Predictions
17 of 1,622 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 248_004 | Space | SpaceX | Launching 40,000 V3 Starlinks requires only 3 Starship launches per week over… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2029-11-30 |
| 248_041 | Space | orbital-AI | Maine data center moratorium gives other states / Elon time to move compute t… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| SEM_044 | Space | SpaceX | Blue Origin will land cargo at Shackleton Crater before SpaceX — validating l… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 40.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 242_002 | Space | autonomous | Long-term petawatt compute will come only from lunar mass drivers | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_040 | Space | economy | Mars/Europa/planets will have ubiquitous microbial life | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 241_054 | Space | AI-timing | Space wins by far on energy argument for data centers | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_055 | Space | AI-timing | Next frontier of AI infrastructure is space | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_060 | Space | AI-timing | Data centers will be built in space / rockets will carry data centers | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 231_036 | Space | AI-timing | Relativity Space still probably a year or two away from launch. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 246_012 | Space | orbital-AI | Artemis 3 crewed mission to low earth orbit in 2027 (rendezvous/docking tests). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| SPC_012 | Space | SpaceX-orbital-refueling-2027 | SpaceX will perfect orbital refueling architectures by 2027 — the critical pr… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 40.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 232_051 | Space | SpaceX | Amazon's satellite construction outpaces launch capacity; duopoly between Sta… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 242_005 | Space | SpaceX | Starship launch cadence will reach one every 5.3 minutes (274/day) | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2031-11-30 |
| 246_013 | Space | orbital-AI | Artemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 246_017 | Space | AI-timing | Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| 231_033 | Space | AI-timing | Data centers in space will take 5-7 years at best, not 2-3. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2031-01-01 – 2033-11-30 |
| 246_016 | Space | AI-timing | Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2034-01-01 – 2034-11-30 |