Predictions
91 of 1,622 predictions match — page 2 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236_048 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Dropping birth rate not just China but Japan all-time low, South Korea, much … | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_049 | Macro/Economy | economy | US GDP per capita growing up up up because of AI | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_050 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Poverty level around $25K per person going forward | Andrew Yang | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_010 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Industry will consolidate into small number of very large companies and very … | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 245_018 | Macro/Economy | AGI | Invasive species problem is currently measured at $5.4 trillion globally | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 245_019 | Macro/Economy | AGI | US spends over $500B per year on invasive species economic impact | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 245_022 | Macro/Economy | $100T | Gene drive technology now represents a $5 trillion problem opportunity | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 247_019 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | AI could empower individuals to become micro entrepreneurs without need for n… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_018 | Macro/Economy | economy | UBI/stimulus needed in 1-3 year timeframe, UBS in 3-8 years | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2034-12-31 |
| AI_026 | Macro/Economy | demonetization-human-capital | AI is executing a catastrophic repricing of legacy software stocks and a tota… | Michael Saylor | 5/5 | B | 35.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2030-12-31 |
| INF_042 | Macro/Economy | shortage-to-oversupply | Current market panic over AI compute and power will follow the historical pat… | Marc Andreessen | 4/5 | B | 62.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2032-12-31 |
| 232_052 | Macro/Economy | AI-scaling | Lowered interest rates will drive AI agent and robot purchases instead of hir… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 238_059 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Era of greed and ignored fundamental problems will disappear in 2-3 years as … | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2029-12-31 |
| 247_015 | Macro/Economy | economy | Government will print UBI checks in next 2-5 years due to AI turbulence | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2031-12-31 |
| 247_052 | Macro/Economy | AI-scaling | AI enters government in 2-4 years will allow thoughtful UBI programs later | Dave Blundin | 2/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2030-12-31 |
| 231_023 | Macro/Economy | AI-scaling | US crime rates should continue to decline due to location services and survei… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 231_028 | Macro/Economy | AI-scaling | Rate of society will go up 10x, 100x, 1000x, then 1 millionx - courts won't k… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 231_050 | Macro/Economy | AI-scaling | New economy built with AI agents will work around old economy rather than thr… | Dave Blundin | 5/5 | A | 70.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 232_025 | Macro/Economy | AGI | Massive concurrent prosperity and social unrest ahead as AI wealth concentrates. | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 232_042 | Macro/Economy | economy | GDP expands massively as intelligence becomes infrastructure; Jevons paradox … | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 236_007 | Macro/Economy | economy | US GDP per capita will break $90K and then $100K in relatively near future | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 236_034 | Macro/Economy | economy | Rapid inflation in near-term from UBI money printing, then rapid deflation fr… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 247_016 | Macro/Economy | abundance | Huge backlash against AI abundance without institutional redesign | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 247_018 | Macro/Economy | AI-scaling | First version of social contract will be politicians writing checks in next e… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2029-12-31 |
| 230_035 | Macro/Economy | economy | GDP will 2x or 3x year-over-year in early 2030s if everything goes well. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2033-12-31 |
| 230_013 | Macro/Economy | AI-scaling | There will be UBI at the end of this cycle, plus abundance and massively more… | Dave Blundin | 5/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 230_030 | Macro/Economy | economy | Economy will shift from paying for inputs/hours to paying for verified outcomes. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 230_045 | Macro/Economy | AI-scaling | GDP will be replaced by an 'Abundance Capability Index' measuring capacity to… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 231_040 | Macro/Economy | economy | Ireland's UBI art scheme will NOT become a template for the future peacetime … | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 239_027 | Macro/Economy | economy | Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years | Elon Musk | 3/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2031-01-01 – 2031-12-31 |
| 232_059 | Macro/Economy | AGI | Universal basic equity / sovereign dividends will eventually put everyone on … | Alex Wissner-Gross | 2/5 | C | 40.0% | pending | 2031-06-01 – 2031-06-30 |
| 238_058 | Macro/Economy | abundance | Abundance X-Prize to deliver housing, food, energy, connectivity for $250/mon… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2032-01-01 – 2033-12-31 |
| 231_052 | Macro/Economy | AI-scaling | Gap between AI-paced world and legacy world will grow really wide - maybe for… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2033-06-01 – 2033-06-30 |
| 242_023 | Macro/Economy | AI-scaling | World will have 10x more wealth around 2034-2036 | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2034-01-01 – 2036-12-31 |
| IND_024 | Macro/Economy | Solve-Everything-2035-abundance | Attainment of total material abundance by 2035 driven by AI-optimized physica… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | C | 15.0% | pending | 2035-01-01 – 2035-12-31 |
| 232_024 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | San Francisco will become capital of the solar system in about 10 years if tr… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 2/5 | C | 40.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-12-31 |
| 239_001 | Macro/Economy | economy | Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years | Elon Musk | 4/5 | A | 60.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-12-31 |
| 246_003 | Macro/Economy | economy | Global economy will grow 10x in 10 years (cited from Elon Musk). | Elon Musk | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-12-31 |
| 248_009 | Macro/Economy | economy | Elon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years. | Elon Musk | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-12-31 |
| 236_010 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | 5% wealth tax would result in zero billionaires by next day | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | — – — |
| 238_057 | Macro/Economy | abundance | Laws of economics and thermodynamics will still apply despite AI abundance | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | — – — |