Predictions

10 of 1,622 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.

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IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
246_030Markets/StocksAI-timingDeepSeek V4 will NOT shock markets like prior DeepSeek releases.Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30
242_055Markets/StocksAI-timingActivist investing will be disrupted by AI writing open letters to public firmsAlex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30
246_009Markets/StocksSpaceXSpaceX and Tesla will NOT merge absent financial distress or capital need.Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30
247_005Markets/StocksAI-timingHarvard worth 3-4x more book value if restructured as PBCAlex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30
235_031Markets/Stocks$100TEli Lilly perilously close to $1 trillion market cap at ~$950B.Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
248_022Markets/StocksAI-timingDeepseek-style hyperdeflation moments from algorithmic innovation will become…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
248_047Markets/StocksAGIMemory companies' stock prices will continue increasing despite algorithmic e…Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
238_033Markets/StocksAI-timingMeta will someday be acquired by an AI company (largest-company-killer scenario)Alex Wissner-Gross2/5C40.0%pending2027-01-01 – 2030-11-30
230_051Markets/StockshumanoidsAmazon/hyperscalers will continue pouring free cash flow into AI data centers…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
232_035Markets/StocksAI-scalingApple is sitting on a multi-trillion dollar opportunity to leapfrog back into…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30