Event Tree

Forward-walk from a root through prereq, correlate, and killer edges, plotted on the same time × probability axes as the full DAG. Useful for tracing a single thesis chain forward without the noise of the rest of the network.

Pick a root

Scenarios + thesis killers + high-conviction predictions with ≥4 dependents
SS_AGI_MID_2029 · 118↓SS_AGI_FAST_2027 · 84↓SS_AGI_WINTER_2036PLUS · 66↓SS_HUMANOID_ENTERPRISE_2028 · 59↓SS_AGI_SLOW_2031 · 56↓SS_ASI_SLOW_2040PLUS · 51↓SS_ROBOTAXI_MASS_2030 · 51↓SS_HUMANOID_CONSUMER_2030 · 48↓SS_GRID_50GW_2027 · 45↓SS_COMPUTE_100GW_2030 · 40↓SS_HUMANOID_MASS_2033 · 39↓SS_HUMANOID_FACTORY_2026 · 38↓SS_IPO_TRILLION_2026 · 37↓SS_MARS_2028 · 33↓SS_IPO_TRILLION_2027 · 30↓SS_ROBOTAXI_TESLA_2026 · 28↓
Depth123456

Root: S_GRID_50GW_2027 · 50GW dedicated AI/data center grid by Dec 2027 · depth=4 · 640 of 644 nodes plotted · 2995 edges

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 2026Jan 2027Jul 2027Jan 2028Jul 2028Jan 2029Jul 2029Jan 2030Jul 2030Jan 2031Jul 2031Jan 2032Jul 2032Jan 2033Jul 2033Jan 2034Jul 2034Jan 2035Jul 2035Jan 2036Jul 2036Jan 2037todaytarget window endcurrent probability
614 plotted · 2170 edges · 26 outside x-range · click any node for detail

Legend

Same axes + encoding as /graph/dag
AILabor/JobsMacro/EconomyBiotech/LongevityAuto/TransportRoboticsMarkets/StocksSpaceEnergyGeopoliticsEducationCryptoSemisDefenseConsumerQuantum