y",
"current_prob": 0.4476895519386729,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.71967
}{
"delta": -0.07051178852751239,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.649 blend=0.649 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6491582114724876,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_024 | view{
"current_prob": 0.61674
}{
"delta": -0.0797520811498812,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.537 blend=0.537 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5369879188501188,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41352
}{
"delta": -0.07657225508386051,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.337 blend=0.337 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3369477449161395,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.69241
}{
"delta": -0.01736839323677375,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.776 blend=0.675 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 w_in=0.44 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.6750416067632262,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_052 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41184
}{
"delta": -0.19043960591073533,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.339 blend=0.221 LLR=-0.313 κ=0.77 w_in=0.62 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.22140039408926465,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_056 | view{
"current_prob": 0.34056
}{
"delta": -0.15168049158132269,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.281 blend=0.189 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.59 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.1888795084186773,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_059 | view{
"current_prob": 0.70778
}{
"delta": -0.08375639299458659,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.624 blend=0.624 LLR=-0.378 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6240236070054134,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_BIO_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50481
}{
"delta": -0.03871135755254196,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.466 blend=0.466 LLR=-0.155 κ=0.85 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.466098642447458,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_031 | view{
"current_prob": 0.52598
}{
"delta": -0.04874537088082043,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.477 blend=0.477 LLR=-0.195 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4772346291191796,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46632
}{
"delta": -0.08635755431577319,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.380 blend=0.380 LLR=-0.355 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3799624456842268,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_037 | view{
"current_prob": 0.36062
}{
"delta": -0.1254199528283777,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.235 blend=0.235 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2352000471716223,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39244
}{
"delta": -0.02624334657411226,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.366 blend=0.366 LLR=-0.112 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.36619665342588775,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_025 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43481
}{
"delta": -0.05708434221775749,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.378 blend=0.378 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3777256577822425,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.33836
}{
"delta": -0.210631052158486,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.218 blend=0.128 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 w_in=0.30 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.127728947841514,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:236_049 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50021
}{
"delta": -0.06856035187158516,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.432 blend=0.432 LLR=-0.276 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4316496481284149,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:236_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48875
}{
"delta": -0.06354859946807828,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.425 blend=0.425 LLR=-0.256 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.42520140053192174,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_021 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50227
}{
"delta": -0.04864525205336495,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.454 blend=0.454 LLR=-0.195 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.45362474794663504,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_020 | view{
"current_prob": 0.32452
}{
"delta": -0.0645946705124344,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.260 blend=0.260 LLR=-0.313 κ=0.77 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2599253294875656,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_022 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48301
}{
"delta": -0.06883282595206125,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.414 blend=0.414 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.41417717404793875,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_027 | view{
"current_prob": 0.54014
}{
"delta": -0.07524961655595047,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.465 blend=0.465 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4648903834440495,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.62549
}{
"delta": -0.04855974748415115,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.577 blend=0.577 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5769302525158488,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.66946
}{
"delta": -0.04311780322539871,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.626 blend=0.626 LLR=-0.189 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6263421967746013,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_018 | view{
"current_prob": 0.52026
}{
"delta": -0.05063788896905952,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.470 blend=0.470 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4696221110309404,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.583
}{
"delta": -0.037360943740724406,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.546 blend=0.546 LLR=-0.152 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5456390562592756,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.58445
}{
"delta": -0.04949484106747115,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.535 blend=0.535 LLR=-0.201 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5349551589325289,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-19 22:16:06 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_041 | view{
"current_prob": 0.69381
}{
"delta": -0.017346379800103895,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.782 blend=0.676 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 w_in=0.43 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.6764636201998961,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-19 22:16:06 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_039 | view{
"current_prob": 0.68239
}{
"delta": -0.023648778048576125,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.714 blend=0.659 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 w_in=0.57 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.6587412219514239,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-19 22:16:06 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_034 | view{
"current_prob": 0.78644
}{
"delta": -0.011045029643714233,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.920 blend=0.775 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 w_in=0.43 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.7753949703562858,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-17 22:12:26 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.33896
}{
"delta": -0.1566793610845642,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.295 blend=0.182 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 w_in=0.70 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.18228063891543578,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-16 22:11:16 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39951
}{
"delta": -0.026430889839689387,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.373 blend=0.373 LLR=-0.112 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3730791101603106,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-16 22:11:16 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53009
}{
"delta": -0.0752299723608098,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.455 blend=0.455 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.45486002763919015,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-15 22:14:51 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.73675
}{
"delta": -0.04834977951601427,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.688 blend=0.688 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6884002204839857,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-15 22:14:51 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:243_032 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50992
}{
"delta": -0.05907450754936677,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.451 blend=0.451 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.45084549245063327,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-15 22:14:51 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44115
}{
"delta": -0.057247258508718535,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.384 blend=0.384 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.38390274149128145,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-15 22:14:51 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.59022
}{
"delta": -0.05816878823536298,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.532 blend=0.532 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.532051211764637,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-14 22:14:31 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_033 | view{
"current_prob": 0.70846
}{
"delta": -0.05113303747652986,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.657 blend=0.657 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6573269625234701,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-14 22:14:31 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:245_027 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41948
}{
"delta": -0.0659776407952708,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.354 blend=0.354 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3535023592047292,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-14 22:14:31 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_ROB_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40304
}{
"delta": -0.08390248470854239,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.319 blend=0.319 LLR=-0.365 κ=0.90 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3191375152914576,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-13 22:12:36 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.51671
}{
"delta": -0.037694273765743413,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.452 blend=0.479 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 w_in=0.43 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.4790157262342566,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-12 22:09:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.31889
}{
"delta": -0.05960716670922844,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.259 blend=0.259 LLR=-0.291 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.25928283329077156,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-12 22:09:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.56732
}{
"delta": -0.06475903325558618,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.503 blend=0.503 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5025609667444139,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43348
}{
"delta": -0.0489610611573999,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.385 blend=0.385 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3845189388426001,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43967
}{
"delta": -0.20952438731496842,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.408 blend=0.230 LLR=-0.132 κ=0.50 w_in=0.68 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.2301456126850316,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_029 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.0702061657017315,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.425 blend=0.425 LLR=-0.283 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4250138342982685,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_066 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53619
}{
"delta": -0.017715894719911196,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.561 blend=0.518 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 w_in=0.30 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.5184741052800889,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:230_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.1820079978290759,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.313 blend=0.313 LLR=-0.766 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3132120021709241,
"n_milestones": 3
} |