Topology DAG

Dependency-depth view: roots sit left, dependent claims flow right, and edge routing uses a Sugiyama/Dagre layout. The existing timeline DAG remains the date/probability view.

Nodes
81
44 predictions · 37 scenarios
Edges
32
prereq 32
Roots
49
73 sinks
Isolated
41
Disconnected nodes are retained for filter transparency

Filter by ticker

Click a symbol to scope topology to claims affecting that company
PONY 86WRD 86BIDU 44GOOGL 44IOT 44TSLA 44UBER 44AIOT 42AUR 42QCOM 42AMBA 41HSAI 41OUST 41AEVA 40ALL 40BMWYY 40

Filters

Layout
Time flow (default)Dependency rank
Tradeable only
Yes (≥1 ticker, default)No (all predictions)
Window
next 12 monext 24 monext 5 yr (default)all dated + undated
Edges
Prereq (default)Prereq + correlatePrereq + correlate + killers
Domain
AllAIAI/AgentsAI/AGIAI/ArchitectureAI/ChinaAI/CognitionAI/ComputeAI/CorporateAI/FinanceAI/HardwareAI/InfrastructureAI/ManufacturingAI/MarketsAI/MathematicsAI/PhysicsAI/SoftwareAI/StartupsAI/StrategyAuto/TransportBiotech/LongevityCapital MarketsConsumerCryptoDefenseEconomyEconomy/OrgEducationEnergyEnergy/ComputeFinance/CryptoGeopoliticsInvestingLabor/JobsMacro/EconomyManufacturingMarkets/StocksMedia/AdsOtherPolicy/SemisQuantumQuantum/AIReal EstateRoboticsSemisSemis/ASICsSemis/GeopoliticsSemis/HardwareSemis/MarketsSemis/MemorySemis/PackagingSemis/Productsshort_horizon_breakoutSpaceSpace/ComputeTechnology
Resolved
Hide terminal (default)IncludeResolved only
Top predictors
AllAlex Wissner-Gross (231)Dave Blundin (165)Peter Diamandis (160)Dara Khosrowshahi (89)Elon Musk (69)Eric Schmidt (68)Brett Adcock (51)Salim Ismail (49)Ben Lamm (47)Morgan Stanley (42)Andrew Yang (35)Alex Finn (28)Jensen Huang (27)Leopold Aschenbrenner (23)Ben Horowitz (22)

Layered dependency graph

Preparing client-side layout. Dagre is intentionally deferred until hydration so dense graph requests do not block server rendering.

Legend

Columns are dependency ranks, not dates. Color = domain, purple = scenario, red = thesis killer.
AILabor/JobsMacro/EconomyBiotech/LongevityAuto/TransportRoboticsMarkets/StocksSpaceEnergyGeopoliticsEducationCryptoSemisDefenseConsumerQuantumEdges: gray prereq · blue positive correlate · orange negative correlate · red killer. DROP-grade correlate edges are hidden and correlate parents are capped per node by default. Hover or search to isolate a node's immediate neighborhood.