Predictions
142 of 1,622 predictions match — page 2 of 3. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 242_002 | Space | autonomous | Long-term petawatt compute will come only from lunar mass drivers | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_003 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | Musk ecosystem could become first $100 trillion company | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_004 | Markets/Stocks | NVIDIA | Musk ecosystem will lap Nvidia by 1-2 orders of magnitude | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_006 | AI | AI-timing | Terafab will reach 70% of TSMC's output | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 242_022 | Real Estate | AI-timing | Personal garages at home will disappear | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31 |
| 242_026 | Auto/Transport | SpaceX | Rocket point-to-point travel will win over hyperloop due to Starship launch c… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_040 | Space | economy | Mars/Europa/planets will have ubiquitous microbial life | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_054 | AI | AI-timing | Terafab initial capex $25B, total buildout $150B+ minimum, possibly $500B | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 242_058 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Cybercab owners will generate revenue via autonomous ridesharing fleets | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-11-30 |
| 243_024 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Electric autonomous cars could be four times cheaper than owning a car (cited… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 245_005 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Countries will become customers to preserve endangered species via Colossal | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31 |
| 245_009 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Breaking plastic-degradation technology could become a supplement that breaks… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 245_011 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal is spinning out a dozen companies each with massive potential | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 245_042 | Biotech/Longevity | $100T | Synthetic biology will be as diverse a market as AI (multi-trillion) | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31 |
| 246_036 | AI | AI-timing | Terafab will deliver 1 terawatt/year AI compute, 50x current global output of… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 246_045 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Post-capitalist society with zero marginal cost approaching. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-12-31 |
| 230_048 | AI | AI-scaling | Agentic emails/calls will become commonplace (inside/outside orgs) over email… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 235_017 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | OpenAI will likely go public at north of $1 trillion valuation. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 235_036 | Media/Ads | AI-timing | AI-generated images will eliminate commercial photography, illustrators and s… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_047 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | New emotional pandemic of fear and anger coming | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_048 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Dropping birth rate not just China but Japan all-time low, South Korea, much … | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_001 | AI | AI-timing | Increased hacker profile and AI-driven social engineering attacks will become… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_002 | AI | AI-timing | We will see a lot of evolution and many OpenClaw variants emerging very quick… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_004 | Consumer | AI-timing | Mac Mini sales will continue their exponential growth driven by local AI demand. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_026 | AI | orbital-AI | The cadence of AI breakthroughs and Moonshot episodes will keep picking up as… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_043 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | CS placements collapsed from 89% to 19% over 3 years; similar collapse coming… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_044 | Education | AI-timing | College bankruptcy rates in the US are skyrocketing | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_060 | Media/Ads | AI-scaling | Everyone will be able to use video models to turn favorite books into movies | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_054 | Space | AI-timing | Space wins by far on energy argument for data centers | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_055 | Space | AI-timing | Next frontier of AI infrastructure is space | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_056 | Robotics | humanoids | Elon Musk-style vertical integration is necessary to drive robotics costs down | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_059 | Energy | AI-timing | Government will continue unleashing capital to solve AI power problems | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_060 | Space | AI-timing | Data centers will be built in space / rockets will carry data centers | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 246_007 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX road show will begin in June 2026. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 246_035 | AI | AI-timing | Terafab pilot phase is $25B, yielding ~$4B/year revenue for Intel. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_020 | Robotics | humanoids | Jevons paradox: bandwidth demand will explode as 10 billion robots and AVs ne… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 231_005 | AI | AI-timing | Next year frontier reasoning costs will be pennies (down from ~$7 now). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-08-31 |
| 231_036 | Space | AI-timing | Relativity Space still probably a year or two away from launch. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 234_021 | AI | AI-scaling | OpenAI will launch consumer AI devices in 2027 | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 235_033 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Chinese eVTOL taxi service moving toward commercial operations in 2027. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 236_018 | Macro/Economy | economy | UBI/stimulus needed in 1-3 year timeframe, UBS in 3-8 years | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2034-12-31 |
| 238_016 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure CEO Brett Adcock will appear at Abundance Summit next year (2027) with… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-09-30 |
| 240_037 | Auto/Transport | humanoids | Amazon Zoox Robotaxi will launch in LA in 2027 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 241_014 | AI | AI-timing | The world a year from today will be nothing like the world today | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 246_012 | Space | orbital-AI | Artemis 3 crewed mission to low earth orbit in 2027 (rendezvous/docking tests). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 247_007 | AI | $100T | Anthropic ARR will reach $1 trillion by end of 2027 | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-09-30 |
| AUT_027 | Biotech/Longevity | Longevity-Escape-Velocity-2027 | Integration of AI with advanced bio-sensing, quantum computing, and genomics … | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 22.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2035-09-30 |
| SPC_012 | Space | SpaceX-orbital-refueling-2027 | SpaceX will perfect orbital refueling architectures by 2027 — the critical pr… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 40.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 230_006 | AI | AI-scaling | The frontier models will go dark — kept internal to benefit the labs in an al… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 232_010 | AI | AI-timing | Voice becomes the new interface in the AI era, replacing typing. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |