Predictions

209 of 1,622 predictions match — page 5 of 5. Click any row to view its detail.

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IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
232_024Macro/EconomyAI-timingSan Francisco will become capital of the solar system in about 10 years if tr…Alex Wissner-Gross2/5C40.0%pending2036-01-01 – 2036-12-31
234_036Labor/JobsjobsJob displacement will be issue 6-10 not top 5 in 10 years; AI discoveries wil…Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2036-01-01 – 2036-12-31
232_049Spaceorbital-AIDyson swarm of AI orbital data centers will be built by disassembling the moo…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5A30.0%pending2040-06-01 – 2040-06-30
235_040Spaceorbital-AIEarth-scale Dyson swarm in solar synchronous orbit will be built regardless o…Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2070-06-01 – 2070-06-30
238_050OtherAI-timingSci-fi tropes (warp drive, teleportation, time travel) are not yet achieved; …Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending— – —
238_057Macro/EconomyabundanceLaws of economics and thermodynamics will still apply despite AI abundanceAlex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending— – —
238_069GeopoliticsAI-timingThe path to the abundant end-state will include diverse mutually-exclusive na…Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending— – —
240_052Biotech/LongevityAI-timingUploading consciousness (whole brain emulation) really will be you in the futureAlex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending— – —
247_014GeopoliticsAI-timingPoliticization of AI could have been delayed by at least 2 yearsAlex Wissner-Gross2/5C40.0%pending— – —