Topology DAG

Dependency-depth view: roots sit left, dependent claims flow right, and edge routing uses a Sugiyama/Dagre layout. The existing timeline DAG remains the date/probability view.

Nodes
53
16 predictions · 37 scenarios
Edges
4
prereq 4
Roots
49
50 sinks
Isolated
46
Disconnected nodes are retained for filter transparency

Filter by ticker

Click a symbol to scope topology to claims affecting that company
IBM 31CRWV 24AI 16AMZN 16BBAI 16GOOGL 16GTLB 16META 16MSFT 16NVDA 16ORCL 16SOUN 16ACN 15BABA 15CHGG 15CTSH 15

Filters

Layout
Time flow (default)Dependency rank
Tradeable only
Yes (≥1 ticker, default)No (all predictions)
Window
next 12 monext 24 monext 5 yr (default)all dated + undated
Edges
Prereq (default)Prereq + correlatePrereq + correlate + killers
Domain
AllAIAI/AgentsAI/AGIAI/ArchitectureAI/ChinaAI/CognitionAI/ComputeAI/CorporateAI/FinanceAI/HardwareAI/InfrastructureAI/ManufacturingAI/MarketsAI/MathematicsAI/PhysicsAI/SoftwareAI/StartupsAI/StrategyAuto/TransportBiotech/LongevityCapital MarketsConsumerCryptoDefenseEconomyEconomy/OrgEducationEnergyEnergy/ComputeFinance/CryptoGeopoliticsInvestingLabor/JobsMacro/EconomyManufacturingMarkets/StocksMedia/AdsOtherPolicy/SemisQuantumQuantum/AIReal EstateRoboticsSemisSemis/ASICsSemis/GeopoliticsSemis/HardwareSemis/MarketsSemis/MemorySemis/PackagingSemis/Productsshort_horizon_breakoutSpaceSpace/ComputeTechnology
Resolved
Hide terminal (default)IncludeResolved only
Top predictors
AllAlex Wissner-Gross (231)Dave Blundin (165)Peter Diamandis (160)Dara Khosrowshahi (89)Elon Musk (69)Eric Schmidt (68)Brett Adcock (51)Salim Ismail (49)Ben Lamm (47)Morgan Stanley (42)Andrew Yang (35)Alex Finn (28)Jensen Huang (27)Leopold Aschenbrenner (23)Ben Horowitz (22)

Layered dependency graph

Preparing client-side layout. Dagre is intentionally deferred until hydration so dense graph requests do not block server rendering.

Legend

Columns are dependency ranks, not dates. Color = domain, purple = scenario, red = thesis killer.
AILabor/JobsMacro/EconomyBiotech/LongevityAuto/TransportRoboticsMarkets/StocksSpaceEnergyGeopoliticsEducationCryptoSemisDefenseConsumerQuantumEdges: gray prereq · blue positive correlate · orange negative correlate · red killer. DROP-grade correlate edges are hidden and correlate parents are capped per node by default. Hover or search to isolate a node's immediate neighborhood.