Predictions

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ID	Domain	Topic	Title	Predictor	Conv	SQ	Prior	Status	Window
248_004	Space	SpaceX	Launching 40,000 V3 Starlinks requires only 3 Starship launches per week over…	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	65.0%	pending	2026-01-01 – 2029-11-30
248_041	Space	orbital-AI	Maine data center moratorium gives other states / Elon time to move compute t…	Peter Diamandis	3/5	C	60.0%	pending	2026-01-01 – 2027-11-30
SEM_044	Space	SpaceX	Blue Origin will land cargo at Shackleton Crater before SpaceX — validating l…	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	40.0%	pending	2026-01-01 – 2028-11-30
235_016	Space	SpaceX	SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026).	Peter Diamandis	2/5	C	55.0%	hit	2026-04-01 – 2026-04-30
242_057	Space	AI-timing	Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	65.0%	hit	2026-04-01 – 2026-04-30
242_002	Space	autonomous	Long-term petawatt compute will come only from lunar mass drivers	Peter Diamandis	3/5	C	60.0%	pending	2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30
242_040	Space	economy	Mars/Europa/planets will have ubiquitous microbial life	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	65.0%	pending	2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30
246_038	Space	orbital-AI	Data centers are driving frontier labs into space (orbital data centers).	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	92.0%	hit	2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30
241_054	Space	AI-timing	Space wins by far on energy argument for data centers	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	65.0%	pending	2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
241_055	Space	AI-timing	Next frontier of AI infrastructure is space	Peter Diamandis	3/5	C	60.0%	pending	2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
241_060	Space	AI-timing	Data centers will be built in space / rockets will carry data centers	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	65.0%	pending	2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
248_003	Space	SpaceX	SpaceX plans to launch 40,000 V3 Starlink satellites and then 120,000 V4 sate…	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	92.0%	hit	2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
231_036	Space	AI-timing	Relativity Space still probably a year or two away from launch.	Peter Diamandis	3/5	B	60.0%	pending	2027-01-01 – 2028-11-30
246_012	Space	orbital-AI	Artemis 3 crewed mission to low earth orbit in 2027 (rendezvous/docking tests).	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	65.0%	pending	2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31
SPC_012	Space	SpaceX-orbital-refueling-2027	SpaceX will perfect orbital refueling architectures by 2027 — the critical pr…	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	40.0%	pending	2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30
232_051	Space	SpaceX	Amazon's satellite construction outpaces launch capacity; duopoly between Sta…	Peter Diamandis	3/5	C	60.0%	pending	2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30
242_005	Space	SpaceX	Starship launch cadence will reach one every 5.3 minutes (274/day)	Peter Diamandis	3/5	C	60.0%	pending	2028-01-01 – 2031-11-30
246_013	Space	orbital-AI	Artemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028.	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	65.0%	pending	2028-01-01 – 2028-11-30
231_035	Space	SpaceX	SpaceX/Elon will consume all their launch capacity for Starlink, leaving othe…	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	65.0%	in_progress	2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
246_017	Space	AI-timing	Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa.	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	65.0%	pending	2030-01-01 – 2030-11-30
231_033	Space	AI-timing	Data centers in space will take 5-7 years at best, not 2-3.	Peter Diamandis	3/5	C	60.0%	pending	2031-01-01 – 2033-11-30
246_016	Space	AI-timing	Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034.	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	65.0%	pending	2034-01-01 – 2034-11-30